Nationals vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Phillies MLB game on March 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Nationals
PJ Poulin 0-0, 0.00 ERA
2
3
Mar 31, 6:40 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Andrew Painter 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Mar 31, 6:40 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Nationals
0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 8 1
Phillies
0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 X 3 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nationals
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
James Wood lines out to deep left field to Brandon Marsh.
Quick Box Score
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wood RF5011002.2000.600
2 L. García 1B4000001.0000.000
3 C. Abrams SS4110000.2500.500
4 D. Lile LF4030000.7501.750
5 B. House 3B0000000.0000.000
6 K. Ruiz C4000001.0000.000
7 J. Tena DH4000003.0000.000
8 J. Wiemer CF3000012.0000.250
9 N. Nuñez 2B4120002.5001.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4010000.2500.500
2 K. Schwarber DH3111111.3331.833
3 B. Harper 1B4011000.2500.500
4 A. Bohm 3B3000010.0000.250
5 B. Stott 2B4000001.0000.000
6 A. García RF3121100.6672.334
7 B. Marsh LF3010000.3330.666
8 J. Realmuto C3000000.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF3110000.3330.666

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Nationals vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nationals vs. Phillies
  • Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nationals +174, Phillies -174

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nationals: 39%
  • Phillies: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 39%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nationals vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.