D.C. United vs. New England Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the D.C. United vs. New England MLS match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
D.C. United
0
1
Gillette Stadium
New England
Gillette Stadium
New EnglandNE
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
A. Yusuf (35')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • New England
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • D.C. United
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: E. Klein replaces P. Miller
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces J. Hopkins
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: C. Clark replaces L. Bartlett
  4. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: G. Turner replaces B. Servania
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: G. Yow replaces L. Langoni
  6. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: P. Miller replaces J. Yueill
  7. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: L. Munteanu replaces Gabriel Pirani
  8. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by A. Yusuf
    0-1

D.C. United vs. New England: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. New England
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +280, New England +110, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+115/-140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • D.C. United: 18.4%
  • New England: 58.8%
  • Draw: 22.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: D.C. United 0-1 New England (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win D.C. United vs. New England? Prediction & correct score

New England is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.8%.

The most likely correct score is D.C. United 0-1 New England.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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