Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Tigers MLB game on May 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Red Sox
Payton Tolle 0-1, 3.38 ERA
5
4
Comerica Park
Tigers
Tyler Holton 0-1, 5.27 ERA
Comerica Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 12 2
Tigers
0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 4 3 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    100%
  • Tigers
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Hao-Yu Lee flies out to Wilyer Abreu.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF5133102.6001.800
2 W. Contreras 1B4000012.0000.200
3 A. Chapman P0000000.0000.000
4 T. Story SS5010003.2000.400
5 W. Abreu RF4111012.2500.650
6 C. Rafaela CF5020000.4000.800
7 M. Mayer 2B4021001.5001.000
8 C. Narváez C3100010.0000.250
9 C. Durbin 3B0000000.0000.000
Tigers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Carpenter DH1000001.0000.000
2 M. Vierling CF3101010.0000.250
3 D. Dingler C4012001.2500.750
4 R. Greene LF4010002.2500.750
5 S. Torkelson 1B4000003.0000.000
6 W. Pérez RF4000001.0000.000
7 H. Lee 2B4000001.0000.000
8 C. Keith 3B2210000.5001.167
9 Z. Short SS3000001.0000.000

Red Sox vs. Tigers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Sox vs. Tigers
  • Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
  • Time: 6:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Comerica Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Sox 53¢, Tigers 47¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Sox: 47%
  • Tigers: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 47%, while the Tigers have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Tigers are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Comerica Park on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Tigers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.