Bucks vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Grizzlies NBA game on December 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Bucks
104
125
FedExForum
Grizzlies
FedExForum
TEAM1234T
Bucks
35 15 54 0 104
Grizzlies
25 35 65 0 125
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Bucks
    <1%
  • Grizzlies
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Bucks
35 15 54 0 104
Grizzlies
25 35 65 0 125
Q4 00:00 Andre Jackson Jr. misses three point driving floating jump shot
Q4 00:30 Javon Small misses two point floating jump shot
Q4 1:00 Jaylen Wells misses two point tip layup
Q4 1:00 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Christian Koloko misses two point hook shot
Q4 1:12 Javon Small misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Cedric Coward makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
Q4 2:08 Amir Coffey makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 2:25 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Andre Jackson Jr. misses three point driving floating jump shot
  2. Q4 00:00
    Bucks offensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  4. Q4 00:02
    Grizzlies turnover
  5. Q4 00:26
    Bucks turnover
  6. Q4 00:28
    Thanasis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:30
    Javon Small misses two point floating jump shot
  8. Q4 00:51
    Bucks turnover
  9. Q4 1:00
    Jaylen Wells misses two point tip layup
  10. Q4 1:00
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    104-125
  11. Q4 1:00
    Cedric Coward offensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:00
    Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
  13. Q4 1:03
    Christian Koloko misses two point hook shot
  14. Q4 1:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  15. Q4 1:10
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  16. Q4 1:12
    Javon Small misses three point jump shot
  17. Q4 1:29
    Andre Jackson Jr. turnover (traveling)
  18. Q4 1:29
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, GG Jackson, Javon Small, Christian Koloko)
  19. Q4 1:29
    Cole Anthony offensive rebound
  20. Q4 1:34
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  21. Q4 1:46
    +3
    Cedric Coward makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
    104-123
  22. Q4 2:08
    +2
    Amir Coffey makes two point pullup jump shot
    104-125
  23. Q4 2:22
    Andre Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Cedric Coward draws the foul)
  24. Q4 2:22
    +1
    Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    104-123
  25. Q4 2:22
    Cedric Coward offensive rebound
  26. Q4 2:22
    +1
    Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-125
  27. Q4 2:22
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small)
  28. Q4 2:25
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  29. Q4 3:02
    +3
    Andre Jackson Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot
    104-125
  30. Q4 3:26
    AJ Green personal foul
  31. Q4 3:26
    +1
    Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    104-125
  32. Q4 3:26
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
  33. Q4 3:26
    Bucks lineup change (Andre Jackson Jr., Pete Nance, Thanasis Antetokounmpo, Cole Anthony, Amir Coffey)
  34. Q4 3:26
    +1
    Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-125
  35. Q4 3:34
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  36. Q4 3:36
    AJ Green misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  37. Q4 3:50
    +3
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
    104-125
  38. Q4 3:56
    Bucks turnover
  39. Q4 4:05
    Cam Spencer turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)
  40. Q4 4:36
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    104-125
  41. Q4 4:49
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  42. Q4 4:51
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
  43. Q4 4:55
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  44. Q4 4:57
    AJ Green misses three point pullup jump shot
  45. Q4 5:17
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  46. Q4 5:17
    Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
  47. Q4 5:20
    +3
    Jaylen Wells makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
    104-125
  48. Q4 5:24
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  49. Q4 5:27
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 5:33
    Grizzlies personal foul
  51. Q4 5:47
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-125
  52. Q4 5:47
    Bucks personal foul
  53. Q4 5:47
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    104-125
  54. Q4 5:47
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
  55. Q4 5:56
    +2
    Kyle Kuzma makes two point tip layup
    104-125
  56. Q4 5:56
    Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
  57. Q4 6:00
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  58. Q4 6:17
    +3
    Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
    104-125
  59. Q4 6:18
    Bucks personal foul
  60. Q4 6:18
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
  61. Q4 6:18
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    104-125
  62. Q4 6:42
    +3
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot
    104-125
  63. Q4 6:52
    Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  64. Q4 6:54
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  65. Q4 7:16
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    91-104
  66. Q4 7:26
    Bucks personal foul
  67. Q4 7:26
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    91-102
  68. Q4 7:35
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  69. Q4 7:39
