Heat vs. Wizards Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Wizards NBA game on April 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Heat
140
117
Capital One Arena
Wizards
Capital One Arena
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 34 | 33 | 38 | 35 | 140 |
Wizards | 23 | 27 | 35 | 32 | 117 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Heat
- Wizards
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 34 | 33 | 38 | 35 | 140 |
Wizards | 23 | 27 | 35 | 32 | 117 |
Q4 00:24 Will Riley misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 00:39 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 2:11 Wizards makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:34 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:46 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:04 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:26 Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Pelle Larsson assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- Heat turnover
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Myron Gardner defensive rebound
- Will Riley misses two point driving floating jump shot
- Anthony Gill defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- Wizards offensive rebound
- Anthony Gill misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +1Anthony Gill makes regular free throw 2 of 2140-117
- Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Myron Gardner, Trevor Keels, Keshad Johnson, Jahmir Young)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot140-117
- Will Riley turnover
- Wizards personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Trevor Keels, Keshad Johnson, Jahmir Young, Pelle Larsson)
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2138-115
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2140-117
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- +2Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot140-117
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot134-115
- Heat turnover
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot140-117
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot140-117
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot140-117
- Wizards personal foul
- Heat personal foul
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Jamir Watkins defensive goaltending violation
- +2Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Pelle Larsson assists)138-115
- Bub Carrington turnover
- Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
- Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot140-117
- Jamir Watkins misses two point cutting layup
- Wizards offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot130-106
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot140-117
- Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
- Wizards personal foul
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2140-117
- Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot140-117
- Anthony Gill defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot140-117
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot140-117
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot140-117
- +2Julian Reese makes two point cutting layup (Sharife Cooper assists)140-117
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot140-117
- +2Sharife Cooper makes two point pullup jump shot138-115
- Wizards turnover
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot140-117
- Wizards personal foul
- +1Keshad Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2140-117
- +1Keshad Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2140-117
- Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Julian Reese)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot140-117
- Will Riley defensive rebound
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Will Riley misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot140-117
- Wizards turnover
- Heat turnover
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot138-115
- Heat personal foul
- Wizards 60 second timeout
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot138-115
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
- Keshad Johnson misses two point jump shot
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Julian Reese misses two point hook shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot138-115
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot138-115
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot138-115
- Wizards turnover
- Keshad Johnson personal foul (Sharife Cooper draws the foul)
- Leaky Black defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Will Riley makes two point driving dunk138-115
- Julian Reese defensive rebound
- Keshad Johnson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot138-115
- Heat personal foul
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot138-115
- Wizards turnover
- Anthony Gill misses two point driving layup
- Julian Reese offensive rebound
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Julian Reese, Leaky Black)
- Heat personal foul
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot138-115
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Bam Adebayo blocks Sharife Cooper's two point stepback jump shot
- Wizards offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Julian Reese defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Julian Reese)
- Heat defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot138-115
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot136-115
- Wizards personal foul
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot136-115
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot136-115
- Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Leaky Black personal foul
- Heat defensive rebound
- Wizards 60 second timeout
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot130-108
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Anthony Gill draws the foul)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Pelle Larsson)
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot130-108
- Anthony Gill misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Heat turnover
- Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Will Riley defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot112-91
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Wizards lineup change (Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Julian Reese, Leaky Black)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
- Julian Reese defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Jump ball. (Kel'el Ware gains possession)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot112-91
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot112-91
- Jump ball. (Heat gains possession)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot112-91
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot112-91
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Wizards turnover
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Wizards defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
- Andrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds step)
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot112-91
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Bub Carrington defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot87-71
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot112-91
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot105-85
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot105-85
- Heat personal foul
- +1Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 1 of 2105-85
- +1Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 2 of 2105-85
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot105-85
- Heat personal foul
- +1Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 1 of 2105-85
- +1Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2105-85
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot105-85
- Wizards turnover
- Anthony Gill defensive rebound
- Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot105-85
- Wizards personal foul
- Kasparas Jakucionis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- +1Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 295-82
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot95-82
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot95-82
- Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Other)
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot95-82
- Julian Reese offensive rebound
