Pelicans vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Pacers NBA game on January 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Pelicans
119
127
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
TEAM1234T
Pelicans
33 33 27 25 119
Pacers
31 42 29 25 127
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pelicans
    <1%
  • Pacers
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pelicans
33 33 27 25 119
Pacers
31 42 29 25 127
Q4 00:45 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:37 Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:08 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:01 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:03 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:35 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:12
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-127
  2. Q4 00:12
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    119-127
  3. Q4 00:45
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    115-127
  4. Q4 00:51
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 1:11
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    115-125
  6. Q4 1:15
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    113-125
  7. Q4 1:23
    Tony Bradley offensive rebound
  8. Q4 1:27
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 1:48
    Pacers personal foul
  10. Q4 1:52
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  11. Q4 2:12
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    110-123
  12. Q4 2:12
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-123
  13. Q4 2:19
    +1
    Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    109-122
  14. Q4 2:19
    +1
    Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    109-123
  15. Q4 2:24
    Pelicans personal foul
  16. Q4 2:32
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  17. Q4 2:35
    Trey Murphy III offensive rebound
  18. Q4 2:37
    Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
  19. Q4 3:08
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  20. Q4 3:28
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
  21. Q4 4:01
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  22. Q4 4:03
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  23. Q4 4:15
    Pacers personal foul
  24. Q4 4:15
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
  25. Q4 4:35
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    107-118
  26. Q4 5:13
    Pascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)
  27. Q4 5:19
    Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Derik Queen)
  28. Q4 5:19
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy)
  29. Q4 5:23
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  30. Q4 5:36
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  31. Q4 5:49
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    105-116
  32. Q4 6:05
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  33. Q4 6:18
    Quenton Jackson offensive rebound
  34. Q4 6:32
    Pelicans turnover
  35. Q4 6:41
    Pelicans personal foul
  36. Q4 6:41
    Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Karlo Matkovic)
  37. Q4 6:41
    Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy, Quenton Jackson)
  38. Q4 6:41
    Pelicans personal foul
  39. Q4 6:55
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    105-112
  40. Q4 7:07
    Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic)
  41. Q4 7:22
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  42. Q4 7:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  43. Q4 7:32
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  44. Q4 7:32
    Pelicans turnover
  45. Q4 7:39
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  46. Q4 8:04
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    102-107
  47. Q4 8:07
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  48. Q4 8:49
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    100-107
  49. Q4 9:16
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 9:54
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  51. Q4 10:09
    Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
  52. Q4 10:17
    Pacers turnover
  53. Q4 10:53
    Saddiq Bey misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  54. Q4 10:53
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  55. Q4 11:11
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    93-105
  56. Q4 11:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  57. Q4 11:22
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  58. Q4 11:32
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  59. Q4 11:44
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  60. Q3 00:00
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  61. Q3 00:06
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    93-102
  62. Q3 00:29
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  63. Q3 00:36
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  64. Q3 00:54
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-100
  65. Q3 00:54
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-100
  66. Q3 00:54
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell)
  67. Q3 1:08
    Tony Bradley offensive rebound
  68. Q3 1:11
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  69. Q3 1:17
    Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
  70. Q3 1:42
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    91-98
  71. Q3 1:52
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    91-96
  72. Q3 2:12
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    88-96
  73. Q3 2:28
    Trey Murphy III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  74. Q3 2:28
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  75. Q3 2:45
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  76. Q3 2:48
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  77. Q3 3:05
    T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
  78. Q3 3:08
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  79. Q3 3:21
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  80. Q3 3:23
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    87-94
  81. Q3 3:32
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  82. Q3 3:46
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    87-92
  83. Q3 4:02
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-89
  84. Q3 4:44
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  85. Q3 4:46
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  86. Q3 4:57
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    81-87
  87. Q3 4:57
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Aaron Nesmith, Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell)
  88. Q3 5:01
    Pacers turnover
  89. Q3 5:06
    Pelicans turnover
  90. Q3 5:13
    Pacers turnover
  91. Q3 5:47
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    78-87
  92. Q3 6:07
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    78-85
  93. Q3 6:18
    Pacers personal foul
  94. Q3 6:18
    Pacers lineup change (Tony Bradley, Aaron Nesmith, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, T.J. McConnell)
  95. Q3 6:44
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  96. Q3 7:02
    Pelicans personal foul
  97. Q3 7:02
    Tony Bradley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  98. Q3 7:15
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  99. Q3 7:21
    Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
  100. Q3 7:45
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    75-82
  101. Q3 7:45
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    76-82
  102. Q3 7:52
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  103. Q3 8:03
    Derik Queen offensive rebound
  104. Q3 8:03
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    73-82
  105. Q3 8:19
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    71-82
  106. Q3 9:10
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  107. Q3 9:27
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  108. Q3 9:39
    Jay Huff offensive rebound
  109. Q3 9:44
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  110. Q3 9:53
    Pelicans personal foul
  111. Q3 10:06
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    68-78
  112. Q3 10:20
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    66-78
  113. Q3 10:31
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  114. Q3 10:41
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    66-75
  115. Q3 11:03
