Mavericks vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Rockets NBA game on January 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Mavericks
107
111
Toyota Center
Rockets
Toyota Center
TEAM1234T
Mavericks
28 23 31 25 107
Rockets
31 28 28 24 111
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mavericks
    <1%
  • Rockets
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Mavericks
28 23 31 25 107
Rockets
31 28 28 24 111
Q4 00:08 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:14 Tari Eason makes two point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
Q4 00:23 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:28 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:05
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:08
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  5. Q4 00:14
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    107-111
  6. Q4 00:14
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  7. Q4 00:21
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:23
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  9. Q4 00:28
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    107-109
  10. Q4 00:28
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  11. Q4 00:28
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  12. Q4 00:47
    Naji Marshall offensive rebound
  13. Q4 00:47
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    107-107
  14. Q4 00:50
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  15. Q4 00:57
    Rockets violation
  16. Q4 1:00
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  17. Q4 1:03
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  18. Q4 1:09
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  19. Q4 1:11
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  20. Q4 1:34
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    105-107
  21. Q4 1:54
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    103-107
  22. Q4 2:14
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    103-105
  23. Q4 2:23
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  24. Q4 2:26
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  25. Q4 2:37
    Rockets personal foul
  26. Q4 2:37
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    100-105
  27. Q4 2:37
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-105
  28. Q4 2:44
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  29. Q4 2:47
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  30. Q4 3:05
    Rockets personal foul
  31. Q4 3:05
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-105
  32. Q4 3:05
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-105
  33. Q4 3:14
    Rockets turnover
  34. Q4 3:17
    Mavericks turnover
  35. Q4 3:26
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    97-105
  36. Q4 3:26
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  37. Q4 3:36
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  38. Q4 3:39
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    97-103
  39. Q4 3:39
    Rockets personal foul
  40. Q4 3:39
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
  41. Q4 3:39
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  42. Q4 3:39
    Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  43. Q4 3:46
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  44. Q4 3:46
    Rockets offensive rebound
  45. Q4 3:46
    Rockets turnover
  46. Q4 3:46
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
  47. Q4 4:19
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    95-103
  48. Q4 4:26
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  49. Q4 4:26
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    93-103
  50. Q4 4:32
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  51. Q4 5:04
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    93-101
  52. Q4 5:16
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    91-101
  53. Q4 5:31
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  54. Q4 5:31
    Rockets defensive rebound
  55. Q4 5:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  56. Q4 5:31
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
  57. Q4 5:35
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  58. Q4 5:36
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  59. Q4 6:03
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    91-99
  60. Q4 6:18
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    88-99
  61. Q4 6:40
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    88-96
  62. Q4 6:49
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  63. Q4 6:49
    Jump ball. Moussa Cisse (Mavericks gains possession)
  64. Q4 6:49
    Rockets personal foul
  65. Q4 6:50
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  66. Q4 7:02
    Mavericks personal foul
  67. Q4 7:02
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-95
  68. Q4 7:02
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  69. Q4 7:02
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, Moussa Cisse)
  70. Q4 7:02
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-96
  71. Q4 7:07
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  72. Q4 7:09
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  73. Q4 7:28
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  74. Q4 7:30
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  75. Q4 7:52
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    85-94
  76. Q4 8:09
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  77. Q4 8:14
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  78. Q4 8:30
    Mavericks turnover
  79. Q4 8:42
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    83-93
  80. Q4 8:42
    Mavericks personal foul
  81. Q4 8:42
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    83-94
  82. Q4 8:42
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Clint Capela)
  83. Q4 8:42
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Clint Capela)
  84. Q4 8:42
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, Moussa Cisse)
  85. Q4 8:43
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  86. Q4 8:46
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  87. Q4 8:58
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    83-91
  88. Q4 9:05
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  89. Q4 9:07
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  90. Q4 9:17
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  91. Q4 9:20
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  92. Q4 9:30
    Josh Okogie personal foul
  93. Q4 9:30
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  94. Q4 9:30
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  95. Q4 9:30
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
  96. Q4 9:30
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard)
  97. Q4 9:30
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    83-89
  98. Q4 9:42
    Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
  99. Q4 9:45
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  100. Q4 9:54
    Mavericks turnover
  101. Q4 9:57
    Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
  102. Q4 9:59
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  103. Q4 10:06
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  104. Q4 10:09
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  105. Q4 10:24
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    82-89
  106. Q4 10:34
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  107. Q4 10:38
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  108. Q4 10:57
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  109. Q4 11:00
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  110. Q4 11:09
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  111. Q4 11:09
    Rockets offensive rebound
  112. Q4 11:09
    Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
  113. Q4 11:09
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  114. Q4 11:09
    Instant replay
  115. Q4 11:12
    Mavericks turnover
  116. Q4 11:23
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  117. Q4 11:23
