Hawks vs. Pelicans prediction, odds, pick for Oct. 31, 2026
Our Hawks vs. Pelicans predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.

The Atlanta Hawks are favored to beat the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Saturday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Hawks vs. Pelicans prediction gives Atlanta a 62.9% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value is on the under 240.5 points.
Hawks vs. Pelicans key predictions
- Predicted score: Hawks 121-118 Pelicans
- Hawks win probability: 62.9%
- Pelicans win probability: 37.1%
- Pelicans +4.5 spread: 52.7% cover probability
- Under 240.5 points: 52.6% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Hawks vs. Pelicans odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Hawks moneyline: 63¢ (Novig)
- Pelicans moneyline: 37¢ (Novig)
- Hawks -4.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Pelicans +4.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Over 240.5 points: 52¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 240.5 points: 49¢ (Polymarket)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Hawks vs. Pelicans pick: Under 240.5 (49¢)
Our model makes the Hawks the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 240.5 total points at 49¢ on Polymarket.
Those odds give the under an implied probability of 49.0%, while our model puts it at 52.6%.
That's a 3.6% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Hawks vs. Pelicans player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Hawks star Jalen Johnson leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 22.2 points, plus 9.7 rebounds and 8.1 assists. The Pelicans have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Hawks' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Jalen Johnson (Hawks): 22.2 points
- Trey Murphy (Pelicans): 21.6
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 21.3
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks): 18.6
- Dejounte Murray (Pelicans): 16.7
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Hawks vs. Pelicans prediction with Dimers Pro
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- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Hawks vs. Pelicans game details
- Matchup: Atlanta Hawks vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.


