Minnesota vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Minnesota vs. San Jose MLS match on August 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Minnesota
5
1
PayPal Park
San Jose
PayPal Park
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
T. Werner (pen.) (4')
Soccer ball icon
J. Pereyra (10')
Soccer ball icon
K. Yeboah (40')
Soccer ball icon
K. Yeboah (44')
Soccer ball icon
M. Caldeira (65')
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M. Gonzalez (86')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Jose
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Minnesota
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by M. Gonzalez, assisted by J. Pereyra
    5-1
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: D. Padelford replaces A. Markanich
  3. 85'
    Yellow Card
    B. Kikanovic (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Gonzalez replaces K. Yeboah
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: C. Harvey replaces W. Trapp
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ricketts replaces Vitor Costa
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: T. Chancalay replaces M. Caldeira
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: N. Triantis replaces O. Gene
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Fernandez replaces N. Tsakiris
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces O. Bouda
  11. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by M. Caldeira, assisted by K. Duncan
    4-1
  12. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: D. Johnson replaces T. Werner
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
  14. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by K. Yeboah, assisted by O. Gene
    3-1
  15. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by K. Yeboah, assisted by K. Duncan
    2-1
  16. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by J. Pereyra, assisted by A. Markanich
    1-1
  17. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by T. Werner (pen.)
    0-1

Minnesota vs. San Jose: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +180, San Jose +135, draw +280

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Minnesota: 31.8%
  • San Jose: 44.8%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Minnesota 1-1 San Jose (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Minnesota vs. San Jose? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.8%.

The most likely correct score is Minnesota 1-1 San Jose.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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