Nuggets vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Spurs NBA game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Nuggets
128
118
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
37 38 51 2 128
Spurs
34 29 55 0 118
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nuggets
    84%
  • Spurs
    16%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
37 38 51 2 128
Spurs
34 29 55 0 118
Q4 00:44 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Julian Strawther makes two point running dunk
Q4 00:49 De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 De'Aaron Fox misses three point running jump shot
Q4 1:06 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:24 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:28 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:18
    Nuggets turnover
  3. Q4 00:41
    Curtis Jones defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:44
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:47
    +2
    Julian Strawther makes two point running dunk
    128-118
  6. Q4 00:49
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:49
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 00:52
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  9. Q4 00:55
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  10. Q4 00:57
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  11. Q4 1:00
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point running jump shot
  12. Q4 1:02
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  13. Q4 1:06
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  14. Q4 1:16
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  15. Q4 1:19
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 1:24
    David Roddy offensive rebound
  17. Q4 1:24
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  18. Q4 1:28
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  19. Q4 1:43
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  20. Q4 1:45
    Nuggets turnover
  21. Q4 1:55
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:55
    Spurs personal foul
  23. Q4 1:56
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 1:58
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  25. Q4 2:01
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 2:02
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  27. Q4 2:07
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  28. Q4 2:15
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  29. Q4 2:19
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  30. Q4 2:41
    Nuggets personal foul
  31. Q4 2:41
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    128-118
  32. Q4 2:41
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    128-118
  33. Q4 2:41
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  34. Q4 2:45
    Nuggets turnover
  35. Q4 3:04
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  36. Q4 3:06
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  37. Q4 3:06
    Nuggets personal foul
  38. Q4 3:06
    Carter Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  39. Q4 3:23
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  40. Q4 3:43
    Nuggets personal foul
  41. Q4 3:43
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    128-118
  42. Q4 3:43
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  43. Q4 3:43
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    128-118
  44. Q4 3:48
    Nuggets personal foul
  45. Q4 3:48
    Julian Strawther turnover (offensive foul)
  46. Q4 4:01
    Nuggets personal foul
  47. Q4 4:01
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    128-118
  48. Q4 4:01
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
  49. Q4 4:01
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    128-118
  50. Q4 4:08
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  51. Q4 4:26
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  52. Q4 4:29
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  53. Q4 4:33
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  54. Q4 4:41
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  55. Q4 4:44
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  56. Q4 4:44
    Nuggets personal foul
  57. Q4 4:44
    Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  58. Q4 4:57
    +1
    David Roddy makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    128-118
  59. Q4 4:57
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  60. Q4 4:57
    Spurs personal foul
  61. Q4 4:58
    David Roddy offensive rebound
  62. Q4 4:58
    Julian Strawther misses two point pullup jump shot
  63. Q4 5:14
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  64. Q4 5:23
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  65. Q4 5:25
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  66. Q4 5:36
    David Roddy defensive rebound
  67. Q4 5:40
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 5:45
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  69. Q4 5:48
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  70. Q4 6:03
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  71. Q4 6:07
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  72. Q4 6:15
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  73. Q4 6:15
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  74. Q4 6:15
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  75. Q4 6:15
    Nuggets lineup change (David Roddy, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
  76. Q4 6:15
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
  77. Q4 6:15
    Nuggets lineup change (David Roddy, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
  78. Q4 6:28
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  79. Q4 6:31
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  80. Q4 6:52
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  81. Q4 6:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  82. Q4 7:10
    Spurs turnover
  83. Q4 7:17
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  84. Q4 7:17
    Spurs offensive rebound
  85. Q4 7:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  86. Q4 7:22
    Nuggets personal foul
  87. Q4 7:22
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  88. Q4 7:31
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  89. Q4 7:50
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    111-102
  90. Q4 8:15
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    128-118
  91. Q4 8:16
