Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Spurs NBA game on February 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Don't guess. Join Dimers Pro to unlock the bets worth making.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Thunder
106
116
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Thunder
26 32 27 21 106
Spurs
39 34 22 21 116
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Thunder
    <1%
  • Spurs
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
26 32 27 21 106
Spurs
39 34 22 21 116
Q4 00:21 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Stephon Castle misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Chris Youngblood misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:05 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:21
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:21
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    106-116
  4. Q4 00:25
    Stephon Castle misses two point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:38
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:40
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  7. Q4 00:46
    Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:49
    Chris Youngblood misses two point jump shot
  9. Q4 1:00
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  10. Q4 1:03
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    104-116
  11. Q4 1:03
    Thunder personal foul
  12. Q4 1:03
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe)
  13. Q4 1:03
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  14. Q4 1:06
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  15. Q4 1:09
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  16. Q4 1:15
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
    104-114
  17. Q4 1:15
    Spurs violation
  18. Q4 1:29
    Thunder personal foul
  19. Q4 1:34
    Thunder turnover
  20. Q4 1:46
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  21. Q4 1:46
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:46
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    104-112
  23. Q4 1:46
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  24. Q4 2:05
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    104-110
  25. Q4 2:10
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  26. Q4 2:14
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  27. Q4 2:18
    Thunder turnover
  28. Q4 2:30
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    102-110
  29. Q4 2:42
    Spurs personal foul
  30. Q4 2:42
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  31. Q4 2:42
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-108
  32. Q4 2:42
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    102-108
  33. Q4 2:42
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
  34. Q4 2:46
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  35. Q4 2:50
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  36. Q4 2:52
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  37. Q4 3:12
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    100-108
  38. Q4 3:25
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  39. Q4 3:28
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  40. Q4 3:53
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    100-106
  41. Q4 4:01
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    100-104
  42. Q4 4:01
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  43. Q4 4:04
    Cason Wallace misses two point jump shot
  44. Q4 4:14
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  45. Q4 4:17
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  46. Q4 4:27
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  47. Q4 4:29
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  48. Q4 4:42
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  49. Q4 4:48
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 4:57
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  51. Q4 4:58
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  52. Q4 5:09
    Spurs turnover
  53. Q4 5:24
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    98-104
  54. Q4 5:32
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  55. Q4 5:32
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  56. Q4 5:32
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
  57. Q4 5:33
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    95-104
  58. Q4 5:42
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  59. Q4 5:45
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  60. Q4 5:54
    Spurs turnover
  61. Q4 6:03
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  62. Q4 6:05
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  63. Q4 6:22
    Spurs personal foul
  64. Q4 6:22
    Carter Bryant turnover (offensive foul)
  65. Q4 6:22
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
  66. Q4 6:22
    Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  67. Q4 6:26
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  68. Q4 6:28
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  69. Q4 6:43
    Spurs turnover
  70. Q4 6:58
    Spurs personal foul
  71. Q4 6:58
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  72. Q4 6:58
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-102
  73. Q4 6:58
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  74. Q4 6:58
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-102
  75. Q4 7:13
    Thunder personal foul
  76. Q4 7:13
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  77. Q4 7:13
    Spurs offensive rebound
  78. Q4 7:13
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-102
  79. Q4 7:13
    Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  80. Q4 7:26
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    93-101
  81. Q4 7:35
    Branden Carlson defensive rebound
  82. Q4 7:38
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  83. Q4 7:46
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  84. Q4 7:47
    Branden Carlson offensive rebound
  85. Q4 7:47
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  86. Q4 7:50
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  87. Q4 8:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    90-101
  88. Q4 8:18
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    90-99
  89. Q4 8:24
    Spurs personal foul
  90. Q4 8:24
    Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
  91. Q4 8:24
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
  92. Q4 8:34
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  93. Q4 8:37
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  94. Q4 8:38
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  95. Q4 8:44
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  96. Q4 8:47
