Minnesota United vs. St Louis City prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/17/2026]

Minnesota will take on St Louis City in MLS action at Allianz Field on Saturday, starting at 4:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects St Louis City as the most likely winner in this Minnesota vs. St Louis City prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Minnesota United vs. St Louis City prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Minnesota and St Louis City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 38.7% chance of Minnesota winning, a 39.1% chance for St Louis City, and a 22.2% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 68.7% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: St Louis City +186, Minnesota +147
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+170)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: St Louis City @ +186 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -170 via Novig

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Minnesota 1-1 St Louis City (9.1% probability)
• Minnesota 1-2 St Louis City (8.1%)
• Minnesota 2-1 St Louis City (8%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between Minnesota and St Louis City in MLS at Allianz Field is scheduled to start at 4:30 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota United vs. St Louis City
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
• Venue: Allianz Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Minnesota has a 38.7% win probability on Saturday, St Louis City has a 39.1% win probability, and there is a 22.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.