    Grizzlies personal foul
  70. Q4 7:39
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  71. Q4 7:39
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    104-125
  72. Q4 7:39
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis)
  73. Q4 7:39
    Kevin Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  74. Q4 7:45
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (AJ Green steals)
  75. Q4 7:50
    Ja Morant defensive rebound
  76. Q4 7:53
    Christian Koloko blocks Kyle Kuzma's two point driving finger roll layup
  77. Q4 8:00
    Gary Harris defensive rebound
  78. Q4 8:02
    GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
  79. Q4 8:18
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    104-125
  80. Q4 8:28
    Grizzlies personal foul
  81. Q4 8:31
    Grizzlies turnover
  82. Q4 8:35
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  83. Q4 8:37
    Myles Turner misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  84. Q4 8:58
    +2
    Cam Spencer makes two point layup (Ja Morant assists)
    104-125
  85. Q4 9:08
    Cedric Coward shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)
  86. Q4 9:08
    +2
    Gary Harris makes two point jump shot
    104-125
  87. Q4 9:08
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
  88. Q4 9:08
    Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
  89. Q4 9:08
    +1
    Gary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    104-125
  90. Q4 9:12
    Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
  91. Q4 9:15
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  92. Q4 9:22
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  93. Q4 9:24
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  94. Q4 9:35
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    104-125
  95. Q4 9:41
    AJ Green turnover (GG Jackson steals)
  96. Q4 9:58
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Harris)
  97. Q4 9:58
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  98. Q4 10:00
    +3
    Cedric Coward makes three point jump shot
    104-125
  99. Q4 10:05
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  100. Q4 10:08
    Jericho Sims misses two point jump shot
  101. Q4 10:15
    Bucks offensive rebound
  102. Q4 10:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  103. Q4 10:17
    Santi Aldama blocks Kevin Porter Jr.'s two point driving layup
  104. Q4 10:30
    Ryan Rollins personal foul
  105. Q4 10:30
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    90-101
  106. Q4 10:30
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  107. Q4 10:30
    Ja Morant misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  108. Q4 10:30
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    104-125
  109. Q4 10:30
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Harris, Jericho Sims)
  110. Q4 10:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  111. Q4 10:43
    Gary Harris personal foul
  112. Q4 10:43
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  113. Q4 10:44
    Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot
  114. Q4 10:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  115. Q4 11:10
    +2
    Ryan Rollins makes two point stepback jump shot
    104-125
  116. Q4 11:28
    Bucks defensive rebound
  117. Q4 11:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  118. Q4 11:32
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  119. Q4 11:47
    Jericho Sims personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
  120. Q3 00:00
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  121. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  122. Q4 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins)
  123. Q4 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, GG Jackson, Ja Morant)
  124. Q3 00:01
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  125. Q3 00:03
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  126. Q3 00:21
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    104-125
  127. Q3 00:35
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  128. Q3 00:38
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  129. Q3 00:48
    Bucks turnover
  130. Q3 00:51
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  131. Q3 00:55
    Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point driving bank hook shot
  132. Q3 1:13
    +2
    Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)
    104-125
  133. Q3 1:32
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    104-125
  134. Q3 1:53
    +1
    Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    78-90
  135. Q3 1:53
    +1
    Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    104-125
  136. Q3 1:53
    Grizzlies personal foul
  137. Q3 2:03
    +2
    GG Jackson makes two point jump shot (Cedric Coward assists)
    85-92
  138. Q3 2:03
    Bucks personal foul
  139. Q3 2:03
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    104-125
  140. Q3 2:19
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    104-125
  141. Q3 2:41
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    104-125
  142. Q3 2:57
    Ryan Rollins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  143. Q3 2:57
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul
  144. Q3 2:57
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  145. Q3 2:57
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
  146. Q3 2:57
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
  147. Q3 2:57
    Bucks offensive rebound
  148. Q3 2:57
    +1
    Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-125
  149. Q3 3:03
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  150. Q3 3:06
