MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include River Ryan [9/27/2026]

River Ryan over 0.5 walks allowed (-192)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 70.8%
• Game: Pirates vs. Tigers (3:10PM ET)

Our model has found value on Tigers' River Ryan over 0.5 walks allowed. A probability of 70.8% gives this play an edge of 5.1% at -192 odds.

Kyle Freeland under 4.5 strikeouts (-150)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 69.6%
• Game: Rockies vs. White Sox (3:10PM ET)

Kyle Freeland’s strikeouts prop shows a 69.6% probability and an 9.6% edge at -150 odds, according to our model.

Parker Messick over 0.5 earned runs (-200)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 69.2%
• Game: Guardians vs. Royals (3:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Parker Messick over 0.5 earned runs, with simulations showing a 69.2% probability and a 2.5% edge at -200.

Jake Mangum to get a hit (-175)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Game: Pirates vs. Tigers (3:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jake Mangum to get a hit, with a 66.5% probability and an edge of 2.8% at -175 odds.

JR Ritchie under 4.5 strikeouts (-136)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 65.2%
• Game: Braves vs. Marlins (3:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on JR Ritchie under 4.5 strikeouts for Braves, showing an edge of 7.6% at -136 odds.

JR Ritchie over 1.5 earned runs (-150)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Game: Braves vs. Marlins (3:10PM ET)

JR Ritchie’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 4.5% at -150 odds, supported by a 64.5% probability according to our model.

MacKenzie Gore over 1.5 earned runs (-133)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Game: Rangers vs. Twins (3:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on MacKenzie Gore over 1.5 earned runs for Rangers, with a 64.5% probability and a 7.4% edge at -133 odds.

Luisangel Acuña to get a hit (-156)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 64.3%
• Game: Rockies vs. White Sox (3:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Luisangel Acuña to get a hit, supported by a 64.3% probability at -156 odds and an edge of 3.4%.

Logan Gilbert under 1.5 walks allowed (-128)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 63.6%
• Game: Angels vs. Mariners (3:10PM ET)

A 7.5% edge on the under 0.5 walks allowed line makes Logan Gilbert a value play in Angels vs. Mariners, supported by a 63.6% probability at -128 odds.

Shane Baz under 5.5 strikeouts (-150)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 63.5%
• Game: Orioles vs. Yankees (1:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Shane Baz under 5.5 strikeouts here, with a 63.5% probability and 3.5% edge at -150 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Sunday, September 27, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For September 27, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as River Ryan, Kyle Freeland and Parker Messick. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.