Heat vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Bucks NBA game on February 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Heat
117
128
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Bucks
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TEAM1234T
Heat
58 51 7 0 117
Bucks
60 47 15 0 128
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Heat
    <1%
  • Bucks
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
58 51 7 0 117
Bucks
60 47 15 0 128
Q4 00:47 Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:51 Ryan Rollins makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:42 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:02 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:06
    Bucks turnover
  3. Q4 00:30
    Norman Powell turnover
  4. Q4 00:34
    +1
    AJ Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  5. Q4 00:34
    Bam Adebayo personal foul
  6. Q4 00:34
    +1
    AJ Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  7. Q4 00:45
    Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:47
    Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 00:56
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  10. Q4 1:14
    Jericho Sims personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  11. Q4 1:14
    Heat offensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:14
    Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  13. Q4 1:14
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
  14. Q4 1:14
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  15. Q4 1:18
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  16. Q4 1:18
    Heat 60 second timeout
  17. Q4 1:35
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  18. Q4 1:40
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  19. Q4 1:51
    +2
    Ryan Rollins makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  20. Q4 1:57
    Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  21. Q4 2:03
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  22. Q4 2:15
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  23. Q4 2:16
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  24. Q4 2:31
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  25. Q4 2:32
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 2:42
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  27. Q4 2:50
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  28. Q4 2:55
    Bucks personal foul
  29. Q4 2:55
    Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  30. Q4 2:55
    Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  31. Q4 2:55
    Heat offensive rebound
  32. Q4 2:55
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)
  33. Q4 2:58
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  34. Q4 3:02
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  35. Q4 3:20
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  36. Q4 3:23
    Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
  37. Q4 3:47
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    116-114
  38. Q4 3:47
    Davion Mitchell personal foul
  39. Q4 3:47
    +3
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)
    116-122
  40. Q4 4:09
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  41. Q4 4:09
    Jericho Sims personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  42. Q4 4:09
    Norman Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  43. Q4 4:09
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  44. Q4 4:09
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  45. Q4 4:09
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  46. Q4 4:22
    +2
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup
    116-122
  47. Q4 4:40
    Ryan Rollins personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  48. Q4 4:40
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  49. Q4 4:40
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  50. Q4 4:40
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  51. Q4 4:40
    Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  52. Q4 4:42
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  53. Q4 4:46
    Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
  54. Q4 4:56
    Ousmane Dieng personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  55. Q4 4:56
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  56. Q4 4:56
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  57. Q4 5:05
    +2
    Jericho Sims makes two point jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
    111-112
  58. Q4 5:17
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  59. Q4 5:17
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  60. Q4 5:35
    +2
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup
    111-110
  61. Q4 5:42
    Norman Powell personal foul (Ousmane Dieng draws the foul)
  62. Q4 5:42
    Instant replay
  63. Q4 5:42
    Heat 60 second timeout
  64. Q4 5:48
    Davion Mitchell personal foul (AJ Green draws the foul)
  65. Q4 5:48
    Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  66. Q4 6:03
    Bucks personal foul
  67. Q4 6:03
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  68. Q4 6:03
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  69. Q4 6:20
    +2
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup
    109-107
  70. Q4 6:20
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    116-122
  71. Q4 6:20
    Heat personal foul
  72. Q4 6:20
    Bucks lineup change (Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  73. Q4 6:34
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  74. Q4 6:37
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  75. Q4 6:41
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  76. Q4 6:56
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  77. Q4 6:56
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  78. Q4 7:12
    Kel'el Ware personal foul (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)
  79. Q4 7:12
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  80. Q4 7:12
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  81. Q4 7:12
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  82. Q4 7:14
    Kel'el Ware misses two point hook shot
  83. Q4 7:15
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  84. Q4 7:17
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  85. Q4 7:30
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    106-106
  86. Q4 7:41
    +2
    Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  87. Q4 7:45
    Ryan Rollins turnover (bad pass) (Dru Smith steals)
  88. Q4 7:58
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
    109-107
  89. Q4 7:58
    Stoppage (Other)
  90. Q4 8:08
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  91. Q4 8:09
    Bobby Portis misses three point jump shot
  92. Q4 8:23
    AJ Green defensive rebound
  93. Q4 8:33
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  94. Q4 8:34
    Bucks turnover
  95. Q4 8:34
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  96. Q4 8:38
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  97. Q4 8:50
    +3
    Ousmane Dieng makes three point jump shot (Jericho Sims assists)
    116-122
  98. Q4 8:57