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  151. Q3 3:25
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  152. Q3 3:27
    Ryan Rollins misses three point jump shot
  153. Q3 3:36
    Gary Harris offensive rebound
  154. Q3 3:39
    Christian Koloko blocks Ryan Rollins's two point driving finger roll layup
  155. Q3 3:52
    Bucks personal foul
  156. Q3 3:52
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    104-125
  157. Q3 3:52
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-125
  158. Q3 4:00
    Grizzlies personal foul
  159. Q3 4:00
    +1
    Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    104-125
  160. Q3 4:00
    Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
  161. Q3 4:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
  162. Q3 4:00
    +1
    Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-125
  163. Q3 4:05
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  164. Q3 4:07
    Cam Spencer misses three point running jump shot
  165. Q3 4:10
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
  166. Q3 4:13
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 4:18
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  168. Q3 4:23
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  169. Q3 4:27
    Bucks turnover
  170. Q3 4:39
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
  171. Q3 4:39
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
  172. Q3 4:40
    +1
    Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    71-81
  173. Q3 4:40
    Jericho Sims shooting foul (Santi Aldama draws the foul)
  174. Q3 4:40
    +1
    Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    71-80
  175. Q3 4:40
    +1
    Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    71-83
  176. Q3 4:40
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
  177. Q3 4:58
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    71-80
  178. Q3 5:06
    Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  179. Q3 5:08
    Cam Spencer misses three point pullup jump shot
  180. Q3 5:17
    Ryan Rollins personal foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
  181. Q3 5:17
    Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
  182. Q3 5:29
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    104-125
  183. Q3 5:45
    +2
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving floating jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
    71-83
  184. Q3 5:51
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    104-125
  185. Q3 5:53
    Bobby Portis offensive rebound
  186. Q3 5:55
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  187. Q3 6:05
    Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  188. Q3 6:09
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  189. Q3 6:19
    Myles Turner turnover (bad pass) (Cam Spencer steals)
  190. Q3 6:41
    +2
    Christian Koloko makes two point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
    104-125
  191. Q3 6:45
    Bucks turnover
  192. Q3 6:48
    Bobby Portis offensive rebound
  193. Q3 6:51
    Christian Koloko shooting foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)
  194. Q3 6:51
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    104-125
  195. Q3 6:51
    Kevin Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  196. Q3 6:51
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
  197. Q3 6:56
    Ja Morant turnover (lost ball) (Ryan Rollins steals)
  198. Q3 7:14
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    104-125
  199. Q3 7:27
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    104-125
  200. Q3 7:27
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  201. Q3 7:27
    Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
  202. Q3 7:31
    Ja Morant defensive rebound
  203. Q3 7:33
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  204. Q3 7:47
    +3
    Jaylen Wells makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
    104-125
  205. Q3 7:54
    Myles Turner personal foul (Christian Koloko draws the foul)
  206. Q3 8:01
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  207. Q3 8:05
    Kyle Kuzma misses two point jump shot
  208. Q3 8:08
    AJ Green offensive rebound
  209. Q3 8:12
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  210. Q3 8:25
    Kyle Kuzma shooting foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
  211. Q3 8:25
    Jaylen Wells misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  212. Q3 8:25
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
  213. Q3 8:25
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  214. Q3 8:25
    +1
    Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-125
  215. Q3 8:27
    Kevin Porter Jr. turnover (Jaylen Wells steals)
  216. Q3 8:34
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  217. Q3 8:38
    Ja Morant misses two point jump shot
  218. Q3 8:49
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  219. Q3 8:53
    Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
  220. Q3 9:13
    +2
    Ja Morant makes two point running finger roll layup
    61-69
  221. Q3 9:13
    AJ Green personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
  222. Q3 9:13
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    104-125
  223. Q3 9:14
    Ja Morant defensive rebound
  224. Q3 9:16
    Myles Turner offensive rebound
  225. Q3 9:16
    Jaren Jackson Jr. blocks Myles Turner's two point putback layup
  226. Q3 9:21
    Kevin Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
  227. Q3 9:34
    Jaylen Wells turnover (traveling)
  228. Q3 9:46
    +3
    AJ Green makes three point jump shot
