Aug 18, 2026
Zack Wheeler projections August 18: Strikeouts, outs, and earned runs vs. Marlins [2026]
Read Article MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Zack Wheeler [8/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Tuesday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 18, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Zack Wheeler, Kyle Leahy and Kyle Harrison.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Yankees vs. Orioles and D-Backs vs. Red Sox—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Tuesday, 8/18
Sourced from 140+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 18, ranked by probability.
Zack Wheeler under 7.5 strikeouts (-150)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 68.9%
- Game: Marlins vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Philadelphia's Zack Wheeler under 7.5 strikeouts. A probability of 68.9% gives this play an edge of 8.9% at -150 odds.
Kyle Leahy over 1.5 earned runs (-167)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 66.8%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)
Kyle Leahy’s earned runs prop shows a 66.8% probability and an 4.3% edge at -167 odds, according to our model.
Kyle Harrison under 6.5 strikeouts (-160)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 65.7%
- Game: Mariners vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)
The data highlights value on Kyle Harrison under 6.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 65.7% probability and a 4.1% edge at -160.
Foster Griffin over 1.5 earned runs (-164)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 65.4%
- Game: Giants vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Foster Griffin over 1.5 earned runs, with a 65.4% probability and an edge of 3.3% at -164 odds.
Kyle Leahy under 5.5 strikeouts (-137)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 65.3%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Kyle Leahy under 5.5 strikeouts for St. Louis, showing an edge of 7.4% at -137 odds.
Ranger Suarez over 1.5 earned runs (-136)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 64.4%
- Game: D-Backs vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
Ranger Suarez’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 6.7% at -136 odds, supported by a 64.4% probability according to our model.
George Klassen under 4.5 strikeouts (-148)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 62.9%
- Game: Angels vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)
Our model highlights value on George Klassen under 4.5 strikeouts for LA Angels, with a 62.9% probability and a 3.3% edge at -148 odds.
Carlos Rodón over 1.5 earned runs (-114)
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 62.6%
- Game: Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)
The data shows value on Carlos Rodón over 1.5 earned runs, supported by a 62.6% probability at -114 odds and an edge of 9.3%.
Nick Martinez over 5.5 hits allowed (-115)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 62.4%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Rays (6:40PM ET)
An 8.9% edge on the over 1.5 hits allowed line makes Nick Martinez a value play in Blue Jays vs. Rays, supported by a 62.4% probability at -115 odds.
Tyler Mahle under 16.5 outs recorded (-111)
- Edge: 9.5%
- Probability: 62.1%
- Game: Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Tyler Mahle under 16.5 outs recorded here, with a 62.1% probability and 9.5% edge at -111 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:26AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins vs. Phillies | Zack Wheeler u7.5 strikeouts | -150 @ BetMGM | 8.9% | 68.9% |
| Cardinals vs. Reds | Kyle Leahy o1.5 earned runs | -167 @ DraftKings | 4.3% | 66.8% |
| Mariners vs. Brewers | Kyle Harrison u6.5 strikeouts | -160 @ Fanatics | 3.3% | 65.4% |
| Giants vs. Guardians | Foster Griffin o1.5 earned runs | -164 @ DraftKings | 3.3% | 65.4% |
| Cardinals vs. Reds | Kyle Leahy u5.5 strikeouts | -137 @ DraftKings | 7.4% | 65.3% |
| D-Backs vs. Red Sox | Ranger Suarez o1.5 earned runs | -136 @ DraftKings | 6.7% | 64.4% |
| Angels vs. Astros | George Klassen u4.5 strikeouts | -148 @ DraftKings | 3.3% | 62.9% |
| Yankees vs. Orioles | Carlos Rodón o1.5 earned runs | -114 @ DraftKings | 9.3% | 62.6% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Nick Martinez o5.5 hits allowed | -115 @ DraftKings | 8.9% | 62.4% |
| Braves vs. Twins | Tyler Mahle u16.5 outs recorded | -111 @ DraftKings | 9.5% | 62.1% |
Conclusion
For August 18, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Zack Wheeler, Kyle Leahy and Kyle Harrison. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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