Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Spurs NBA game on May 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Thunder
28
31
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Thunder
26 2 0 0 28
Spurs
31 0 0 0 31
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Thunder
    2%
  • Spurs
    98%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
26 2 0 0 28
Spurs
31 0 0 0 31
Q4 00:12 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:44 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:16 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:12
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  3. Q4 00:25
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  4. Q4 00:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  5. Q4 1:05
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  6. Q4 1:05
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  7. Q4 1:10
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  8. Q4 1:30
    Spurs personal foul
  9. Q4 1:30
    Kelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)
  10. Q4 1:30
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Nikola Topic, Jaylin Williams, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
  11. Q4 1:31
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:34
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  13. Q4 1:38
    Spurs turnover
  14. Q4 1:51
    Spurs personal foul
  15. Q4 1:51
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  16. Q4 1:51
    Spurs lineup change (Bismack Biyombo, Mason Plumlee, Kelly Olynyk, Lindy Waters III, Jordan McLaughlin)
  17. Q4 1:51
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  18. Q4 2:02
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  19. Q4 2:07
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  20. Q4 2:28
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  21. Q4 2:44
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  22. Q4 2:55
    Spurs personal foul
  23. Q4 2:55
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  24. Q4 2:55
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  25. Q4 3:03
    Spurs personal foul
  26. Q4 3:03
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  27. Q4 3:12
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  28. Q4 3:16
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  29. Q4 3:31
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  30. Q4 3:31
    Spurs defensive rebound
  31. Q4 3:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  32. Q4 3:31
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  33. Q4 3:49
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  34. Q4 3:50
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  35. Q4 3:50
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
  36. Q4 3:59
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  37. Q4 4:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  38. Q4 4:28
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  39. Q4 4:28
    Thunder personal foul
  40. Q4 4:28
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    28-31
  41. Q4 4:28
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  42. Q4 4:39
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  43. Q4 4:42
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  44. Q4 4:56
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  45. Q4 5:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  46. Q4 5:09
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  47. Q4 5:09
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  48. Q4 5:09
    Spurs offensive rebound
  49. Q4 5:09
    Thunder personal foul
  50. Q4 5:11
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  51. Q4 5:24
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  52. Q4 5:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  53. Q4 5:44
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  54. Q4 5:46
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  55. Q4 5:57
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  56. Q4 5:57
    Spurs personal foul
  57. Q4 5:57
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
  58. Q4 5:57
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  59. Q4 5:57
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    28-31
  60. Q4 6:20
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  61. Q4 6:22
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  62. Q4 6:39
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  63. Q4 6:56
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  64. Q4 6:56
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  65. Q4 6:56
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  66. Q4 6:56
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  67. Q4 6:56
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  68. Q4 6:56
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  69. Q4 6:56
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  70. Q4 6:59
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  71. Q4 7:07
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  72. Q4 7:10
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  73. Q4 7:21
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  74. Q4 7:41
    Spurs personal foul
  75. Q4 7:41
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    28-31
  76. Q4 7:41
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    28-31
  77. Q4 7:41
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    28-31
  78. Q4 7:46
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  79. Q4 7:47
    Thunder offensive rebound
  80. Q4 7:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  81. Q4 7:51
    Spurs personal foul
  82. Q4 7:51
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  83. Q4 7:51
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  84. Q4 8:13
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  85. Q4 8:23
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  86. Q4 8:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  87. Q4 8:33
    Spurs turnover
  88. Q4 8:46
    Spurs defensive rebound
  89. Q4 8:46
    Thunder personal foul
  90. Q4 8:46
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  91. Q4 8:47
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  92. Q4 8:57
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  93. Q4 8:57
    Spurs turnover
  94. Q4 8:57
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  95. Q4 8:59
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  96. Q4 9:27
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  97. Q4 9:29
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  98. Q4 9:31
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  99. Q4 9:46
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  100. Q4 10:08
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  101. Q4 10:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  102. Q4 10:28