    David Roddy defensive rebound
  92. Q4 8:20
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  93. Q4 8:30
    David Roddy offensive rebound
  94. Q4 8:30
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    126-118
  95. Q4 8:38
    David Roddy misses two point jump shot
  96. Q4 8:58
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    107-100
  97. Q4 9:01
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  98. Q4 9:04
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  99. Q4 9:14
    David Roddy defensive rebound
  100. Q4 9:17
    De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
  101. Q4 9:26
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
  102. Q4 9:26
    Nuggets turnover
  103. Q4 9:46
    Stoppage (Other)
  104. Q4 9:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    126-118
  105. Q4 9:57
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  106. Q4 9:59
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    126-118
  107. Q4 10:02
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  108. Q4 10:03
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  109. Q4 10:03
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  110. Q4 10:09
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  111. Q4 10:20
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    126-118
  112. Q4 10:35
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  113. Q4 10:37
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  114. Q4 10:57
    +2
    Bruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot
    103-95
  115. Q4 11:14
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    126-118
  116. Q4 11:16
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  117. Q4 11:18
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  118. Q4 11:33
    Spurs personal foul
  119. Q4 11:47
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point pullup jump shot
    126-118
  120. Q3 00:00
    Spurs personal foul
  121. Q3 00:00
    Jalen Pickett misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  122. Q3 00:00
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  123. Q3 00:00
    +1
    Jalen Pickett makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    126-118
  124. Q3 00:00
    +1
    Jalen Pickett makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    126-118
  125. Q3 00:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  126. Q3 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  127. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  128. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
  129. Q4 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, David Roddy, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown)
  130. Q3 00:07
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    126-118
  131. Q3 00:29
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    126-118
  132. Q3 00:43
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    126-118
  133. Q3 00:48
    DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
  134. Q3 00:48
    DaRon Holmes II turnover
  135. Q3 00:53
    DaRon Holmes II blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
  136. Q3 1:10
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  137. Q3 1:11
    +2
    Jalen Pickett makes two point pullup jump shot
    96-85
  138. Q3 1:12
    DaRon Holmes II misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  139. Q3 1:12
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  140. Q3 1:12
    Spurs personal foul
  141. Q3 1:12
    Carter Bryant turnover
  142. Q3 1:25
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    126-118
  143. Q3 1:26
    Carter Bryant offensive rebound
  144. Q3 1:31
    DaRon Holmes II blocks Carter Bryant's two point driving layup
  145. Q3 1:37
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  146. Q3 1:40
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  147. Q3 2:04
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    126-118
  148. Q3 2:17
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    126-118
  149. Q3 2:22
    David Roddy defensive rebound
  150. Q3 2:25
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  151. Q3 2:33
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  152. Q3 2:33
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  153. Q3 2:33
    Curtis Jones defensive rebound
  154. Q3 2:33
    Nuggets turnover
  155. Q3 2:33
    Nuggets lineup change (David Roddy, DaRon Holmes II, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther)
  156. Q3 2:33
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  157. Q3 2:37
    Harrison Barnes misses two point driving hook shot
  158. Q3 3:04
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    126-118
  159. Q3 3:21
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    126-118
  160. Q3 3:21
    Nuggets personal foul
  161. Q3 3:21
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    126-118
  162. Q3 3:29
    Dylan Harper offensive rebound
  163. Q3 3:29
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  164. Q3 3:29
    Spurs offensive rebound
  165. Q3 3:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  166. Q3 3:31
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  167. Q3 3:44
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  168. Q3 3:47
    Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Jalen Pickett draws the foul)
  169. Q3 3:47
    +2
    Jalen Pickett makes two point floating jump shot
    90-76
  170. Q3 3:47
    Jalen Pickett misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  171. Q3 3:47
    Nuggets lineup change (David Roddy, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
  172. Q3 4:06
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    126-118
  173. Q3 4:06
    Nuggets personal foul
  174. Q3 4:06
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    126-118
  175. Q3 4:19
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    126-118
  176. Q3 4:34
    Nuggets lineup change (David Roddy, Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
  177. Q3 4:34
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    126-118
  178. Q3 4:34
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  179. Q3 4:48
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  180. Q3 4:52
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  181. Q3 5:07
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  182. Q3 5:11
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  183. Q3 5:21