    Spurs turnover
  97. Q4 9:06
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  98. Q4 9:10
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  99. Q4 9:25
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  100. Q4 9:25
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    88-99
  101. Q4 9:32
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  102. Q4 9:38
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  103. Q4 9:41
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  104. Q4 9:49
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  105. Q4 9:54
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  106. Q4 10:06
    Spurs defensive rebound
  107. Q4 10:06
    Thunder personal foul
  108. Q4 10:06
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
  109. Q4 10:08
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  110. Q4 10:24
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  111. Q4 10:24
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    88-97
  112. Q4 10:26
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  113. Q4 10:36
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  114. Q4 10:37
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  115. Q4 10:42
    Spurs turnover
  116. Q4 10:48
    Thunder turnover
  117. Q4 11:06
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  118. Q4 11:08
    Thunder personal foul
  119. Q4 11:08
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  120. Q4 11:08
    Spurs offensive rebound
  121. Q4 11:08
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  122. Q4 11:22
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    88-95
  123. Q4 11:28
    Spurs personal foul
  124. Q4 11:31
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  125. Q4 11:35
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  126. Q3 00:00
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  127. Q3 00:00
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  128. Q3 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  129. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  130. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
  131. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  132. Q3 00:02
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  133. Q3 00:22
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    85-95
  134. Q3 00:34
    Thunder personal foul
  135. Q3 00:34
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    83-94
  136. Q3 00:34
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    83-95
  137. Q3 00:34
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  138. Q3 00:36
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  139. Q3 00:39
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  140. Q3 00:55
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  141. Q3 1:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  142. Q3 1:11
    Spurs personal foul
  143. Q3 1:11
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  144. Q3 1:11
    Spurs challenge timeout
  145. Q3 1:11
    Instant replay
  146. Q3 1:16
    Spurs personal foul
  147. Q3 1:16
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  148. Q3 1:16
    Aaron Wiggins turnover (lost ball)
  149. Q3 1:16
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
  150. Q3 1:20
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  151. Q3 1:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  152. Q3 1:37
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  153. Q3 1:37
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  154. Q3 1:37
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  155. Q3 1:37
    Thunder personal foul
  156. Q3 1:37
    Thunder personal foul
  157. Q3 1:38
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  158. Q3 1:43
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  159. Q3 1:44
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  160. Q3 2:00
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    83-93
  161. Q3 2:18
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    80-93
  162. Q3 2:31
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  163. Q3 2:34
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  164. Q3 2:44
    Thunder personal foul
  165. Q3 2:44
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  166. Q3 2:44
    Instant replay
  167. Q3 2:44
    Spurs challenge timeout
  168. Q3 2:44
    Instant replay
  169. Q3 2:44
    Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
  170. Q3 2:44
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace)
  171. Q3 2:44
    Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
  172. Q3 2:44
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  173. Q3 2:46
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  174. Q3 2:47
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  175. Q3 2:47
    Harrison Barnes misses two point driving layup
  176. Q3 2:47
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  177. Q3 3:10
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  178. Q3 3:12
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  179. Q3 3:23
    Thunder personal foul
  180. Q3 3:23
    Harrison Barnes misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  181. Q3 3:23
    Spurs offensive rebound
  182. Q3 3:23
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
  183. Q3 3:23
    Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
  184. Q3 3:23
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-91
  185. Q3 3:25
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  186. Q3 3:32
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  187. Q3 3:38
    Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
  188. Q3 3:40
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  189. Q3 3:55
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    80-90
  190. Q3 4:09
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  191. Q3 4:13
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  192. Q3 4:16
    Thunder turnover
  193. Q3 4:20
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  194. Q3 4:21
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  195. Q3 4:21
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  196. Q3 4:27
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  197. Q3 4:36
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  198. Q3 4:39
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  199. Q3 4:54
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  200. Q3 4:56
    Thunder personal foul
  201. Q3 4:56
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    78-90
  202. Q3 4:56
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  203. Q3 4:56
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson)
  204. Q3 5:14
