NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto MLS match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
NY Red Bulls
1
:
1
BMO Field
Toronto
BMO Field
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
D. Salloi (43')
Soccer ball icon
E. M. Choupo-Moting (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Toronto
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: T. Parker replaces J. Che
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. M. Choupo-Moting
    1-1
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Coello replaces D. Mihailovic
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Franklin replaces R. Edwards
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces R. Donkor
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces M. Dos Santos
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Sargent replaces J. Cifuentes
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: T. Rosborough replaces M. Sofo
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Kerr replaces E. Aristizabal
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces Z. Monlouis
  11. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Salloi
    0-1
  12. 38'
    Yellow Card
    J. Cifuentes (Toronto FC) cautioned
  13. 32'
    Yellow Card
    R. Voloder (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  14. 22'
    Yellow Card
    M. Dos Santos (New York Red Bulls) cautioned

NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +230, Toronto +120, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-118/-102)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 34.6%
  • Toronto: 39.4%
  • Draw: 26.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Toronto (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto? Prediction & correct score

Toronto is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.4%.

The most likely correct score is NY Red Bulls 1-1 Toronto.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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