Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Cubs MLB game on August 15, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft 3-2, 3.19 ERA
3
2
Aug 15, 2:20 PM ET Wrigley Field
Cubs
Colin Rea 9-5, 4.09 ERA
Aug 15, 2:20 PM ET Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 6 1
Cubs
0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    100%
  • Cubs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Dansby Swanson grounds out to shortstop, Jared Triolo to Spencer Horwitz.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Pham LF000000000.000
2 S. Horwitz 1B400000100.000
3 B. Reynolds RF400000300.000
4 N. Gonzales 2B310001000.250
5 A. McCutchen DH40110010.250.750
6 J. Suwinski CF31111000.3331.833
7 J. Triolo SS41200010.51.000
8 H. Davis C40100010.250.500
9 I. Kiner-Falefa 3B30110000.3331.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Turner 1B200000100.000
2 S. Suzuki RF41100020.250.750
3 K. Tucker DH300001000.250
4 I. Happ LF300001000.250
5 P. Crow-Armstrong CF313100012.333
6 N. Hoerner 2B40100000.250.500
7 D. Swanson SS40100000.250.500
8 M. Shaw 3B200100000.000
9 C. Kelly C100000000.000

Pirates vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. Cubs
  • Date: Friday, August 15, 2025
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates +163, Cubs -190

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 37%
  • Cubs: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 37%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.