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  205. Q3 5:16
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  206. Q3 5:33
    Spurs turnover
  207. Q3 5:36
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  208. Q3 5:39
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  209. Q3 5:57
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    78-89
  210. Q3 6:12
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    75-89
  211. Q3 6:12
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  212. Q3 6:12
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  213. Q3 6:12
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson)
  214. Q3 6:20
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  215. Q3 6:23
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  216. Q3 6:30
    Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
  217. Q3 6:32
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  218. Q3 6:42
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    75-87
  219. Q3 6:55
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    75-84
  220. Q3 7:09
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    72-84
  221. Q3 7:21
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    72-81
  222. Q3 7:32
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    70-81
  223. Q3 7:41
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  224. Q3 7:43
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  225. Q3 8:02
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    70-79
  226. Q3 8:19
    Spurs personal foul
  227. Q3 8:19
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    69-77
  228. Q3 8:19
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    70-77
  229. Q3 8:35
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  230. Q3 8:37
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  231. Q3 8:57
    Spurs personal foul
  232. Q3 8:57
    +1
    Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    67-77
  233. Q3 8:57
    +1
    Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-77
  234. Q3 8:57
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  235. Q3 9:01
    Spurs turnover
  236. Q3 9:05
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  237. Q3 9:07
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  238. Q3 9:27
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  239. Q3 9:30
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  240. Q3 9:36
    Spurs defensive rebound
  241. Q3 9:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  242. Q3 9:40
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  243. Q3 9:47
    Thunder offensive rebound
  244. Q3 9:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  245. Q3 9:49
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  246. Q3 10:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    66-77
  247. Q3 10:09
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    66-75
  248. Q3 10:25
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    64-75
  249. Q3 10:42
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    64-73
  250. Q3 10:46
    Spurs turnover
  251. Q3 11:13
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    61-73
  252. Q3 11:22
    Thunder defensive rebound
  253. Q3 11:22
    Spurs personal foul
  254. Q3 11:24
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  255. Q3 11:39
    Thunder turnover
  256. Q2 00:00
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  257. Q2 00:00
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    58-73
  258. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  259. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  260. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
  261. Q2 00:03
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  262. Q2 00:03
    Julian Champagnie turnover (lost ball)
  263. Q2 00:19
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    56-73
  264. Q2 00:34
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    56-70
  265. Q2 00:45
    Thunder personal foul
  266. Q2 00:45
    Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  267. Q2 00:45
    Spurs offensive rebound
  268. Q2 00:45
    Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  269. Q2 00:45
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    53-70
  270. Q2 00:57
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  271. Q2 1:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  272. Q2 1:12
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    53-69
  273. Q2 1:27
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    53-66
  274. Q2 1:46
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    50-66
  275. Q2 1:57
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    50-63
  276. Q2 2:12
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    48-63
  277. Q2 2:19
    Thunder personal foul
  278. Q2 2:19
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
  279. Q2 2:19
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  280. Q2 2:24
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  281. Q2 2:27
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  282. Q2 2:39
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  283. Q2 2:41
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  284. Q2 2:48
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  285. Q2 2:49
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  286. Q2 3:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    48-60
  287. Q2 3:08
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  288. Q2 3:10
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  289. Q2 3:26
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  290. Q2 3:29
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  291. Q2 3:35
    Thunder turnover
  292. Q2 3:36
    Brooks Barnhizer offensive rebound
  293. Q2 3:40
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  294. Q2 3:48
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  295. Q2 3:50
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  296. Q2 3:52
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  297. Q2 3:54
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  298. Q2 3:54
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  299. Q2 3:54
    Aaron Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Luke Kornet steals)
  300. Q2 3:58
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  301. Q2 4:16
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  302. Q2 4:16
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
  303. Q2 4:16
    Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
  304. Q2 4:18
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    48-58
  305. Q2 4:29
    Branden Carlson defensive rebound