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  99. Q4 9:01
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  100. Q4 9:18
    Heat 60 second timeout
  101. Q4 9:18
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)
  102. Q4 9:19
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  103. Q4 9:22
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  104. Q4 9:26
    Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
  105. Q4 9:50
    +3
    AJ Green makes three point stepback jump shot
    93-89
  106. Q4 10:09
    AJ Green defensive rebound
  107. Q4 10:13
    Cam Thomas shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
  108. Q4 10:13
    Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  109. Q4 10:13
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  110. Q4 10:13
    +1
    Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  111. Q4 10:13
    Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins)
  112. Q4 10:16
    Dru Smith misses three point jump shot
  113. Q4 10:27
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    93-89
  114. Q4 10:43
    +3
    Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot
    93-89
  115. Q4 10:49
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  116. Q4 10:50
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  117. Q4 10:50
    Bobby Portis personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
  118. Q4 10:54
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  119. Q4 10:57
    Cam Thomas misses three point jump shot
  120. Q4 11:14
    +3
    Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  121. Q4 11:30
    Bobby Portis turnover
  122. Q4 11:30
    Heat turnover
  123. Q4 11:32
    +3
    Ousmane Dieng makes three point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)
    116-122
  124. Q4 11:48
    +1
    Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-89
  125. Q4 11:48
    Bucks personal foul
  126. Q4 11:48
    +1
    Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  127. Q3 00:00
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  128. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  129. Q3 00:00
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  130. Q3 00:21
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  131. Q3 00:23
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  132. Q3 00:33
    Tyler Herro turnover
  133. Q3 00:46
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  134. Q3 1:02
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
    87-84
  135. Q3 1:10
    Bucks turnover
  136. Q3 1:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  137. Q3 1:34
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  138. Q3 1:34
    Kel'el Ware turnover
  139. Q3 1:34
    Kevin Porter Jr. personal foul
  140. Q3 1:34
    Bucks violation
  141. Q3 1:34
    Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins)
  142. Q3 1:34
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  143. Q3 1:34
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
  144. Q3 1:38
    +2
    Pelle Larsson makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)
    93-89
  145. Q3 1:41
    Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  146. Q3 1:44
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  147. Q3 1:53
    Cam Thomas defensive rebound
  148. Q3 1:56
    Tyler Herro misses three point running jump shot
  149. Q3 1:59
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  150. Q3 2:04
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  151. Q3 2:25
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  152. Q3 2:33
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  153. Q3 2:33
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  154. Q3 2:39
    Heat turnover
  155. Q3 2:49
    +2
    Jericho Sims makes two point jump shot (Cam Thomas assists)
    116-122
  156. Q3 3:03
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  157. Q3 3:08
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point tip layup
    116-122
  158. Q3 3:10
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  159. Q3 3:23
    Heat personal foul
  160. Q3 3:23
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  161. Q3 3:23
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  162. Q3 3:23
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro)
  163. Q3 3:44
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
    93-89
  164. Q3 3:44
    Ousmane Dieng personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  165. Q3 3:44
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro)
  166. Q3 3:44
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    116-122
  167. Q3 3:50
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  168. Q3 3:58
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  169. Q3 4:02
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  170. Q3 4:18
    Jericho Sims personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  171. Q3 4:18
    Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  172. Q3 4:29
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  173. Q3 4:34
    Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  174. Q3 4:34
    Andrew Wiggins personal foul
  175. Q3 4:34
    +1
    Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  176. Q3 4:54
    +3
    Andrew Wiggins makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
    93-89
  177. Q3 4:57
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  178. Q3 5:02
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  179. Q3 5:22
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)
  180. Q3 5:22
    AJ Green shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)
  181. Q3 5:22
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  182. Q3 5:22
    Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  183. Q3 5:22
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  184. Q3 5:30
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  185. Q3 5:46
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  186. Q3 5:48
    Norman Powell offensive rebound
  187. Q3 5:51
    Norman Powell misses two point jump shot
  188. Q3 5:56
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  189. Q3 5:59
    Kyle Kuzma misses two point driving finger roll layup
  190. Q3 6:01
    Andrew Wiggins turnover (lost ball) (Ryan Rollins steals)
  191. Q3 6:01
    Jump ball. Ryan Rollins vs. Norman Powell (Kevin Porter Jr. gains possession)
  192. Q3 6:07
    Norman Powell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  193. Q3 6:20
    AJ Green misses three point jump shot
  194. Q3 6:22
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  195. Q3 6:22
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  196. Q3 6:23
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  197. Q3 6:23
    Jump ball. Kevin Porter Jr. vs. Davion Mitchell (Kyle Kuzma gains possession)
  198. Q3 6:23
    Bucks offensive rebound
  199. Q3 6:27
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  200. Q3 6:29
    Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
  201. Q3 6:36
    Heat turnover
  202. Q3 6:45
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  203. Q3 6:46