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  116. Q3 11:14
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  117. Q3 11:16
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  118. Q3 11:34
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  119. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  120. Q3 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
  121. Q2 00:06
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    65-71
  122. Q2 00:06
    Pacers personal foul
  123. Q2 00:30
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  124. Q2 1:12
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    63-66
  125. Q2 1:16
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  126. Q2 1:19
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  127. Q2 1:41
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  128. Q2 1:48
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  129. Q2 1:49
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  130. Q2 2:02
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    58-66
  131. Q2 2:26
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    56-66
  132. Q2 2:36
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  133. Q2 2:48
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    53-66
  134. Q2 3:03
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    50-66
  135. Q2 3:29
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    48-63
  136. Q2 4:05
    Jay Huff offensive rebound
  137. Q2 4:05
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
  138. Q2 4:07
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  139. Q2 4:13
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  140. Q2 4:15
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  141. Q2 4:46
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy, T.J. McConnell)
  142. Q2 4:53
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  143. Q2 5:08
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    46-55
  144. Q2 5:08
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  145. Q2 5:09
    Saddiq Bey misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  146. Q2 5:36
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Karlo Matkovic)
  147. Q2 6:16
    Pelicans turnover
  148. Q2 6:30
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  149. Q2 6:46
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  150. Q2 7:16
    Pacers personal foul
  151. Q2 7:16
    Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  152. Q2 7:16
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  153. Q2 7:16
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-45
  154. Q2 7:28
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    43-45
  155. Q2 7:48
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    43-43
  156. Q2 8:00
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    40-43
  157. Q2 8:14
    Pacers personal foul
  158. Q2 8:14
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-41
  159. Q2 8:14
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Poole, Jordan Hawkins, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
  160. Q2 8:23
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    38-41
  161. Q2 8:55
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    36-39
  162. Q2 8:56
    Quenton Jackson offensive rebound
  163. Q2 9:09
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  164. Q2 10:06
    Pelicans turnover
  165. Q2 10:17
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  166. Q2 10:45
    Pacers personal foul
  167. Q2 10:56
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  168. Q2 10:59
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  169. Q2 11:26
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  170. Q2 11:36
    Andrew Nembhard turnover (offensive foul)
  171. Q2 11:47
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  172. Q2 11:47
    Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  173. Q1 00:00
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  174. Q2 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jordan Poole, Jordan Hawkins, Zion Williamson, Yves Missi)
  175. Q2 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Quenton Jackson)
  176. Q1 00:01
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  177. Q1 00:29
    Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
  178. Q1 00:33
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  179. Q1 1:03
    Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
  180. Q1 1:06
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  181. Q1 1:26
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  182. Q1 1:33
    Jordan Poole defensive rebound
  183. Q1 1:38
    Pacers offensive rebound
  184. Q1 1:38
    Jump ball. (T.J. McConnell gains possession)
  185. Q1 1:44
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  186. Q1 2:00
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    31-28
  187. Q1 2:38
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    29-25
  188. Q1 2:46
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  189. Q1 3:19
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  190. Q1 3:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  191. Q1 3:23
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  192. Q1 3:34
    Tony Bradley defensive rebound
  193. Q1 3:48
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  194. Q1 3:50
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  195. Q1 4:13
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    25-25
  196. Q1 4:34
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    25-22
  197. Q1 4:42
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  198. Q1 4:59
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    22-22
  199. Q1 5:12
    Pelicans personal foul
  200. Q1 5:12
    Ben Sheppard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  201. Q1 5:12
    Pacers offensive rebound
  202. Q1 5:13
    Pacers offensive rebound
  203. Q1 5:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  204. Q1 5:13
    Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic)
  205. Q1 5:13
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy, T.J. McConnell)
  206. Q1 5:29
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  207. Q1 5:31
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  208. Q1 6:06
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    20-19
  209. Q1 6:10
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  210. Q1 6:29
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    17-19
  211. Q1 7:02
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy)
  212. Q1 7:03
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  213. Q1 7:39
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    14-15
  214. Q1 7:39
    Pacers personal foul
  215. Q1 7:39
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    15-15
  216. Q1 8:12
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    12-12
  217. Q1 8:23
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    10-12
  218. Q1 8:28
    Pelicans turnover
  219. Q1 8:54
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    10-10
  220. Q1 9:27
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    7-7
  221. Q1 10:01
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    4-4
  222. Q1 10:14
    Jay Huff offensive rebound
  223. Q1 10:17
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  224. Q1 10:34
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  225. Q1 10:36
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  226. Q1 11:22
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  227. Q1 11:26
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  228. Q1 11:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  229. Q1 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
  230. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Pelicans
PosPlayerPts
Pacers
PosPlayerPts

Pelicans vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pelicans vs. Pacers
  • Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pacers favored at -5
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +162, Pacers -184

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pelicans: 34%
  • Pacers: 66%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 116-121 Pacers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 34%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pacers are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pelicans vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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