Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Orioles MLB game on September 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Yankees
Max Fried 17-5, 3.03 ERA
7
0
Sep 18, 7:15 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Cade Povich 3-7, 5.05 ERA
Sep 18, 7:15 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
2 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 7 9 0
Orioles
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Orioles
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jeremiah Jackson grounds out to shallow infield, Paul Blackburn to Paul Goldschmidt.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Goldschmidt 1B52210000.40.800
2 A. Slater RF000000000.000
3 C. Bellinger LF320002100.400
4 J. Domínguez DH100000000.000
5 J. Chisholm 2B20100010.51.500
6 T. Grisham CF300001200.250
7 A. Volpe SS41100020.250.750
8 J. Caballero 3B21100200.51.250
9 A. Wells C31210100.6671.417
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Mountcastle DH40100030.250.500
2 J. Westburg 3B400000300.000
3 G. Henderson SS40100000.250.500
4 T. O'Neill LF300001100.250
5 J. Jackson RF300001200.250
6 C. Mayo 1B30100020.3330.666
7 S. Basallo C300000100.000
8 J. Mateo CF300000100.000
9 L. Vázquez 2B300000200.000

Yankees vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Orioles
  • Date: Thursday, September 18, 2025
  • Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees -200, Orioles +180

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 61%
  • Orioles: 39%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 61%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 39%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.