MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Carlos Narváez [8/31/2026]

Carlos Narváez to get a hit (-169)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Orioles vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Baltimore's Carlos Narváez to get a hit. A probability of 66.6% gives this play an edge of 3.7% at -169 odds.

Anthony Kay over 3.5 strikeouts (-157)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 65.1%
• Game: White Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Anthony Kay’s strikeouts prop shows a 65.1% probability and an 4.0% edge at -157 odds, according to our model.

Kyle Harrison under 5.5 strikeouts (-151)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 65.0%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Kyle Harrison under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 65.0% probability and a 4.8% edge at -151.

Cody Freeman to get a hit (-141)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Our model finds value on Cody Freeman to get a hit, with a 62.2% probability and an edge of 3.7% at -141 odds.

George Kirby under 17.5 outs recorded (-126)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 60.4%
• Game: Mariners vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on George Kirby under 17.5 outs recorded for Seattle, showing an edge of 4.7% at -126 odds.

Ian Seymour over 16.5 outs recorded (-128)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Game: Mets vs. Rays (6:40PM ET)

Ian Seymour’s outs recorded prop shows an edge of 2.5% at -128 odds, supported by a 58.7% probability according to our model.

Gage Jump under 15.5 outs recorded (-113)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 58.3%
• Game: Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Gage Jump under 15.5 outs recorded for Athletics, with a 58.3% probability and a 5.2% edge at -113 odds.

Danny Jansen to get a hit (-116)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Game: Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

The data shows value on Danny Jansen to get a hit, supported by a 57.1% probability at -116 odds and an edge of 3.4%.

LaMonte Wade Jr. to get a hit (-101)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Game: White Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

A 5.1% edge on the to get a hit line makes LaMonte Wade Jr. a value play in White Sox vs. Astros, supported by a 55.3% probability at -101 odds.

George Kirby under 5.5 hits allowed (+113)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 55.0%
• Game: Mariners vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET)

Simulations show value on George Kirby under 5.5 hits allowed here, with a 55.0% probability and 8.1% edge at +113 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, August 31, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:37AM ET:

Conclusion

For August 31, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Carlos Narváez, Anthony Kay and Kyle Harrison. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.