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Bilal Coulibaly makes two point jump shot67-50
- Heat turnover
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Wizards offensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware)
- Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Anthony Gill, Bilal Coulibaly, Julian Reese, Leaky Black)
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 267-50
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 267-50
- Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Bilal Coulibaly, Julian Reese)
- Wizards personal foul
- +2Julian Reese makes two point pullup jump shot67-50
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot67-50
- +1Jamir Watkins makes regular free throw 2 of 267-50
- Heat personal foul
- Jamir Watkins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Wizards offensive rebound
- Heat turnover
- +2Bilal Coulibaly makes two point layup (Bub Carrington assists)67-49
- Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Julian Reese shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 267-50
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 267-50
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot67-50
- Heat turnover
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot67-50
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson)
- Bilal Coulibaly offensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 1 of 167-50
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot67-50
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot62-41
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot62-38
- Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
- Bilal Coulibaly misses two point floating jump shot
- Bub Carrington defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Julian Reese offensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Jamir Watkins, Bilal Coulibaly, Julian Reese, Leaky Black)
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot60-38
- Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot57-38
- Wizards personal foul
- +1Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 256-36
- Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Bilal Coulibaly, Julian Reese)
- +1Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 257-36
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot55-36
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot55-34
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Bilal Coulibaly offensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot52-34
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot50-34
- Wizards personal foul
- Wizards 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 249-31
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio)
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 250-31
- Wizards personal foul
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot48-31
- Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot48-29
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Wizards turnover
- Heat turnover
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Wizards personal foul
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 245-29
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 246-29
- Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Anthony Gill, Bilal Coulibaly)
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot44-29
- Wizards 60 second timeout
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot44-27
- Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot40-27
- Wizards personal foul
- Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill)
- Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio)
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 141-27
- Heat defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- Heat personal foul
- Heat turnover
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Jamir Watkins offensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Wizards personal foul
- +1Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 237-27
- +1Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 238-27
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot36-27
- Heat turnover
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot36-25
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot36-23
- Heat personal foul
- Wizards turnover
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson)
- Will Riley defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Julian Reese)
- Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot34-23
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot32-23
- Heat personal foul
- Jamir Watkins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Wizards offensive rebound
- Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Leaky Black)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Pelle Larsson)
- +1Jamir Watkins makes regular free throw 2 of 230-23
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot30-22
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot28-22
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot28-19
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot26-19
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot26-16
- Wizards turnover
- Wizards 60 second timeout
- +2Kasparas Jakucionis makes two point jump shot24-16
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot22-16
- Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Wizards personal foul
- Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- +1Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 220-16
- Wizards turnover
- Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Heat defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot18-16
- Wizards personal foul
- +1Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 119-16
- Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Wizards lineup change (Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Julian Reese, Leaky Black)
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Bub Carrington turnover (bad pass)
- Wizards offensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- Wizards personal foul
- Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- +1Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 216-16
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot15-16
- Heat turnover
- Stoppage (Court cleanup)
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot15-13
- Julian Reese defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +3Wizards makes three point jump shot15-11
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot15-8
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot12-8
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot12-6
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Wizards turnover
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot10-6
- Heat personal foul
- +1Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 1 of 28-5
- +1Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 28-6
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot8-4
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot5-4
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot2-4
- Heat personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware)
- Heat turnover
- +2Wizards makes two point jump shot2-2
- Bilal Coulibaly offensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Anthony Gill defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Wizards offensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Wizards misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Wizards defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Wizards misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot2-0
- Wizards turnover
- Leaky Black defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
- Bub Carrington misses two point jump shot
- Kel'el Ware vs. Julian Reese (Anthony Gill gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Heat vs. Wizards: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Wizards
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -15.5
- Total (Over/Under): 243.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat 91¢, Wizards 9¢
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 89%
- Wizards: 11%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 129-114 Wizards.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 89%, while the Wizards have a win probability of 11%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Capital One Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Wizards predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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