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  204. Q3 6:58
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    73-75
  205. Q3 7:14
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  206. Q3 7:16
    AJ Green misses three point jump shot
  207. Q3 7:28
    AJ Green defensive rebound
  208. Q3 7:31
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    71-75
  209. Q3 7:31
    Bucks personal foul
  210. Q3 7:31
    Norman Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  211. Q3 7:32
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  212. Q3 7:36
    Ryan Rollins misses two point jump shot
  213. Q3 7:40
    Myles Turner defensive rebound
  214. Q3 7:41
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  215. Q3 7:56
    Heat 60 second timeout
  216. Q3 7:56
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  217. Q3 8:00
    AJ Green defensive rebound
  218. Q3 8:03
    Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 8:19
    +2
    Ryan Rollins makes two point running layup (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
    93-89
  220. Q3 8:23
    Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  221. Q3 8:26
    Andrew Wiggins misses two point layup
  222. Q3 8:27
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  223. Q3 8:27
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  224. Q3 8:38
    +3
    Kyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (AJ Green assists)
    93-89
  225. Q3 8:53
    +3
    Bam Adebayo makes three point pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    116-122
  226. Q3 9:02
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  227. Q3 9:14
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  228. Q3 9:32
    Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)
  229. Q3 9:32
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  230. Q3 9:32
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  231. Q3 9:42
    Pelle Larsson turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Kuzma steals)
  232. Q3 9:50
    Ryan Rollins turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
  233. Q3 10:02
    +2
    Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    65-63
  234. Q3 10:05
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  235. Q3 10:06
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  236. Q3 10:31
    +2
    Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
    116-122
  237. Q3 10:31
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  238. Q3 10:46
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  239. Q3 10:49
    Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
  240. Q3 11:11
    Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
  241. Q3 11:11
    Davion Mitchell personal foul (Loose ball) (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)
  242. Q3 11:11
    Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
  243. Q3 11:12
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  244. Q3 11:13
    Bam Adebayo misses two point tip layup
  245. Q3 11:14
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  246. Q3 11:18
    Bam Adebayo misses two point running layup
  247. Q3 11:18
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  248. Q3 11:22
    Kyle Kuzma misses two point jump shot
  249. Q3 11:34
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    63-63
  250. Q3 11:40
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  251. Q3 11:45
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  252. Q2 00:00
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    109-107
  253. Q2 00:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  254. Q2 00:00
    Heat offensive rebound
  255. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  256. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  257. Q3 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  258. Q2 00:19
    Heat turnover
  259. Q2 00:36
    Heat personal foul
  260. Q2 00:36
    +2
    Cam Thomas makes two point running layup
    58-60
  261. Q2 00:36
    +1
    Cam Thomas makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    109-107
  262. Q2 00:40
    Cam Thomas defensive rebound
  263. Q2 00:44
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  264. Q2 00:52
    AJ Green personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  265. Q2 00:52
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
  266. Q2 00:52
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  267. Q2 00:52
    Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  268. Q2 00:55
    Kyle Kuzma misses two point running layup
  269. Q2 1:00
    Heat turnover
  270. Q2 1:07
    +2
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Cam Thomas assists)
    63-63
  271. Q2 1:21
    Myles Turner defensive rebound
  272. Q2 1:25
    Pelle Larsson misses three point running jump shot
  273. Q2 1:31
    Bucks turnover
  274. Q2 1:49
    +3
    Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
    58-56
  275. Q2 1:55
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    63-63
  276. Q2 1:58
    Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
  277. Q2 1:58
    Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  278. Q2 2:25
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
    63-63
  279. Q2 2:35
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  280. Q2 2:39
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  281. Q2 2:40
    Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  282. Q2 2:43
    Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
  283. Q2 2:46
    Heat personal foul
  284. Q2 2:46
    Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  285. Q2 3:01
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    87-84
  286. Q2 3:08
    Bucks turnover
  287. Q2 3:19
    Heat turnover
  288. Q2 3:33
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  289. Q2 3:33
    Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  290. Q2 3:33
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  291. Q2 3:33
    Heat offensive rebound
  292. Q2 3:33
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  293. Q2 3:33
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  294. Q2 3:42
    +2
    Kyle Kuzma makes two point putback dunk
    63-63
  295. Q2 3:42
    Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
  296. Q2 3:49
    Ryan Rollins misses two point running pullup jump shot
  297. Q2 4:02
    Myles Turner defensive rebound
  298. Q2 4:03
    Ryan Rollins blocks Tyler Herro's two point floating jump shot
  299. Q2 4:15
    +2
    Ryan Rollins makes two point driving layup (Bobby Portis assists)
    58-56
  300. Q2 4:31
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
    71-75
  301. Q2 4:35
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  302. Q2 4:39
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  303. Q2 4:46
    Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  304. Q2 4:49
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  305. Q2 5:04
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  306. Q2 5:04
    Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  307. Q2 5:04
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