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  103. Q4 10:30
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  104. Q4 10:30
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  105. Q4 10:42
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  106. Q4 10:44
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  107. Q4 10:50
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  108. Q4 10:54
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  109. Q4 11:06
    Thunder personal foul
  110. Q4 11:06
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  111. Q4 11:06
    Spurs offensive rebound
  112. Q4 11:06
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  113. Q4 11:10
    Thunder turnover
  114. Q4 11:19
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  115. Q4 11:22
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  116. Q4 11:36
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  117. Q4 11:50
    Spurs turnover
  118. Q3 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  119. Q3 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  120. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  121. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  122. Q3 00:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  123. Q3 00:28
    Thunder offensive rebound
  124. Q3 00:28
    Spurs personal foul
  125. Q3 00:28
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  126. Q3 00:28
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  127. Q3 00:28
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  128. Q3 00:28
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  129. Q3 00:30
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  130. Q3 00:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  131. Q3 00:58
    Spurs personal foul
  132. Q3 00:58
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  133. Q3 00:58
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  134. Q3 1:09
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  135. Q3 1:09
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  136. Q3 1:11
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  137. Q3 1:16
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  138. Q3 1:27
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  139. Q3 1:30
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  140. Q3 1:39
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  141. Q3 1:44
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  142. Q3 1:53
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  143. Q3 2:08
    Victor Wembanyama personal foul
  144. Q3 2:08
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  145. Q3 2:08
    Thunder personal foul
  146. Q3 2:08
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    28-31
  147. Q3 2:18
    Spurs personal foul
  148. Q3 2:18
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  149. Q3 2:18
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  150. Q3 2:18
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  151. Q3 2:32
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  152. Q3 2:35
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  153. Q3 2:46
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  154. Q3 3:03
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  155. Q3 3:03
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  156. Q3 3:03
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain)
  157. Q3 3:03
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  158. Q3 3:14
    Spurs personal foul
  159. Q3 3:14
    Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  160. Q3 3:14
    Thunder offensive rebound
  161. Q3 3:14
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  162. Q3 3:19
    Thunder personal foul
  163. Q3 3:19
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  164. Q3 3:19
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
  165. Q3 3:19
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  166. Q3 3:19
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  167. Q3 3:34
    Spurs personal foul
  168. Q3 3:34
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  169. Q3 3:34
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
  170. Q3 3:34
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  171. Q3 3:34
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  172. Q3 3:40
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  173. Q3 3:42
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  174. Q3 3:57
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  175. Q3 3:59
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  176. Q3 4:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  177. Q3 4:17
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  178. Q3 4:29
    Spurs personal foul
  179. Q3 4:29
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  180. Q3 4:29
    Thunder offensive rebound
  181. Q3 4:29
    +1
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  182. Q3 4:42
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  183. Q3 4:42
    Thunder personal foul
  184. Q3 4:42
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    28-31
  185. Q3 4:46
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  186. Q3 4:49
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  187. Q3 4:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  188. Q3 4:58
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  189. Q3 5:06
    Carter Bryant personal foul
  190. Q3 5:06
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  191. Q3 5:06
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
  192. Q3 5:06
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  193. Q3 5:06
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
  194. Q3 5:06
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  195. Q3 5:20
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  196. Q3 5:22
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  197. Q3 5:39
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  198. Q3 5:42
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  199. Q3 5:44
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  200. Q3 5:47
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  201. Q3 6:01
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  202. Q3 6:06
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  203. Q3 6:16
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  204. Q3 6:19
    Thunder personal foul
  205. Q3 6:19
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  206. Q3 6:19
    Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  207. Q3 6:30
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  208. Q3 6:54
    Thunder personal foul
  209. Q3 6:54
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  210. Q3 6:54