    Nuggets personal foul
  184. Q3 5:21
    Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
  185. Q3 5:42
    +2
    Carter Bryant makes two point jump shot
    86-71
  186. Q3 5:43
    Carter Bryant offensive rebound
  187. Q3 5:48
    Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
  188. Q3 5:54
    Nuggets personal foul
  189. Q3 5:54
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson)
  190. Q3 5:59
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  191. Q3 6:03
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  192. Q3 6:06
    Tyus Jones defensive rebound
  193. Q3 6:11
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  194. Q3 6:23
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    111-102
  195. Q3 6:45
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point driving layup
    86-71
  196. Q3 6:53
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    111-102
  197. Q3 6:56
    Tyus Jones offensive rebound
  198. Q3 6:58
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  199. Q3 7:20
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    78-65
  200. Q3 7:29
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  201. Q3 7:29
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    103-95
  202. Q3 7:37
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  203. Q3 7:50
    Spurs turnover
  204. Q3 7:54
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    103-95
  205. Q3 8:10
    Devin Vassell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  206. Q3 8:10
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Mason Plumlee, Julian Champagnie)
  207. Q3 8:17
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  208. Q3 8:21
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  209. Q3 8:30
    Tyus Jones defensive rebound
  210. Q3 8:33
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  211. Q3 8:51
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot (Julian Strawther assists)
    103-95
  212. Q3 8:55
    Tyus Jones offensive rebound
  213. Q3 8:59
    Tyus Jones misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  214. Q3 9:13
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  215. Q3 9:13
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    96-85
  216. Q3 9:13
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  217. Q3 9:17
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  218. Q3 9:18
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  219. Q3 9:20
    Devin Vassell misses two point tip layup
  220. Q3 9:20
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  221. Q3 9:32
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  222. Q3 9:37
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  223. Q3 9:40
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  224. Q3 9:58
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    96-85
  225. Q3 10:01
    Mason Plumlee defensive rebound
  226. Q3 10:04
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  227. Q3 10:30
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    96-85
  228. Q3 10:43
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  229. Q3 10:48
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  230. Q3 10:59
    Spurs turnover
  231. Q3 11:04
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    86-71
  232. Q3 11:26
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  233. Q3 11:26
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    86-71
  234. Q3 11:30
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  235. Q3 11:46
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    72-56
  236. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay
  237. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  238. Q3 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Tyus Jones, Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji)
  239. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Mason Plumlee, Julian Champagnie)
  240. Q2 00:01
    +3
    De'Aaron Fox makes three point pullup jump shot
    70-56
  241. Q2 00:05
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot (David Roddy assists)
    75-63
  242. Q2 00:27
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    75-63
  243. Q2 00:30
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  244. Q2 00:34
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  245. Q2 00:37
    Mason Plumlee offensive rebound
  246. Q2 00:37
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    75-63
  247. Q2 00:46
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  248. Q2 00:53
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  249. Q2 00:57
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  250. Q2 1:23
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    86-71
  251. Q2 1:33
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    86-71
  252. Q2 1:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  253. Q2 1:47
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Mason Plumlee, Jordan McLaughlin)
  254. Q2 2:00
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    70-56
  255. Q2 2:13
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    70-56
  256. Q2 2:44
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    63-43
  257. Q2 3:02
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    70-56
  258. Q2 3:04
    David Roddy offensive rebound
  259. Q2 3:08
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  260. Q2 3:28
    Spurs turnover
  261. Q2 3:37
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    70-56
  262. Q2 3:45
    David Roddy defensive rebound
  263. Q2 3:48
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  264. Q2 3:59
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  265. Q2 3:59
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    70-56
  266. Q2 3:59
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  267. Q2 3:59
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
  268. Q2 4:01
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  269. Q2 4:20
    Spurs turnover
  270. Q2 4:38
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    70-56
  271. Q2 4:54
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  272. Q2 4:58
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  273. Q2 5:18
    Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
  274. Q2 5:21
    Spurs personal foul
  275. Q2 5:21
    +1
    Curtis Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    70-56
