Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Cincinnati
2
4
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
J. Hall (12')
Soccer ball icon
E. Forsberg (48')
Soccer ball icon
K. Smith (o.g.) (65')
Soccer ball icon
M. Sofo (90')
Soccer ball icon
P. Bucha (17')
Soccer ball icon
K. Smith (73')
Soccer ball icon
A. Powell (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by M. Sofo, assisted by R. Donkor
    2-4
  2. 90'
    Red Card
    A. Powell (FC Cincinnati) sent off with a straight red card
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces E. Forsberg
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces M. Miazga
  5. 83'
    Yellow Card
    O. Valencia (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: N. Benedetti replaces A. Mehmeti
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Sofo replaces J. Ruvalcaba
  8. 80'
    Yellow Card
    M. Miazga (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  9. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Mboma replaces T. Barlow
  10. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces K. Smith
  11. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Hadebe replaces N. Hagglund
  12. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Smith
    2-3
  13. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: T. Rosborough replaces C. Cowell
  14. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces M. Dos Santos
  15. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Anunga replaces S. Gidi
  16. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by K. Smith (o.g.)
    1-3
  17. 58'
    Yellow Card
    R. Donkor (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  18. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. Forsberg
    1-2
  19. 37'
    Yellow Card
    B. J. Ramirez Leon (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  20. 17'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by P. Bucha, assisted by K. Denkey
    1-1
  21. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Hall, assisted by C. Cowell
    0-1

Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +270, NY Red Bulls -105, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-225/+170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 25.8%
  • NY Red Bulls: 52.0%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cincinnati 1-1 NY Red Bulls (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Cincinnati vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.0%.

The most likely correct score is Cincinnati 1-1 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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