  306. Q2 4:31
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  307. Q2 4:54
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    45-58
  308. Q2 4:59
    Spurs turnover
  309. Q2 5:03
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  310. Q2 5:05
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  311. Q2 5:25
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    42-58
  312. Q2 5:28
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  313. Q2 5:30
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  314. Q2 5:33
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  315. Q2 5:35
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  316. Q2 5:52
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  317. Q2 5:52
    Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  318. Q2 5:53
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    42-56
  319. Q2 6:02
    Branden Carlson offensive rebound
  320. Q2 6:06
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  321. Q2 6:20
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    39-56
  322. Q2 6:20
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  323. Q2 6:20
    +2
    Luke Kornet makes two point tip layup
    42-56
  324. Q2 6:38
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  325. Q2 6:40
    Spurs personal foul
  326. Q2 6:40
    +1
    Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-54
  327. Q2 6:40
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
  328. Q2 6:40
    Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  329. Q2 6:40
    Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  330. Q2 6:41
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  331. Q2 6:44
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  332. Q2 6:57
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  333. Q2 7:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  334. Q2 7:14
    Spurs personal foul
  335. Q2 7:14
    +1
    Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    37-54
  336. Q2 7:14
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  337. Q2 7:14
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
  338. Q2 7:14
    +1
    Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    38-54
  339. Q2 7:17
    Spurs turnover
  340. Q2 7:22
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  341. Q2 7:25
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  342. Q2 7:30
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  343. Q2 7:32
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  344. Q2 7:50
    Thunder turnover
  345. Q2 7:57
    Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
  346. Q2 8:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  347. Q2 8:15
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    36-54
  348. Q2 8:22
    Thunder personal foul
  349. Q2 8:22
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    33-53
  350. Q2 8:22
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    33-54
  351. Q2 8:35
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    33-52
  352. Q2 8:40
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  353. Q2 8:40
    +2
    Julian Champagnie makes two point jump shot
    30-52
  354. Q2 8:45
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  355. Q2 8:51
    Thunder turnover
  356. Q2 9:02
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    30-50
  357. Q2 9:02
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  358. Q2 9:02
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
  359. Q2 9:02
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
  360. Q2 9:05
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  361. Q2 9:09
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  362. Q2 9:21
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  363. Q2 9:24
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  364. Q2 9:29
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  365. Q2 9:32
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  366. Q2 9:46
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    30-48
  367. Q2 9:58
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    30-45
  368. Q2 10:13
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    28-45
  369. Q2 10:17
    Thunder turnover
  370. Q2 10:24
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  371. Q2 10:26
    Spurs offensive rebound
  372. Q2 10:26
    Spurs turnover
  373. Q2 10:51
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-42
  374. Q2 11:15
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    26-42
  375. Q2 11:27
    Thunder turnover
  376. Q2 11:28
    Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
  377. Q2 11:30
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  378. Q2 11:36
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  379. Q2 11:40
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  380. Q1 00:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    26-39
  381. Q1 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  382. Q1 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  383. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  384. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox)
  385. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace)
  386. Q1 00:11
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  387. Q1 00:14
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  388. Q1 00:17
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  389. Q1 00:21
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  390. Q1 00:24
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  391. Q1 00:26
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  392. Q1 00:36
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    26-37
  393. Q1 00:51
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    26-35
  394. Q1 1:09
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    23-35
  395. Q1 1:09
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  396. Q1 1:09
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace)
  397. Q1 1:13
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  398. Q1 1:17
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  399. Q1 1:29
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    23-33
  400. Q1 1:42
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    23-30
  401. Q1 1:45
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  402. Q1 2:03
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    21-30
  403. Q1 2:11
    Thunder turnover
  404. Q1 2:18
    Carter Bryant offensive rebound
  405. Q1 2:18
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    21-28
  406. Q1 2:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  407. Q1 2:30
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  408. Q1 2:32
