D-Backs vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Phillies MLB game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
D-Backs
Zac Gallen 1-1, 3.00 ERA
4
3
Apr 12, 1:35 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Andrew Painter 1-0, 4.82 ERA
Apr 12, 1:35 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 4 9 0
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 10 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Justin Crawford called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 I. Vargas LF5110001.2000.600
2 C. Carroll DH4020011.5001.350
3 G. Perdomo SS4100000.0000.000
4 J. Fernandez 3B4121001.5001.000
5 K. Marte 2B0000010.0001.000
6 L. Baker 1B0000000.0000.000
7 J. McCann C4021002.5001.250
8 A. Thomas CF3000002.0000.000
9 J. Barrosa RF4000003.0000.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4122100.5001.750
2 K. Schwarber DH4120001.5001.250
3 B. Harper 1B3021010.6671.750
4 B. Marsh LF4020000.5001.000
5 B. Stott 2B4010001.2500.500
6 A. García RF4000001.0000.000
7 A. Bohm 3B3000011.0000.250
8 R. Marchán C4000000.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF4110001.2500.750

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D-Backs vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Phillies
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs +130, Phillies -130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 45%
  • Phillies: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 45%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.