    71-83
  229. Q3 10:05
    +3
    Cedric Coward makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
    71-83
  230. Q3 10:15
    Jaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
  231. Q3 10:15
    +2
    Kyle Kuzma makes two point driving finger roll layup
    71-83
  232. Q3 10:15
    +1
    Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    71-83
  233. Q3 10:25
    +2
    Ja Morant makes two point jump shot
    55-64
  234. Q3 10:38
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    71-83
  235. Q3 10:41
    Bobby Portis offensive rebound
  236. Q3 10:45
    Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
  237. Q3 10:52
    Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  238. Q3 10:54
    Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
  239. Q3 10:58
    Kevin Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Ja Morant steals)
  240. Q3 11:21
    +2
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
    71-83
  241. Q3 11:36
    +2
    Kyle Kuzma makes two point tip layup
    71-83
  242. Q3 11:36
    Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
  243. Q3 11:40
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  244. Q3 11:59
    Bucks offensive rebound
  245. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  246. Q2 00:00
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  247. Q2 00:00
    Bucks offensive rebound
  248. Q3 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis)
  249. Q3 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
  250. Q2 00:02
    +2
    Jaylen Wells makes two point cutting dunk (Ja Morant assists)
    50-60
  251. Q2 00:08
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  252. Q2 00:10
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  253. Q2 00:30
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  254. Q2 00:33
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  255. Q2 00:45
    Jericho Sims turnover (offensive foul)
  256. Q2 00:45
    Jericho Sims offensive foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
  257. Q2 00:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  258. Q2 00:57
    Jericho Sims personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
  259. Q2 00:57
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    50-60
  260. Q2 00:57
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-83
  261. Q2 00:57
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant)
  262. Q2 1:20
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    99-116
  263. Q2 1:22
    AJ Green offensive rebound
  264. Q2 1:24
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  265. Q2 1:31
    Jaylen Wells turnover (Bobby Portis steals)
  266. Q2 1:50
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    85-92
  267. Q2 1:53
    Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
  268. Q2 1:57
    Bobby Portis shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
  269. Q2 1:57
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-92
  270. Q2 1:57
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Jericho Sims, Bobby Portis)
  271. Q2 1:57
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
  272. Q2 1:57
    Jaren Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  273. Q2 2:14
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  274. Q2 2:17
    Bobby Portis misses three point jump shot
  275. Q2 2:39
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    71-83
  276. Q2 3:01
    Stoppage (Other)
  277. Q2 3:04
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    85-92
  278. Q2 3:17
    Bobby Portis personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
  279. Q2 3:17
    Ja Morant defensive rebound
  280. Q2 3:17
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-92
  281. Q2 3:17
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-92
  282. Q2 3:18
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  283. Q2 3:31
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  284. Q2 3:33
    Cedric Coward misses two point pullup jump shot
  285. Q2 3:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  286. Q2 3:48
    Jaylen Wells personal foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)
  287. Q2 3:48
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-92
  288. Q2 3:48
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
  289. Q2 3:48
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-92
  290. Q2 3:58
    +3
    Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
    41-51
  291. Q2 4:06
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  292. Q2 4:09
    AJ Green misses three point jump shot
  293. Q2 4:27
    Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
  294. Q2 4:30
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  295. Q2 4:46
    Bucks turnover
  296. Q2 4:55
    Bucks personal foul
  297. Q2 4:55
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-92
  298. Q2 4:55
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-92
  299. Q2 4:57
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  300. Q2 4:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  301. Q2 4:58
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point jump shot
  302. Q2 5:10
    Bucks personal foul
  303. Q2 5:15
    Ryan Rollins personal foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
  304. Q2 5:15
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis)
  305. Q2 5:24
    Bucks turnover
  306. Q2 5:43
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    71-83
  307. Q2 5:55
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
  308. Q2 5:55
    Bucks turnover
  309. Q2 6:01
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    78-90