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
  211. Q3 6:54
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  212. Q3 6:54
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  213. Q3 6:54
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  214. Q3 7:04
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  215. Q3 7:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  216. Q3 7:10
    Spurs personal foul
  217. Q3 7:10
    Instant replay
  218. Q3 7:10
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    28-31
  219. Q3 7:18
    Thunder violation
  220. Q3 7:18
    Spurs personal foul
  221. Q3 7:18
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  222. Q3 7:18
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  223. Q3 7:22
    Spurs violation
  224. Q3 7:26
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  225. Q3 7:26
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  226. Q3 7:33
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  227. Q3 7:51
    Spurs personal foul
  228. Q3 7:51
    Thunder personal foul
  229. Q3 7:51
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  230. Q3 7:51
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  231. Q3 8:00
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  232. Q3 8:14
    Thunder personal foul
  233. Q3 8:14
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  234. Q3 8:14
    Spurs offensive rebound
  235. Q3 8:14
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  236. Q3 8:19
    Thunder personal foul
  237. Q3 8:19
    Instant replay
  238. Q3 8:19
    Spurs personal foul
  239. Q3 8:19
    Ajay Mitchell technical foul (Double)
  240. Q3 8:19
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  241. Q3 8:19
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren)
  242. Q3 8:19
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  243. Q3 8:22
    Thunder turnover
  244. Q3 8:38
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  245. Q3 8:40
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  246. Q3 8:47
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  247. Q3 8:47
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  248. Q3 8:53
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  249. Q3 9:02
    Thunder personal foul
  250. Q3 9:02
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  251. Q3 9:02
    Spurs offensive rebound
  252. Q3 9:02
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  253. Q3 9:04
    Thunder turnover
  254. Q3 9:20
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  255. Q3 9:32
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  256. Q3 9:39
    Spurs turnover
  257. Q3 9:53
    Thunder personal foul
  258. Q3 10:03
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  259. Q3 10:24
    Thunder personal foul
  260. Q3 10:24
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  261. Q3 10:24
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  262. Q3 10:24
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
  263. Q3 10:27
    Thunder turnover
  264. Q3 10:32
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  265. Q3 10:36
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  266. Q3 10:45
    Spurs defensive rebound
  267. Q3 10:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  268. Q3 10:48
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  269. Q3 10:53
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  270. Q3 10:55
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  271. Q3 11:02
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  272. Q3 11:05
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  273. Q3 11:17
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  274. Q3 11:20
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  275. Q3 11:43
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  276. Q2 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  277. Q2 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  278. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  279. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
  280. Q2 00:01
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  281. Q2 00:06
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  282. Q2 00:27
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  283. Q2 00:34
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  284. Q2 00:37
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  285. Q2 00:58
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  286. Q2 1:00
    Spurs personal foul
  287. Q2 1:00
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  288. Q2 1:00
    Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  289. Q2 1:00
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
  290. Q2 1:20
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  291. Q2 1:20
    Thunder personal foul
  292. Q2 1:20
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  293. Q2 1:20
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  294. Q2 1:20
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
  295. Q2 1:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  296. Q2 1:32
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  297. Q2 1:35
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  298. Q2 1:55
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  299. Q2 2:08
    Thunder personal foul
  300. Q2 2:08
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  301. Q2 2:08
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  302. Q2 2:08
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  303. Q2 2:15
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  304. Q2 2:18
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  305. Q2 2:34
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  306. Q2 2:34
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul
  307. Q2 2:34
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  308. Q2 2:34
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  309. Q2 2:35
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  310. Q2 2:49
    Thunder turnover
  311. Q2 2:49
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  312. Q2 2:49
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  313. Q2 3:00
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  314. Q2 3:03
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  315. Q2 3:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  316. Q2 3:11
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  317. Q2 3:24
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  318. Q2 3:34
    Jump ball. (Cason Wallace gains possession)
  319. Q2 3:34
    De'Aaron Fox turnover (lost ball)
  320. Q2 3:38
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  321. Q2 3:51
    Thunder personal foul
  322. Q2 3:51
    Jared McCain turnover (offensive foul)
  323. Q2 3:56