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  118. Q4 11:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  119. Q4 11:28
    Mavericks turnover
  120. Q4 11:42
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  121. Q4 11:42
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  122. Q4 11:42
    Rockets personal foul
  123. Q3 00:00
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  124. Q3 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  125. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  126. Q3 00:00
    Caleb Martin misses two point tip layup
  127. Q3 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  128. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson)
  129. Q3 00:06
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  130. Q3 00:07
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  131. Q3 00:27
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  132. Q3 00:29
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  133. Q3 00:44
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  134. Q3 00:47
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  135. Q3 00:54
    Mavericks personal foul
  136. Q3 1:04
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  137. Q3 1:04
    Rockets turnover
  138. Q3 1:04
    Rockets personal foul
  139. Q3 1:04
    Caleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  140. Q3 1:04
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  141. Q3 1:04
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse)
  142. Q3 1:04
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard)
  143. Q3 1:04
    +1
    Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    82-87
  144. Q3 1:07
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  145. Q3 1:28
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    81-87
  146. Q3 1:58
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    78-87
  147. Q3 2:00
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  148. Q3 2:04
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  149. Q3 2:08
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  150. Q3 2:11
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  151. Q3 2:25
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
    78-84
  152. Q3 2:37
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  153. Q3 2:39
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  154. Q3 2:56
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    76-84
  155. Q3 3:14
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    73-84
  156. Q3 3:35
    Rockets personal foul
  157. Q3 3:35
    Moussa Cisse misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  158. Q3 3:35
    +1
    Moussa Cisse makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    73-82
  159. Q3 3:35
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  160. Q3 3:48
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  161. Q3 3:53
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  162. Q3 4:12
    Rockets personal foul
  163. Q3 4:12
    Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  164. Q3 4:12
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  165. Q3 4:12
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    72-82
  166. Q3 4:15
    Rockets turnover
  167. Q3 4:18
    Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
  168. Q3 4:21
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  169. Q3 4:33
    Mavericks personal foul
  170. Q3 4:33
    Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard)
  171. Q3 4:33
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse)
  172. Q3 4:45
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    71-82
  173. Q3 4:49
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  174. Q3 4:52
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  175. Q3 5:02
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  176. Q3 5:04
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  177. Q3 5:19
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  178. Q3 5:19
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
  179. Q3 5:19
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, Moussa Cisse)
  180. Q3 5:20
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    69-82
  181. Q3 5:25
    Mavericks turnover
  182. Q3 5:29
    Rockets turnover
  183. Q3 5:40
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    69-79
  184. Q3 5:58
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    67-79
  185. Q3 6:08
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    67-77
  186. Q3 6:23
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  187. Q3 6:27
    Mavericks personal foul
  188. Q3 6:27
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    64-77
  189. Q3 6:27
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, Moussa Cisse)
  190. Q3 6:27
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  191. Q3 6:27
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
  192. Q3 6:27
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, Moussa Cisse)
  193. Q3 6:40
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  194. Q3 6:41
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  195. Q3 6:55
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    64-76
  196. Q3 7:12
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    64-73
  197. Q3 7:33
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    62-73
  198. Q3 7:34
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  199. Q3 7:37
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  200. Q3 7:51
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point tip layup
    62-71
  201. Q3 7:51
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  202. Q3 7:57
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  203. Q3 8:12
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    62-69
  204. Q3 8:22
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    59-69
  205. Q3 8:32
    Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
  206. Q3 8:32
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    59-67
  207. Q3 8:36
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  208. Q3 8:54
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  209. Q3 8:55
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  210. Q3 8:55
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    57-65
  211. Q3 8:55
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    57-65
  212. Q3 8:56
    Kevin Durant offensive rebound
  213. Q3 8:59
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  214. Q3 9:02
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  215. Q3 9:05
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  216. Q3 9:21
    Rockets personal foul
  217. Q3 9:21
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  218. Q3 9:21
    Instant replay
  219. Q3 9:21
    Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  220. Q3 9:21
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  221. Q3 9:21
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    57-65
  222. Q3 9:37
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point jump shot
    56-65
  223. Q3 9:46
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  224. Q3 9:49
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  225. Q3 9:56
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  226. Q3 9:59
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  227. Q3 10:12
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    55-63
  228. Q3 10:12
    Rockets personal foul
  229. Q3 10:12
    +1
    P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    56-63
  230. Q3 10:24
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  231. Q3 10:28
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  232. Q3 10:33
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  233. Q3 10:35
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  234. Q3 10:50
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    53-63
  235. Q3 11:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  236. Q3 11:09
    Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
  237. Q3 11:09
