Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Warriors NBA game on April 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Rockets
117
116
Chase Center
Warriors
Chase Center
TEAM1234T
Rockets
26 29 37 25 117
Warriors
31 22 29 34 116
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockets
    80%
  • Warriors
    20%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
26 29 37 25 117
Warriors
31 22 29 34 116
Q4 00:00 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:11 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:19 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Warriors makes two point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
Q4 1:38 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:55 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Rockets makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  2. Q4 00:00
    Warriors offensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:00
    Instant replay
  4. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  5. Q4 00:11
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    117-116
  6. Q4 00:16
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  7. Q4 00:16
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  8. Q4 00:19
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    115-116
  9. Q4 00:19
    Rockets violation
  10. Q4 00:33
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  11. Q4 00:33
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  12. Q4 00:35
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  13. Q4 00:38
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  14. Q4 00:57
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    115-114
  15. Q4 1:09
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    114-111
  16. Q4 1:09
    Warriors personal foul
  17. Q4 1:09
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    115-111
  18. Q4 1:27
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
    112-111
  19. Q4 1:35
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  20. Q4 1:38
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  21. Q4 1:55
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    112-109
  22. Q4 2:10
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    112-107
  23. Q4 2:40
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    109-107
  24. Q4 2:58
    Rockets turnover
  25. Q4 3:09
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  26. Q4 3:13
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  27. Q4 3:34
    Rockets turnover
  28. Q4 3:34
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  29. Q4 3:34
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
  30. Q4 3:34
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  31. Q4 3:34
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
  32. Q4 3:34
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
  33. Q4 3:34
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  34. Q4 4:02
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    109-104
  35. Q4 4:11
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  36. Q4 4:15
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  37. Q4 4:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  38. Q4 4:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  39. Q4 4:39
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    109-101
  40. Q4 4:51
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    108-99
  41. Q4 4:51
    Warriors personal foul
  42. Q4 4:51
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    109-99
  43. Q4 4:51
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  44. Q4 5:10
    Rockets defensive rebound
  45. Q4 5:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  46. Q4 5:13
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 5:38
    Rockets turnover
  48. Q4 5:51
    Warriors personal foul
  49. Q4 6:02
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  50. Q4 6:02
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  51. Q4 6:02
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
  52. Q4 6:03
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    106-99
  53. Q4 6:09
    Charles Bassey defensive rebound
  54. Q4 6:12
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  55. Q4 6:31
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    106-96
  56. Q4 6:38
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  57. Q4 6:41
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  58. Q4 6:56
    Rockets personal foul
  59. Q4 6:56
    +1
    Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    106-93
  60. Q4 6:56
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
  61. Q4 6:56
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  62. Q4 6:56
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
  63. Q4 6:56
    +1
    Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    106-94
  64. Q4 6:56
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  65. Q4 6:56
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
  66. Q4 7:21
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    106-92
  67. Q4 7:29
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  68. Q4 7:34
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  69. Q4 7:46
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)
    104-92
  70. Q4 7:51
    Warriors violation
  71. Q4 8:05
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    102-92
  72. Q4 8:15
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    102-89
  73. Q4 8:31
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    99-89
  74. Q4 8:37
    Charles Bassey defensive rebound
  75. Q4 8:38
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  76. Q4 8:52
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  77. Q4 8:55
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  78. Q4 9:12
    Aaron Holiday offensive rebound
  79. Q4 9:12
    Warriors personal foul
  80. Q4 9:12
    +1
    Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-87
  81. Q4 9:12
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  82. Q4 9:12
    +1
    Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-87
  83. Q4 9:13
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  84. Q4 9:14
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  85. Q4 9:17
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  86. Q4 9:25
    Warriors personal foul
  87. Q4 9:25
    +1
    Reed Sheppard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    97-87
  88. Q4 9:25
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Seth Curry, Pat Spencer)
  89. Q4 9:40
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  90. Q4 9:43
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  91. Q4 9:45
    Charles Bassey offensive rebound
  92. Q4 9:50
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  93. Q4 10:13
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  94. Q4 10:13
    Warriors personal foul
  95. Q4 10:13
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-87
  96. Q4 10:13
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Charles Bassey, Pat Spencer)
  97. Q4 10:13
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  98. Q4 10:13
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    96-87
  99. Q4 10:20
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  100. Q4 10:23
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  101. Q4 10:42
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    94-87
  102. Q4 11:01
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  103. Q4 11:01
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    92-87
  104. Q4 11:05
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  105. Q4 11:14
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  106. Q4 11:17
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  107. Q4 11:35
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    92-85
  108. Q4 11:41
    Warriors offensive rebound