    Spurs violation
  324. Q2 3:56
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
  325. Q2 3:56
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  326. Q2 3:56
    Luke Kornet kicked ball violation
  327. Q2 4:01
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  328. Q2 4:03
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  329. Q2 4:08
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  330. Q2 4:36
    Thunder personal foul
  331. Q2 4:36
    Spurs personal foul
  332. Q2 4:36
    Spurs personal foul
  333. Q2 4:36
    Spurs personal foul
  334. Q2 4:36
    Keldon Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
  335. Q2 4:36
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  336. Q2 4:51
    Spurs personal foul
  337. Q2 4:51
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  338. Q2 4:51
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  339. Q2 5:00
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  340. Q2 5:00
    Spurs personal foul
  341. Q2 5:00
    Stephon Castle turnover (offensive foul)
  342. Q2 5:00
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  343. Q2 5:12
    Spurs personal foul
  344. Q2 5:22
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  345. Q2 5:22
    Spurs turnover
  346. Q2 5:22
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
  347. Q2 5:26
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  348. Q2 5:35
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  349. Q2 5:37
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  350. Q2 5:56
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  351. Q2 5:58
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  352. Q2 6:25
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  353. Q2 6:31
    Thunder personal foul
  354. Q2 6:40
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  355. Q2 6:40
    Spurs offensive rebound
  356. Q2 6:40
    Thunder personal foul
  357. Q2 6:49
    Thunder personal foul
  358. Q2 6:49
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  359. Q2 6:49
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain)
  360. Q2 7:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  361. Q2 7:17
    Thunder personal foul
  362. Q2 7:17
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  363. Q2 7:17
    Spurs offensive rebound
  364. Q2 7:17
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren)
  365. Q2 7:17
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
  366. Q2 7:17
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  367. Q2 7:25
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  368. Q2 7:28
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  369. Q2 7:48
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  370. Q2 7:50
    Dylan Harper offensive rebound
  371. Q2 7:54
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  372. Q2 8:19
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  373. Q2 8:34
    Thunder defensive rebound
  374. Q2 8:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  375. Q2 8:34
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  376. Q2 8:34
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
  377. Q2 8:35
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  378. Q2 8:46
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  379. Q2 8:49
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  380. Q2 8:53
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  381. Q2 9:12
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  382. Q2 9:25
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  383. Q2 9:38
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  384. Q2 9:45
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  385. Q2 9:47
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  386. Q2 10:09
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  387. Q2 10:22
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  388. Q2 10:44
    Spurs turnover
  389. Q2 10:56
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    28-31
  390. Q2 11:13
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  391. Q2 11:18
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  392. Q2 11:25
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  393. Q1 00:00
    Spurs personal foul
  394. Q1 00:00
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
  395. Q1 00:00
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  396. Q1 00:00
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
  397. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  398. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  399. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  400. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
  401. Q1 00:21
    Spurs defensive rebound
  402. Q1 00:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  403. Q1 00:21
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  404. Q1 00:21
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  405. Q1 00:21
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  406. Q1 00:21
    Instant replay
  407. Q1 00:21
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
  408. Q1 00:21
    Spurs personal foul
  409. Q1 00:21
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  410. Q1 00:21
    Victor Wembanyama turnover
  411. Q1 00:21
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    25-31
  412. Q1 00:21
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    26-31
  413. Q1 00:21
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
  414. Q1 00:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  415. Q1 00:21
    Thunder challenge timeout
  416. Q1 00:22
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  417. Q1 00:33
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    24-31
  418. Q1 00:44
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  419. Q1 00:47
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  420. Q1 00:59
    Thunder personal foul
  421. Q1 00:59
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  422. Q1 00:59
    Spurs offensive rebound
  423. Q1 00:59
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  424. Q1 00:59
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
  425. Q1 00:59
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-28
  426. Q1 1:04
    Thunder turnover
  427. Q1 1:10
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  428. Q1 1:12
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  429. Q1 1:19
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  430. Q1 1:22
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  431. Q1 1:38
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    24-27
  432. Q1 1:40
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  433. Q1 1:44
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  434. Q1 1:44
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball)
