Suns vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Suns vs. Thunder NBA game on December 10, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Suns
89
138
Paycom Center
Thunder
Paycom Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suns | 23 | 25 | 24 | 17 | 89 |
Thunder | 38 | 36 | 36 | 28 | 138 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Suns
- Thunder
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suns | 23 | 25 | 24 | 17 | 89 |
Thunder | 38 | 36 | 36 | 28 | 138 |
Q4 00:35 Suns misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Suns makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Suns makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:15 Suns makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Thunder turnover
- Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Thunder violation
- Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot89-138
- Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot87-138
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot85-138
- Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot85-135
- Thunder personal foul
- Nigel Hayes-Davis defensive rebound
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot83-138
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot83-135
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot83-133
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Jamaree Bouyea defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Branden Carlson defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot80-133
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot80-131
- Suns personal foul
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot80-128
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot78-128
- Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot78-125
- Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot78-123
- Thunder turnover
- Thunder defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot76-123
- Suns 60 second timeout
- Suns lineup change (Rasheer Fleming, Oso Ighodaro, Khaman Maluach, Jamaree Bouyea, Nigel Hayes-Davis)
- Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams)
- Branden Carlson defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Suns offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Ousmane Dieng, Branden Carlson, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams)
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot76-121
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Suns offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot74-121
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot74-118
- Thunder turnover
- Suns personal foul
- Nick Richards turnover (offensive foul)
- Suns lineup change (Jordan Goodwin, Rasheer Fleming, Khaman Maluach, Jamaree Bouyea, Nigel Hayes-Davis)
- Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Ousmane Dieng, Branden Carlson, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot72-118
- Suns turnover
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot72-115
- Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot72-113
- Thunder defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nick Richards defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Suns turnover
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot72-110
- Instant replay
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Nick Richards, Jordan Goodwin, Jamaree Bouyea, Nigel Hayes-Davis)
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Branden Carlson, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot69-110
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot69-107
- Thunder violation
- Thunder turnover
- Suns turnover
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot67-107
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot67-105
- Suns turnover
- Thunder turnover
- Nick Richards defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Suns personal foul
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot64-105
- Nick Richards defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Nick Richards, Jordan Goodwin, Collin Gillespie, Jamaree Bouyea)
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Nick Richards defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot62-105
- Suns turnover
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
- Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Nick Richards, Jordan Goodwin, Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot62-103
- Thunder turnover
- Suns turnover
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot62-100
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot62-98
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot60-97
- Suns personal foul
- +1Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 160-98
- Ryan Dunn offensive rebound
- Suns turnover
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Nick Richards defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 259-95
- +1Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 260-95
- Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Nick Richards, Jordan Goodwin, Dillon Brooks)
- Ryan Dunn defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Suns personal foul
- Grayson Allen turnover
- Instant replay
- Chet Holmgren misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Jordan Goodwin, Dillon Brooks, Oso Ighodaro)
- +1Chet Holmgren makes flagrant free throw 2 of 258-95
- Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren)
- Grayson Allen ejected from the game (Other)
- Thunder violation
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot60-94
- Thunder defensive rebound
- Ryan Dunn misses two point dunk
- Ryan Dunn turnover (offensive goaltending)
- Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot58-93
- Suns personal foul
- +1Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 158-94
- Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Jordan Goodwin, Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen)
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Suns turnover
- Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Collin Gillespie)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot58-91
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Mark Williams defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot58-88
- Thunder turnover
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot56-88
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Mark Williams offensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Grayson Allen personal foul
- Suns 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball) (Grayson Allen steals)
- Grayson Allen turnover
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 255-86
- +1Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 256-86
- Mark Williams defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot54-86
- Thunder turnover
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 251-86
- +1Mark Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 252-86
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot50-86
- Suns turnover
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot50-84
- Suns turnover
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot50-82
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 249-80
- +1Mark Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 250-80
- Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
- Thunder personal foul
- Dillon Brooks misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Suns offensive rebound
- Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot48-80
- Suns 60 second timeout
- Jalen Williams defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Grayson Allen offensive rebound
- Grayson Allen misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot48-78
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Thunder defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot48-76
- Instant replay
- End of 1st Half.
