Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Yankees MLB game on June 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Red Sox
Sonny Gray 6-1, 3.06 ERA
5
3
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Ryan Weathers 2-3, 3.52 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 5 7 1
Yankees
1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    100%
  • Yankees
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Trent Grisham grounds out to first base to Willson Contreras.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF4110001.2500.500
2 C. Rafaela CF3000010.0000.250
3 W. Abreu RF4111001.2500.500
4 W. Contreras 1B4123101.5001.750
5 C. Durbin 3B4010000.2500.500
6 I. Kiner-Falefa 2B4000001.0000.000
7 M. Mayer SS1000001.0000.000
8 M. Gasper DH4000002.0000.000
9 C. Wong C3110001.3330.666
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF5111100.2001.000
2 B. Rice DH3121111.6672.417
3 P. Goldschmidt 1B4000000.0000.000
4 C. Bellinger LF3000011.0000.250
5 J. Chisholm 2B4100001.0000.000
6 M. Schuemann PH0000010.0001.000
7 A. Volpe SS4010001.2500.500
8 A. Rosario PH0000010.0001.000
9 J. Caballero PH1000000.0000.000

Red Sox vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Sox vs. Yankees
  • Date: Friday, June 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Sox 44¢, Yankees 56¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Sox: 43%
  • Yankees: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 43%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.