  435. Q1 2:01
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    22-27
  436. Q1 2:20
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    20-27
  437. Q1 2:33
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  438. Q1 2:38
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  439. Q1 2:46
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  440. Q1 2:49
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  441. Q1 3:00
    Spurs personal foul
  442. Q1 3:00
    Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  443. Q1 3:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  444. Q1 3:00
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    20-24
  445. Q1 3:02
    Spurs personal foul
  446. Q1 3:02
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  447. Q1 3:02
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  448. Q1 3:13
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  449. Q1 3:13
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  450. Q1 3:13
    Spurs personal foul
  451. Q1 3:13
    Thunder defensive rebound
  452. Q1 3:16
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  453. Q1 3:19
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  454. Q1 3:22
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  455. Q1 3:35
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  456. Q1 3:37
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  457. Q1 3:44
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  458. Q1 3:44
    Spurs offensive rebound
  459. Q1 3:44
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  460. Q1 3:44
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
  461. Q1 3:44
    Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  462. Q1 3:57
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    19-24
  463. Q1 4:11
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    17-24
  464. Q1 4:23
    Spurs personal foul
  465. Q1 4:23
    Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  466. Q1 4:23
    Thunder offensive rebound
  467. Q1 4:23
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  468. Q1 4:23
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    17-21
  469. Q1 4:32
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  470. Q1 4:34
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  471. Q1 4:47
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    16-21
  472. Q1 4:58
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    13-21
  473. Q1 5:11
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    13-19
  474. Q1 5:14
    Alex Caruso offensive rebound
  475. Q1 5:17
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  476. Q1 5:27
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  477. Q1 5:33
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  478. Q1 5:41
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  479. Q1 5:44
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  480. Q1 5:57
    Spurs turnover
  481. Q1 6:14
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  482. Q1 6:17
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    10-19
  483. Q1 6:31
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  484. Q1 6:35
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  485. Q1 6:49
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    7-19
  486. Q1 6:52
    Jared McCain offensive rebound
  487. Q1 6:55
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  488. Q1 7:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  489. Q1 7:01
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
  490. Q1 7:01
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
  491. Q1 7:17
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    4-19
  492. Q1 7:21
    Thunder turnover
  493. Q1 7:27
    Spurs turnover
  494. Q1 7:41
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    4-17
  495. Q1 7:50
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    2-17
  496. Q1 8:06
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    2-15
  497. Q1 8:14
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  498. Q1 8:17
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  499. Q1 8:24
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  500. Q1 8:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  501. Q1 8:42
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  502. Q1 8:45
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  503. Q1 8:56
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  504. Q1 8:57
    Thunder offensive rebound
  505. Q1 8:57
    Thunder turnover
  506. Q1 8:57
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell)
  507. Q1 9:23
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    0-15
  508. Q1 9:28
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  509. Q1 9:31
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  510. Q1 9:44
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
    0-12
  511. Q1 9:48
    Thunder turnover
  512. Q1 9:54
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  513. Q1 9:57
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
  514. Q1 10:10
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  515. Q1 10:12
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    0-10
  516. Q1 10:15
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  517. Q1 10:19
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  518. Q1 10:26
    Spurs personal foul
  519. Q1 10:35
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  520. Q1 10:35
    Thunder personal foul
  521. Q1 10:35
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    0-6
  522. Q1 10:35
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    0-7
  523. Q1 10:38
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  524. Q1 10:43
    Thunder turnover
  525. Q1 11:03
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    0-5
  526. Q1 11:20
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  527. Q1 11:22
    Chet Holmgren misses two point jump shot
  528. Q1 11:39
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  529. Q1 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
  530. Q1 12:00
    Chet Holmgren vs. Victor Wembanyama (Stephon Castle gains possession)
  531. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  532. Q1 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
Box Score
Thunder
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Thunder vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Spurs
  • Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder +135, Spurs 57¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 39%
  • Spurs: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 108-111 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 39%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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