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot48-74
- Cason Wallace defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot48-71
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot48-68
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot45-68
- Suns turnover
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot45-65
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- Cason Wallace personal foul
- Mark Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Suns offensive rebound
- Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
- Suns lineup change (Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Mark Williams, Grayson Allen, Collin Gillespie)
- Mark Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Thunder turnover
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot45-62
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot42-62
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot42-60
- Suns turnover
- Suns offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot42-57
- Thunder personal foul
- Instant replay
- +3Dillon Brooks makes three point jump shot41-54
- Jaylin Williams turnover
- +1Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 142-54
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot38-54
- Suns 60 second timeout
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Mark Williams defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Suns turnover
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Suns offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
- Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot38-52
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot36-52
- Suns personal foul
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 235-49
- Suns lineup change (Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Mark Williams, Grayson Allen, Jamaree Bouyea)
- Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
- +1Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 236-49
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot34-49
- Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Thunder defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Thunder turnover
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Suns personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
- Suns lineup change (Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Oso Ighodaro, Collin Gillespie, Jamaree Bouyea)
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Oso Ighodaro offensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot34-47
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot34-45
- Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Alex Caruso defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Thunder turnover
- Jalen Williams defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
- Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot32-45
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot30-45
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Suns turnover
- Suns personal foul
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 228-44
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 228-45
- Suns lineup change (Royce O'Neale, Jordan Goodwin, Oso Ighodaro, Collin Gillespie, Jamaree Bouyea)
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot28-43
- Thunder turnover
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot25-43
- Suns personal foul
- +1Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 223-42
- +1Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 223-43
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot23-41
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Thunder offensive rebound
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Chet Holmgren)
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot23-38
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot21-38
- Suns turnover
- Jamaree Bouyea defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Suns turnover
- Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot21-36
- Oso Ighodaro offensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot19-36
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot16-36
- Alex Caruso offensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot16-33
- Suns 60 second timeout
- Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Jordan Goodwin, Oso Ighodaro, Collin Gillespie, Jamaree Bouyea)
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins)
- Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Thunder turnover
- Cason Wallace defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot16-31
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Jordan Goodwin turnover (lost ball)
- Jordan Goodwin offensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot16-28
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 215-26
- Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Jordan Goodwin, Dillon Brooks, Oso Ighodaro, Grayson Allen)
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins)
- +1Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 216-26
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot14-26
- Jalen Williams defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Oso Ighodaro, Grayson Allen)
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot14-24
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot14-22
- Thunder turnover
- Cason Wallace defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot12-21
- Suns personal foul
- +1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 112-22
- Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Mark Williams, Grayson Allen)
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot12-19
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot10-19
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot10-17
- Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jalen Williams defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Collin Gillespie offensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot7-17
- Suns 60 second timeout
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot7-14
- Thunder turnover
- Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Jalen Williams defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot5-14
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot5-11
- Suns personal foul
- +1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 22-10
- +1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 22-11
- Suns turnover
- Suns personal foul
- +1Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 22-8
- +1Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 22-9
- Suns turnover
- Mark Williams misses two point turnaround jump shot
- Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
- Mark Williams defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Cason Wallace defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- +2Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot2-7
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot2-5
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot2-2
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot0-2
- Collin Gillespie turnover
- Mark Williams (Collin Gillespie gains possession)
- Start of 1st Quarter
- Suns lineup change (Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Mark Williams, Grayson Allen, Collin Gillespie)
- Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Suns vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Suns vs. Thunder
- Date: Wednesday, December 10, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -15.5
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5
- Moneyline Odds: Suns +870, Thunder -1100
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Suns: 13%
- Thunder: 87%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Suns 104-118 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Suns a win probability of 13%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 87%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Suns in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Suns vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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