Twins vs. Padres: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Twins | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Padres | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | X | 7 | 10 | 0 |
- Twins
- Padres
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Keaschall | RF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.850 |
| 2 | B. Buxton | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 3 | J. Bell | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 4 | R. Jeffers | C | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 1.000 |
| 5 | K. Clemens | LF | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 6 | R. Lewis | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | R. Kreidler | 2B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | B. Lee | 3B | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .750 | 2.500 |
| 9 | K. Culpepper | SS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 1.250 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Tatis | RF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 0.800 |
| 2 | J. Cronenworth | 2B | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .400 | 1.200 |
| 3 | M. Machado | 3B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | 0.400 |
| 4 | T. France | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 5 | J. Merrill | CF | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .667 | 2.417 |
| 6 | L. Rengifo | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | L. Campusano | DH | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 8 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 9 | F. Fermin | C | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
Twins vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Saturday
- Teams: Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
- Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
- Time: 8:40PM ET
- Venue: Petco Park
Current betting odds
- Spread: Twins (+1.5, -163), Padres (-1.5, +156)
- Moneyline: Twins +129, Padres -133
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-111/+108)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Twins: 43.1%
- Padres: 56.9%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Twins a win probability of 43.1%, while the Padres have a win probability of 56.9%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Twins in the MLB game at Petco Park on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Twins vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.