  310. Q2 6:12
    Cam Spencer offensive rebound
  311. Q2 6:18
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  312. Q2 6:27
    Kyle Kuzma personal foul
  313. Q2 6:34
    Christian Koloko defensive rebound
  314. Q2 6:36
    Kyle Kuzma misses two point jump shot
  315. Q2 6:52
    +2
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
    71-83
  316. Q2 7:03
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  317. Q2 7:05
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  318. Q2 7:05
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  319. Q2 7:05
    Ja Morant shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
  320. Q2 7:05
    Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  321. Q2 7:05
    +1
    Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    41-39
  322. Q2 7:05
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
  323. Q2 7:17
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
  324. Q2 7:17
    GG Jackson personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
  325. Q2 7:29
    +2
    Ja Morant makes two point driving layup
    40-39
  326. Q2 7:39
    Bobby Portis turnover (lost ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)
  327. Q2 7:59
    +2
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving finger roll layup
    40-37
  328. Q2 8:02
    Christian Koloko offensive rebound
  329. Q2 8:06
    GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
  330. Q2 8:08
    Cam Spencer offensive rebound
  331. Q2 8:10
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point pullup jump shot
  332. Q2 8:28
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  333. Q2 8:35
    Ja Morant shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
  334. Q2 8:35
    +1
    Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    40-35
  335. Q2 8:35
    Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
  336. Q2 8:35
    Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  337. Q2 8:35
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Gary Harris, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
  338. Q2 8:35
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
  339. Q2 8:39
    Santi Aldama turnover (lost ball) (Bobby Portis steals)
  340. Q2 8:48
    +2
    Gary Harris makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bobby Portis assists)
    39-35
  341. Q2 9:02
    +2
    Ja Morant makes two point driving finger roll layup
    37-35
  342. Q2 9:09
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  343. Q2 9:12
    Ryan Rollins misses two point pullup jump shot
  344. Q2 9:25
    +2
    Santi Aldama makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Ja Morant assists)
    37-33
  345. Q2 9:25
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  346. Q2 9:25
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
  347. Q2 9:26
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  348. Q2 9:30
    Jaren Jackson Jr. blocks Myles Turner's two point cutting layup
  349. Q2 9:49
    +2
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot (Ja Morant assists)
    37-31
  350. Q2 9:58
    +2
    Ryan Rollins makes two point stepback jump shot
    37-29
  351. Q2 10:08
    Amir Coffey defensive rebound
  352. Q2 10:10
    GG Jackson misses two point turnaround hook shot
  353. Q2 10:19
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  354. Q2 10:22
    GG Jackson blocks Ryan Rollins's two point driving finger roll layup
  355. Q2 10:37
    +2
    Ja Morant makes two point running dunk (Cedric Coward assists)
    35-29
  356. Q2 10:42
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  357. Q2 10:45
    Myles Turner misses three point jump shot
  358. Q2 10:52
    Jaren Jackson Jr. blocks Myles Turner's two point driving layup
  359. Q2 10:52
    Bucks offensive rebound
  360. Q2 10:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  361. Q2 11:10
    +2
    Ja Morant makes two point running finger roll layup
    35-27
  362. Q2 11:15
    Myles Turner turnover (lost ball) (Jaren Jackson Jr. steals)
  363. Q2 11:18
    Myles Turner offensive rebound
  364. Q2 11:19
    Myles Turner misses two point driving floating jump shot
  365. Q2 11:42
    Ja Morant turnover (bad pass) (Ryan Rollins steals)
  366. Q2 11:42
    GG Jackson personal foul (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)
  367. Q2 11:47
    Ryan Rollins turnover (bad pass) (GG Jackson steals)
  368. Q1 00:00
    Ryan Rollins misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  369. Q2 12:00
    Start of 2nd Quarter
  370. Q2 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Amir Coffey)
  371. Q2 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, GG Jackson, Ja Morant)
  372. Q2 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Amir Coffey, Bobby Portis)
  373. Q1 11:49
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Box Score
Bucks
PosPlayerPts
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts

Bucks vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Bucks vs. Grizzlies
  • Date: Friday, December 26, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Grizzlies favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Bucks +165, Grizzlies -185

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Bucks: 31%
  • Grizzlies: 69%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 112-117 Grizzlies.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 31%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Grizzlies are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at FedExForum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Bucks vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.