  109. Q4 11:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  110. Q4 11:43
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  111. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  112. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  113. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis, Pat Spencer)
  114. Q3 00:05
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  115. Q3 00:05
    Warriors personal foul
  116. Q3 00:05
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-82
  117. Q3 00:05
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-82
  118. Q3 00:05
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
  119. Q3 00:06
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  120. Q3 00:10
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  121. Q3 00:10
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  122. Q3 00:10
    Warriors offensive rebound
  123. Q3 00:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  124. Q3 00:10
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate)
  125. Q3 00:28
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    90-82
  126. Q3 00:44
    Warriors turnover
  127. Q3 00:44
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
  128. Q3 00:53
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  129. Q3 00:55
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    88-82
  130. Q3 00:55
    Warriors personal foul
  131. Q3 00:55
    Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  132. Q3 1:04
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
  133. Q3 1:09
    Rockets personal foul
  134. Q3 1:09
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-81
  135. Q3 1:09
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie)
  136. Q3 1:09
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-82
  137. Q3 1:09
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
  138. Q3 1:09
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie)
  139. Q3 1:20
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    86-80
  140. Q3 1:43
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    84-80
  141. Q3 1:51
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  142. Q3 1:54
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  143. Q3 2:15
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  144. Q3 2:17
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    84-77
  145. Q3 2:17
    Rockets personal foul
  146. Q3 2:17
    Stephen Curry misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  147. Q3 2:17
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis)
  148. Q3 2:36
    Rockets turnover
  149. Q3 2:36
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  150. Q3 3:00
    Rockets personal foul
  151. Q3 3:00
    +1
    Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    84-74
  152. Q3 3:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis, Seth Curry)
  153. Q3 3:00
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
  154. Q3 3:00
    +1
    Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-75
  155. Q3 3:09
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  156. Q3 3:12
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  157. Q3 3:32
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    84-73
  158. Q3 3:51
    Rockets turnover
  159. Q3 3:55
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  160. Q3 3:57
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  161. Q3 4:10
    Warriors defensive rebound
  162. Q3 4:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  163. Q3 4:10
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Seth Curry)
  164. Q3 4:11
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  165. Q3 4:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  166. Q3 4:33
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    84-71
  167. Q3 4:36
    Rockets turnover
  168. Q3 4:46
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  169. Q3 4:49
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  170. Q3 5:00
    Warriors personal foul
  171. Q3 5:00
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    83-69
  172. Q3 5:00
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-69
  173. Q3 5:00
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate)
  174. Q3 5:05
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    82-69
  175. Q3 5:18
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    82-67
  176. Q3 5:27
    Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
  177. Q3 5:29
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  178. Q3 5:49
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    79-67
  179. Q3 6:01
    Rockets personal foul
  180. Q3 6:01
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    76-66
  181. Q3 6:01
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    76-67
  182. Q3 6:06
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  183. Q3 6:09
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  184. Q3 6:25
    Rockets personal foul
  185. Q3 6:25
    Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  186. Q3 6:25
    Warriors offensive rebound
  187. Q3 6:25
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
  188. Q3 6:25
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
  189. Q3 6:25
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    76-65
  190. Q3 6:36
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    76-64
  191. Q3 6:48
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    74-64
  192. Q3 6:52
    Rockets personal foul
  193. Q3 6:52
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
  194. Q3 7:06
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    74-62
  195. Q3 7:12
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  196. Q3 7:15
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  197. Q3 7:22
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  198. Q3 7:25
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  199. Q3 7:48
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    71-62
  200. Q3 8:08
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    71-60
  201. Q3 8:27
    Warriors turnover
  202. Q3 8:38
    Warriors personal foul
  203. Q3 8:38
    Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  204. Q3 8:38
    Rockets offensive rebound
  205. Q3 8:38
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  206. Q3 8:38
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green)
  207. Q3 8:38
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    69-60
  208. Q3 8:40
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  209. Q3 8:40
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  210. Q3 8:42
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  211. Q3 8:45
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  212. Q3 8:51
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  213. Q3 8:54
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  214. Q3 9:00
    Warriors personal foul
  215. Q3 9:10
    Warriors turnover
  216. Q3 9:21
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    68-60
  217. Q3 9:29
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  218. Q3 9:31
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 9:46
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    65-60
  220. Q3 9:51
    Kristaps Porzingis personal foul
  221. Q3 9:51
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
  222. Q3 10:04
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    63-60
  223. Q3 10:08
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  224. Q3 10:12
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  225. Q3 10:34
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    63-58
  226. Q3 10:51
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    63-56
  227. Q3 11:01
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  228. Q3 11:04
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  229. Q3 11:19
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    61-56
