Reds vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Saturday, August 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Reds
Rhett Lowder 4-8, 5.17 ERA
11
5
Chase Field
D-Backs
Michael Soroka 8-3, 2.94 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
1 0 2 3 1 1 2 1 0 11 16 1
D-Backs
0 0 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 5 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    100%
  • D-Backs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. De La Cruz SS6441101.6672.000
2 S. Stewart 1B6231001.5001.000
3 J. Bleday LF6243101.6672.334
4 T. Stephenson C4023002.5001.083
5 E. Suárez DH3000020.0000.400
6 M. McLain 2B4112112.2501.400
7 D. Myers CF5000001.0000.000
8 H. Rodríguez RF3221110.6672.467
9 K. Hayes 3B4000010.0000.200
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Nootbaar LF5021000.4001.000
2 C. Carroll RF5020000.4000.800
3 G. Moreno C5010001.2000.600
4 G. Perdomo SS5000001.0000.000
5 N. Arenado DH3311111.3331.833
6 T. Tawa 1B4122100.5001.750
7 I. Vargas 2B3100010.0000.250
8 J. Fernandez 3B3010010.3330.833
9 R. Waldschmidt CF4011001.2500.500

Reds vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:10PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Reds (+1.5, -120), Diamondbacks (-1.5, +117)
  • Moneyline: Reds +173, Diamondbacks -178
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+106/-105)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Reds: 36.7%
  • Diamondbacks: 63.3%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 36.7%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 63.3%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Diamondbacks are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Chase Field on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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