St Louis City vs. LAFC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. LAFC MLS match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
St Louis City
0
2
BMO Stadium
LAFC
BMO Stadium
LAFCLAFC
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
M. Choiniere (73')
Soccer ball icon
M. Choiniere (81')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • LAFC
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • St Louis City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Joyner replaces C. Wallem
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: R. Hollingshead replaces R. Raposo
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: J. Terry replaces D. Bouanga
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Jeong replaces Rafael Santos
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu replaces D. Edelman
  6. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by M. Choiniere
    0-2
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces S. Becher
  8. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by M. Choiniere
    0-1
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: A. Boudri replaces Son Heung-Min
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Cordova replaces C. Teuchert
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: T. Tillman replaces M. Delgado
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: T. Boyd replaces D. Martinez

St Louis City vs. LAFC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. LAFC
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +600, LAFC -210, draw +390
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 13.0%
  • LAFC: 68.4%
  • Draw: 18.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 0-2 LAFC (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win St Louis City vs. LAFC? Prediction & correct score

LAFC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 68.4%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 0-2 LAFC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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