  308. Q2 5:05
    +3
    Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
    48-50
  309. Q2 5:07
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  310. Q2 5:11
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  311. Q2 5:36
    +3
    Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
    45-50
  312. Q2 5:45
    +2
    Jericho Sims makes two point jump shot
    45-50
  313. Q2 6:05
    +3
    Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
    45-50
  314. Q2 6:12
    Myron Gardner defensive rebound
  315. Q2 6:16
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  316. Q2 6:30
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    45-50
  317. Q2 6:46
    +3
    Ousmane Dieng makes three point stepback jump shot
    45-50
  318. Q2 6:50
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  319. Q2 6:54
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  320. Q2 7:06
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    58-60
  321. Q2 7:18
    Heat turnover
  322. Q2 7:23
    Bucks personal foul
  323. Q2 7:23
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    58-60
  324. Q2 7:38
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    58-60
  325. Q2 7:38
    Heat 60 second timeout
  326. Q2 7:38
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
  327. Q2 7:39
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  328. Q2 7:44
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  329. Q2 7:58
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    58-60
  330. Q2 8:04
    Jericho Sims offensive rebound
  331. Q2 8:06
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  332. Q2 8:26
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  333. Q2 8:26
    Tyler Herro misses two point running jump shot
  334. Q2 8:30
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  335. Q2 8:34
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  336. Q2 8:38
    Jericho Sims offensive rebound
  337. Q2 8:41
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  338. Q2 9:01
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    58-60
  339. Q2 9:10
    +2
    Ryan Rollins makes two point driving floating jump shot
    48-50
  340. Q2 9:23
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    33-36
  341. Q2 9:27
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  342. Q2 9:32
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  343. Q2 9:47
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  344. Q2 9:47
    Heat defensive rebound
  345. Q2 9:47
    Bucks personal foul
  346. Q2 10:04
    Bucks defensive rebound
  347. Q2 10:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  348. Q2 10:06
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  349. Q2 10:20
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    58-60
  350. Q2 10:38
    +2
    Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
    48-50
  351. Q2 10:46
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  352. Q2 10:47
    Ousmane Dieng misses two point jump shot
  353. Q2 11:03
    Heat personal foul
  354. Q2 11:03
    Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  355. Q2 11:09
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  356. Q2 11:11
    Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
  357. Q2 11:37
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    48-50
  358. Q1 00:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  359. Q1 00:00
    Heat offensive rebound
  360. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  361. Q1 00:12
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    58-60
  362. Q1 00:25
    Bobby Portis misses two point tip layup
  363. Q1 00:25
    Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
  364. Q1 00:26
    Bobby Portis offensive rebound
  365. Q1 00:27
    Cam Thomas misses two point jump shot
  366. Q1 00:30
    Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  367. Q1 00:33
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running jump shot
  368. Q1 00:39
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  369. Q1 00:43
    Cam Thomas misses three point jump shot
  370. Q1 1:08
    +2
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
    33-36
  371. Q1 1:17
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  372. Q1 1:18
    Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  373. Q1 1:28
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  374. Q1 1:29
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  375. Q1 1:29
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  376. Q1 1:30
    Tyler Herro misses two point turnaround jump shot
  377. Q1 1:38
    Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  378. Q1 1:38
    Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  379. Q1 1:38
    Heat offensive rebound
  380. Q1 1:38
    Heat offensive rebound
  381. Q1 1:38
    Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
  382. Q1 1:38
    Kasparas Jakucionis misses two point jump shot
  383. Q1 1:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  384. Q1 1:38
    Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  385. Q1 1:38
    Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  386. Q1 1:38
    Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  387. Q1 1:40
    Kasparas Jakucionis misses two point tip layup
  388. Q1 1:41
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  389. Q1 1:50
    Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  390. Q1 1:50
    Heat personal foul
  391. Q1 1:50
    Bucks offensive rebound
  392. Q1 1:50
    +1
    Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    58-60
  393. Q1 1:58
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  394. Q1 2:06
    Jericho Sims turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  395. Q1 2:11
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  396. Q1 2:14
    Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
  397. Q1 2:21
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  398. Q1 2:25
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  399. Q1 2:28
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  400. Q1 2:28
    Bucks offensive rebound
  401. Q1 2:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  402. Q1 2:31
    Heat turnover
  403. Q1 2:46
    Heat 60 second timeout
  404. Q1 2:46
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    2-2
  405. Q1 2:46
    +1
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    35-38
  406. Q1 11:13
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
    17-16
  407. Q1 11:14
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Box Score
Heat
PosPlayerPts
Bucks
PosPlayerPts

Heat vs. Bucks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Bucks
  • Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat -218, Bucks +200

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 68%
  • Bucks: 32%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 117-112 Bucks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 68%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Bucks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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