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    53-61
  238. Q3 11:12
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  239. Q3 11:30
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    51-61
  240. Q3 11:42
    Mavericks turnover
  241. Q3 11:49
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  242. Q3 11:49
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  243. Q3 11:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  244. Q2 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  245. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  246. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  247. Q2 00:01
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  248. Q2 00:01
    +2
    Daniel Gafford makes two point tip layup
    56-65
  249. Q2 00:01
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  250. Q2 00:06
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    51-59
  251. Q2 00:16
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  252. Q2 00:18
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  253. Q2 00:33
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    51-56
  254. Q2 00:38
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    51-54
  255. Q2 00:45
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  256. Q2 00:45
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  257. Q2 00:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  258. Q2 00:50
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  259. Q2 00:51
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  260. Q2 1:03
    Rockets personal foul
  261. Q2 1:03
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  262. Q2 1:03
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  263. Q2 1:03
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    49-54
  264. Q2 1:18
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  265. Q2 1:19
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  266. Q2 1:19
    Rockets personal foul
  267. Q2 1:19
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  268. Q2 1:40
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    48-54
  269. Q2 1:53
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    46-54
  270. Q2 1:54
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  271. Q2 1:56
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  272. Q2 1:56
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  273. Q2 1:59
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  274. Q2 2:16
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  275. Q2 2:16
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  276. Q2 2:16
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  277. Q2 2:21
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  278. Q2 2:32
    Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
  279. Q2 2:32
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    46-52
  280. Q2 2:37
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  281. Q2 2:49
    Rockets personal foul
  282. Q2 2:58
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    44-52
  283. Q2 3:12
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  284. Q2 3:12
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  285. Q2 3:19
    Mavericks turnover
  286. Q2 3:30
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    44-49
  287. Q2 3:58
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    44-47
  288. Q2 4:15
    Mavericks personal foul
  289. Q2 4:15
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  290. Q2 4:15
    Rockets offensive rebound
  291. Q2 4:15
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    41-47
  292. Q2 4:15
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Max Christie)
  293. Q2 4:29
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  294. Q2 4:32
    Rockets personal foul
  295. Q2 4:32
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  296. Q2 4:32
    P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  297. Q2 4:32
    P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  298. Q2 4:35
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  299. Q2 4:38
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  300. Q2 4:47
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  301. Q2 4:49
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  302. Q2 5:04
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    41-46
  303. Q2 5:04
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  304. Q2 5:04
    Rockets violation
  305. Q2 5:04
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Dwight Powell)
  306. Q2 5:13
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  307. Q2 5:18
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  308. Q2 5:30
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  309. Q2 5:30
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  310. Q2 5:30
    Mavericks personal foul
  311. Q2 5:30
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    41-43
  312. Q2 5:30
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  313. Q2 5:30
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Dwight Powell)
  314. Q2 5:30
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    41-44
  315. Q2 5:40
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  316. Q2 5:43
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  317. Q2 5:50
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  318. Q2 5:53
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  319. Q2 6:15
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    41-42
  320. Q2 6:22
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  321. Q2 6:25
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  322. Q2 6:28
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  323. Q2 6:37
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  324. Q2 6:50
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    39-42
  325. Q2 6:58
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  326. Q2 7:02
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  327. Q2 7:16
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    39-40
  328. Q2 7:25
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    39-37
  329. Q2 7:37
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  330. Q2 7:39
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  331. Q2 7:57
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  332. Q2 7:57
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell)
  333. Q2 7:57
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  334. Q2 7:58
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    37-37
  335. Q2 8:03
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  336. Q2 8:06
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  337. Q2 8:19
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  338. Q2 8:22
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  339. Q2 8:38
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  340. Q2 8:41
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  341. Q2 8:44
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  342. Q2 8:45
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  343. Q2 8:51
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  344. Q2 8:53
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  345. Q2 9:04
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  346. Q2 9:04
    Mavericks personal foul
  347. Q2 9:04
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard)
  348. Q2 9:04
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Brandon Williams, Daniel Gafford, Klay Thompson)
  349. Q2 9:04
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard)
  350. Q2 9:04
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson)
  351. Q2 9:04
    Naji Marshall turnover
  352. Q2 9:05
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  353. Q2 9:07
    Klay Thompson turnover (lost ball)
  354. Q2 9:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  355. Q2 9:27
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    35-37
  356. Q2 9:52
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    35-35
  357. Q2 9:54
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  358. Q2 9:54
