Philadelphia Union vs. Charlotte FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/17/2026]

Philadelphia and Charlotte will meet in MLS action at Subaru Park on Saturday, starting at 2:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Philadelphia as the most likely winner in this Philadelphia vs. Charlotte prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Philadelphia Union vs. Charlotte FC prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Philadelphia and Charlotte, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 64.7% chance of Philadelphia winning, a 17.1% chance for Charlotte, and an 18.2% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 70.4% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Charlotte +590, Philadelphia -213
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-228/+270)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Charlotte @ +590 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +270 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Charlotte to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Philadelphia win being the most probable:

• Philadelphia 2-1 Charlotte (9.4% probability)
• Philadelphia 2-0 Charlotte (7.8%)
• Philadelphia 1-1 Charlotte (7.7%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS game between Philadelphia and Charlotte in MLS at Subaru Park is scheduled to begin at 2:30 PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Union vs. Charlotte FC
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
• Venue: Subaru Park

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Philadelphia has a 64.7% win probability on Saturday, Charlotte has a 17.1% win probability, and there is an 18.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.