  230. Q3 11:27
    Warriors personal foul
  231. Q3 11:34
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    59-55
  232. Q3 11:34
    Rockets personal foul
  233. Q3 11:34
    +1
    Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    59-56
  234. Q3 11:46
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    58-53
  235. Q3 11:46
    Warriors personal foul
  236. Q3 11:46
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    59-53
  237. Q2 00:00
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  238. Q2 00:00
    Warriors offensive rebound
  239. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  240. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  241. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
  242. Q2 00:06
    Rockets turnover
  243. Q2 00:06
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Seth Curry)
  244. Q2 00:06
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate)
  245. Q2 00:15
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    55-53
  246. Q2 00:18
    Rockets turnover
  247. Q2 00:33
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  248. Q2 00:33
    Warriors personal foul
  249. Q2 00:33
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
  250. Q2 00:34
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  251. Q2 00:43
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    55-51
  252. Q2 1:02
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    53-51
  253. Q2 1:14
    Warriors defensive rebound
  254. Q2 1:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  255. Q2 1:14
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate)
  256. Q2 1:17
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  257. Q2 1:27
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  258. Q2 1:29
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  259. Q2 1:39
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  260. Q2 1:42
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  261. Q2 2:01
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  262. Q2 2:04
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  263. Q2 2:20
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    53-49
  264. Q2 2:32
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    51-49
  265. Q2 2:53
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  266. Q2 2:53
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
  267. Q2 2:53
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  268. Q2 2:53
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
  269. Q2 2:53
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  270. Q2 2:54
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    51-47
  271. Q2 3:01
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  272. Q2 3:04
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  273. Q2 3:25
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    49-47
  274. Q2 3:35
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  275. Q2 3:38
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  276. Q2 3:52
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    47-47
  277. Q2 3:56
    Warriors turnover
  278. Q2 4:08
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    45-47
  279. Q2 4:16
    Warriors personal foul
  280. Q2 4:16
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
  281. Q2 4:30
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    42-47
  282. Q2 4:41
    Rockets personal foul
  283. Q2 4:41
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  284. Q2 4:49
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  285. Q2 4:49
    Warriors defensive rebound
  286. Q2 4:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  287. Q2 4:49
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate)
  288. Q2 5:09
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    42-45
  289. Q2 5:19
    Warriors personal foul
  290. Q2 5:19
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    41-42
  291. Q2 5:19
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    42-42
  292. Q2 5:19
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
  293. Q2 5:23
    Warriors turnover
  294. Q2 5:27
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  295. Q2 5:32
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  296. Q2 5:40
    Rockets offensive rebound
  297. Q2 5:40
    Warriors personal foul
  298. Q2 5:42
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  299. Q2 5:48
    Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
  300. Q2 5:53
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  301. Q2 5:59
    Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
  302. Q2 6:03
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  303. Q2 6:16
    Warriors violation
  304. Q2 6:17
    Rockets violation
  305. Q2 6:19
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  306. Q2 6:19
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate)
  307. Q2 6:19
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Seth Curry)
  308. Q2 6:21
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    40-42
  309. Q2 6:35
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  310. Q2 6:38
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  311. Q2 6:57
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    40-40
  312. Q2 7:06
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  313. Q2 7:10
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  314. Q2 7:28
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  315. Q2 7:32
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  316. Q2 7:35
    Rockets turnover
  317. Q2 7:41
    Rockets personal foul
  318. Q2 7:41
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  319. Q2 7:41
    Instant replay
  320. Q2 7:41
    +1
    Seth Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    40-36
  321. Q2 7:41
    +1
    Seth Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    40-37
  322. Q2 7:41
    +1
    Seth Curry makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    40-38
  323. Q2 7:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  324. Q2 7:50
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  325. Q2 7:50
    Warriors offensive rebound
  326. Q2 7:50
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  327. Q2 7:50
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Seth Curry, Pat Spencer)
  328. Q2 8:04
    Rockets personal foul
  329. Q2 8:04
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  330. Q2 8:04
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
  331. Q2 8:07
    Warriors turnover
  332. Q2 8:20
    Rockets turnover
  333. Q2 8:24
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  334. Q2 8:28
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  335. Q2 8:35
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  336. Q2 8:39
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  337. Q2 8:51
    Rockets personal foul
  338. Q2 8:51
    +1
    Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    40-34
  339. Q2 8:51
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  340. Q2 8:51
    +1
    Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-35
  341. Q2 9:13
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    40-33
  342. Q2 9:30
    Rockets personal foul
  343. Q2 9:30
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    37-32
  344. Q2 9:30
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-33
  345. Q2 9:46
    +3
    Aaron Holiday makes three point jump shot
    37-31
  346. Q2 9:46
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  347. Q2 9:46
    Warriors violation
  348. Q2 9:46
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis, Seth Curry, Pat Spencer)
  349. Q2 9:47
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  350. Q2 9:49
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  351. Q2 10:02
    Warriors turnover
  352. Q2 10:02
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
  353. Q2 10:27