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  359. Q2 9:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  360. Q2 10:09
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  361. Q2 10:11
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  362. Q2 10:22
    Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
  363. Q2 10:22
    +2
    Daniel Gafford makes two point tip layup
    32-35
  364. Q2 10:26
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  365. Q2 10:41
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    30-35
  366. Q2 11:04
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    30-33
  367. Q2 11:23
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    28-33
  368. Q2 11:38
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  369. Q2 11:40
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  370. Q2 11:48
    Klay Thompson offensive rebound
  371. Q2 11:51
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  372. Q1 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  373. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  374. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard)
  375. Q2 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson)
  376. Q1 00:01
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  377. Q1 00:09
    Mavericks turnover
  378. Q1 00:09
    Mavericks personal foul
  379. Q1 00:09
    Instant replay
  380. Q1 00:09
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes clear path free throw 1 of 2
    28-31
  381. Q1 00:09
    Amen Thompson misses clear path free throw 2 of 2
  382. Q1 00:09
    Rockets offensive rebound
  383. Q1 00:10
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, Moussa Cisse)
  384. Q1 00:21
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    28-30
  385. Q1 00:37
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    27-28
  386. Q1 00:37
    Rockets personal foul
  387. Q1 00:37
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    28-28
  388. Q1 00:37
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard)
  389. Q1 00:39
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    25-28
  390. Q1 00:56
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    25-26
  391. Q1 1:14
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    22-26
  392. Q1 1:29
    Brandon Williams offensive rebound
  393. Q1 1:32
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  394. Q1 1:48
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    22-23
  395. Q1 1:57
    Rockets defensive rebound
  396. Q1 1:57
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  397. Q1 1:57
    Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse)
  398. Q1 2:02
    Rockets turnover
  399. Q1 2:27
    +2
    Brandon Williams makes two point jump shot
    22-21
  400. Q1 2:37
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  401. Q1 2:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  402. Q1 2:37
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  403. Q1 2:37
    Rockets violation
  404. Q1 2:37
    Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson)
  405. Q1 2:37
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard)
  406. Q1 2:39
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  407. Q1 2:44
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  408. Q1 2:46
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  409. Q1 2:56
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    20-21
  410. Q1 3:17
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    18-21
  411. Q1 3:21
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  412. Q1 3:28
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  413. Q1 3:43
    Josh Okogie offensive rebound
  414. Q1 3:43
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    18-19
  415. Q1 3:44
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  416. Q1 3:55
    Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
  417. Q1 3:55
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    18-17
  418. Q1 4:01
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  419. Q1 4:08
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  420. Q1 4:12
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  421. Q1 4:24
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    16-17
  422. Q1 4:30
    Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
  423. Q1 4:32
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  424. Q1 4:46
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    14-17
  425. Q1 5:00
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    14-15
  426. Q1 5:06
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  427. Q1 5:09
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  428. Q1 5:22
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    10-15
  429. Q1 5:22
    Rockets personal foul
  430. Q1 5:22
    Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard)
  431. Q1 5:22
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    11-15
  432. Q1 5:28
    P.J. Washington offensive rebound
  433. Q1 5:31
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  434. Q1 5:51
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    8-15
  435. Q1 5:56
    Mavericks turnover
  436. Q1 6:12
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    8-13
  437. Q1 6:12
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  438. Q1 6:12
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Dwight Powell)
  439. Q1 6:15
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  440. Q1 6:18
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  441. Q1 6:33
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    8-11
  442. Q1 6:39
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  443. Q1 6:41
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  444. Q1 6:53
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    8-9
  445. Q1 7:08
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  446. Q1 7:10
    Rockets personal foul
  447. Q1 7:10
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  448. Q1 7:10
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  449. Q1 7:10
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
  450. Q1 7:10
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  451. Q1 7:14
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  452. Q1 7:16
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  453. Q1 7:33
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    8-6
  454. Q1 7:51
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    6-6
  455. Q1 8:04
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  456. Q1 8:04
    Rockets offensive rebound
  457. Q1 8:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  458. Q1 8:04
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Dwight Powell)
  459. Q1 8:15
    Rockets personal foul
  460. Q1 8:15
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    6-4
  461. Q1 8:15
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    5-4
  462. Q1 8:20
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  463. Q1 8:21
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  464. Q1 8:30
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  465. Q1 8:33
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  466. Q1 8:40
    Rockets personal foul
  467. Q1 8:43
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Box Score
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts
Rockets
PosPlayerPts

Mavericks vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mavericks vs. Rockets
  • Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -10.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +350, Rockets -390

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mavericks: 21%
  • Rockets: 79%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 107-116 Rockets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 21%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 79%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mavericks vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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