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  409. Q1 2:47
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    21-26
  410. Q1 3:03
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    21-23
  411. Q1 3:12
    Branden Carlson defensive rebound
  412. Q1 3:14
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  413. Q1 3:15
    Luke Kornet misses two point tip layup
  414. Q1 3:15
    Branden Carlson defensive rebound
  415. Q1 3:34
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    19-23
  416. Q1 3:36
    Branden Carlson offensive rebound
  417. Q1 3:40
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  418. Q1 3:55
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    16-23
  419. Q1 4:10
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    16-21
  420. Q1 4:25
    Thunder personal foul
  421. Q1 4:25
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  422. Q1 4:25
    Thunder challenge timeout
  423. Q1 4:25
    Instant replay
  424. Q1 4:25
    Stephon Castle turnover (offensive foul)
  425. Q1 4:25
    Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
  426. Q1 4:25
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  427. Q1 4:27
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  428. Q1 4:28
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  429. Q1 4:58
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    13-21
  430. Q1 5:03
    Branden Carlson defensive rebound
  431. Q1 5:05
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  432. Q1 5:15
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  433. Q1 5:19
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  434. Q1 5:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  435. Q1 5:39
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  436. Q1 5:39
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  437. Q1 5:39
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
  438. Q1 5:40
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    11-21
  439. Q1 5:45
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  440. Q1 5:48
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  441. Q1 5:58
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  442. Q1 6:01
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  443. Q1 6:08
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  444. Q1 6:11
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  445. Q1 6:23
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  446. Q1 6:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  447. Q1 6:38
    Thunder personal foul
  448. Q1 6:38
    Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
  449. Q1 6:45
    Spurs personal foul
  450. Q1 6:45
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  451. Q1 6:53
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    11-18
  452. Q1 7:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    11-15
  453. Q1 7:08
    Spurs personal foul
  454. Q1 7:22
    Thunder personal foul
  455. Q1 7:22
    Spurs offensive rebound
  456. Q1 7:22
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  457. Q1 7:22
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle)
  458. Q1 7:22
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  459. Q1 7:22
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    9-15
  460. Q1 7:35
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    9-14
  461. Q1 7:57
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    6-14
  462. Q1 8:10
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  463. Q1 8:13
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  464. Q1 8:36
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    6-11
  465. Q1 8:54
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    6-9
  466. Q1 9:15
    Cason Wallace shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
  467. Q1 9:15
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    4-8
  468. Q1 9:15
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    4-9
  469. Q1 9:25
    +2
    Jaylin Williams makes two point jump shot
    4-7
  470. Q1 9:35
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  471. Q1 9:38
    Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
  472. Q1 9:46
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  473. Q1 9:47
    Kenrich Williams misses two point stepback jump shot
  474. Q1 10:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  475. Q1 10:10
    Jaylin Williams shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  476. Q1 10:10
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop layup (Stephon Castle assists)
    2-6
  477. Q1 10:10
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    2-7
  478. Q1 10:22
    Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
  479. Q1 10:22
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  480. Q1 10:28
    De'Aaron Fox blocks Cason Wallace's three point jump shot
  481. Q1 10:46
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point alley-oop dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    2-4
  482. Q1 10:58
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    1-2
  483. Q1 10:58
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    2-2
  484. Q1 10:58
    Victor Wembanyama shooting foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
  485. Q1 11:14
    +2
    Devin Vassell makes two point turnaround jump shot (Julian Champagnie assists)
    0-2
  486. Q1 11:27
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  487. Q1 11:30
    Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
  488. Q1 11:39
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  489. Q1 11:42
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  490. Q1 11:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  491. Q1 11:48
    Spurs offensive rebound
  492. Q1 11:48
    Jaylin Williams blocks Victor Wembanyama's two point driving layup
  493. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  494. Q1 12:00
    Cason Wallace vs. Victor Wembanyama (Stephon Castle gains possession)
  495. Q1 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
  496. Q1 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
Box Score
Thunder
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Thunder vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Spurs
  • Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -9.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder +335, Spurs -410

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 24%
  • Spurs: 76%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 106-114 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 24%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 76%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.