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    34-31
  354. Q2 10:33
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  355. Q2 10:35
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  356. Q2 10:57
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    31-31
  357. Q2 11:05
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  358. Q2 11:09
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  359. Q2 11:30
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  360. Q2 11:34
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  361. Q2 11:37
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  362. Q1 00:00
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  363. Q1 00:00
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  364. Q1 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  365. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  366. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  367. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis, Will Richard)
  368. Q1 00:03
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  369. Q1 00:26
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    26-31
  370. Q1 00:34
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    24-31
  371. Q1 00:57
    Rockets personal foul
  372. Q1 00:57
    Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
  373. Q1 1:12
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    24-28
  374. Q1 1:15
    Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
  375. Q1 1:17
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  376. Q1 1:34
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  377. Q1 1:34
    Rockets turnover
  378. Q1 1:34
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis)
  379. Q1 1:38
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  380. Q1 1:51
    Charles Bassey offensive rebound
  381. Q1 1:54
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  382. Q1 2:17
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    24-25
  383. Q1 2:23
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  384. Q1 2:27
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  385. Q1 2:38
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    22-25
  386. Q1 2:52
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    20-24
  387. Q1 2:52
    Rockets personal foul
  388. Q1 2:52
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Kristaps Porzingis)
  389. Q1 2:52
    +1
    Charles Bassey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    20-25
  390. Q1 2:52
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
  391. Q1 2:52
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Kristaps Porzingis)
  392. Q1 3:09
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  393. Q1 3:10
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  394. Q1 3:25
    Warriors turnover
  395. Q1 3:35
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  396. Q1 3:35
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    20-22
  397. Q1 3:40
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  398. Q1 3:41
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  399. Q1 3:46
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  400. Q1 4:06
    Warriors personal foul
  401. Q1 4:06
    Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  402. Q1 4:06
    Rockets offensive rebound
  403. Q1 4:06
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green)
  404. Q1 4:06
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    18-22
  405. Q1 4:06
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Clint Capela)
  406. Q1 4:17
    Warriors turnover
  407. Q1 4:23
    Charles Bassey defensive rebound
  408. Q1 4:25
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  409. Q1 4:36
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    17-22
  410. Q1 4:40
    Warriors personal foul
  411. Q1 4:44
    Rockets violation
  412. Q1 4:54
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  413. Q1 4:54
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Clint Capela)
  414. Q1 4:54
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
  415. Q1 4:55
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    17-20
  416. Q1 5:12
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    15-20
  417. Q1 5:29
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  418. Q1 5:32
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  419. Q1 5:36
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  420. Q1 5:39
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  421. Q1 5:45
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  422. Q1 5:49
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  423. Q1 5:57
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  424. Q1 5:59
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  425. Q1 6:11
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  426. Q1 6:14
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  427. Q1 6:35
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    15-18
  428. Q1 6:47
    Warriors personal foul
  429. Q1 6:47
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  430. Q1 6:50
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  431. Q1 6:52
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  432. Q1 7:04
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    13-18
  433. Q1 7:17
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    11-18
  434. Q1 7:28
    Rockets personal foul
  435. Q1 7:28
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Seth Curry)
  436. Q1 7:42
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    11-16
  437. Q1 8:02
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    9-16
  438. Q1 8:25
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    9-13
  439. Q1 8:38
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  440. Q1 8:38
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Seth Curry)
  441. Q1 8:41
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    6-13
  442. Q1 8:48
    Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
  443. Q1 8:52
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  444. Q1 8:52
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    6-13
  445. Q1 8:52
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  446. Q1 9:00
    Rockets turnover
  447. Q1 9:14
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    6-10
  448. Q1 9:31
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    6-7
  449. Q1 9:43
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  450. Q1 9:45
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  451. Q1 9:58
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    4-7
  452. Q1 10:03
    Warriors turnover
  453. Q1 10:14
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    2-7
  454. Q1 10:27
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    0-7
  455. Q1 10:36
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  456. Q1 10:38
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  457. Q1 10:59
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    0-4
  458. Q1 11:16
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  459. Q1 11:19
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  460. Q1 11:46
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  461. Q1 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
  462. Q1 12:00
    (Draymond Green gains possession)
Box Score
Rockets
PosPlayerPts
Warriors
PosPlayerPts

Rockets vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. Warriors
  • Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets 61¢, Warriors 39¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 65%
  • Warriors: 35%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 116-112 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 65%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 35%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Chase Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.