  276. Q2 5:21
    Curtis Jones misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  277. Q2 5:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  278. Q2 5:37
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  279. Q2 5:39
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  280. Q2 5:59
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    70-56
  281. Q2 6:15
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  282. Q2 6:15
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  283. Q2 6:15
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Bismack Biyombo, Julian Champagnie)
  284. Q2 6:15
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, David Roddy, Tyus Jones, Curtis Jones, Bruce Brown)
  285. Q2 6:18
    Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
  286. Q2 6:30
    Mason Plumlee defensive rebound
  287. Q2 6:32
    Jonas Valanciunas misses two point jump shot
  288. Q2 6:48
    Curtis Jones defensive rebound
  289. Q2 6:51
    Stephon Castle misses two point pullup jump shot
  290. Q2 6:58
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  291. Q2 7:01
    Jonas Valanciunas misses three point jump shot
  292. Q2 7:14
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  293. Q2 7:17
    Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
  294. Q2 7:34
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    51-40
  295. Q2 7:52
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  296. Q2 7:55
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  297. Q2 8:03
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  298. Q2 8:06
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  299. Q2 8:22
    David Roddy defensive rebound
  300. Q2 8:26
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  301. Q2 8:32
    Curtis Jones personal foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)
  302. Q2 8:43
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    49-40
  303. Q2 8:43
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  304. Q2 8:50
    Spurs personal foul
  305. Q2 9:04
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  306. Q2 9:04
    Spurs turnover
  307. Q2 9:06
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  308. Q2 9:12
    Spurs personal foul
  309. Q2 9:12
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Mason Plumlee, Julian Champagnie)
  310. Q2 9:16
    Curtis Jones defensive rebound
  311. Q2 9:20
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  312. Q2 9:44
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    47-40
  313. Q2 9:47
    Curtis Jones offensive rebound
  314. Q2 9:51
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  315. Q2 10:01
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  316. Q2 10:03
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  317. Q2 10:16
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    44-40
  318. Q2 10:22
    Spurs personal foul
  319. Q2 10:22
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Mason Plumlee)
  320. Q2 10:43
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    41-40
  321. Q2 10:55
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  322. Q2 10:55
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    41-37
  323. Q2 10:58
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  324. Q2 10:58
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  325. Q2 11:02
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  326. Q2 11:29
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    39-37
  327. Q2 11:40
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  328. Q2 11:40
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    39-34
  329. Q2 11:42
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  330. Q2 11:42
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  331. Q2 11:47
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  332. Q1 00:00
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  333. Q1 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  334. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  335. Q2 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, David Roddy, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Julian Strawther)
  336. Q1 00:08
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  337. Q1 00:08
    Nuggets turnover
  338. Q1 00:09
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  339. Q1 00:31
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  340. Q1 00:35
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  341. Q1 00:47
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  342. Q1 00:47
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  343. Q1 00:47
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  344. Q1 00:47
    Spurs personal foul
  345. Q1 00:47
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    36-34
  346. Q1 00:47
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-34
  347. Q1 00:53
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  348. Q1 00:54
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  349. Q1 00:59
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  350. Q1 1:15
    +2
    Harrison Barnes makes two point driving layup (Stephon Castle assists)
    35-34
  351. Q1 1:29
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  352. Q1 1:33
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  353. Q1 1:36
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  354. Q1 1:36
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  355. Q1 1:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  356. Q1 1:36
    Carter Bryant blocks Curtis Jones's two point layup
  357. Q1 1:36
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, David Roddy, DaRon Holmes II, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett)
  358. Q1 1:36
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  359. Q1 3:28
    Devin Vassell turnover (lost ball)
Box Score
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Nuggets vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Spurs
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -11.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets 21¢, Spurs 78¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 23%
  • Spurs: 77%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 113-122 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 23%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 77%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.