MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Braxton Ashcraft [8/13/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 13, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Braxton Ashcraft, Roki Sasaki and Cade Cavalli.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Reds vs. White Sox and Guardians vs. Tigers—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Thursday, 8/13
Sourced from 130+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 13, ranked by probability.
Braxton Ashcraft over 1.5 earned runs (-156)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 68.9%
- Game: Pirates vs. Marlins (1:10PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Pittsburgh's Braxton Ashcraft over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 68.9% gives this play an edge of 8.0% at -156 odds.
Roki Sasaki under 2.5 walks allowed (-177)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 66.9%
- Game: Brewers vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
Roki Sasaki’s walks allowed prop shows a 66.9% probability and an 3.0% edge at -177 odds, according to our model.
Cade Cavalli under 5.5 hits allowed (-134)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 66.3%
- Game: Cubs vs. Nationals (4:05PM ET)
The data highlights value on Cade Cavalli under 5.5 hits allowed, with simulations showing a 66.3% probability and a 9.1% edge at -134.
Dansby Swanson to get a hit (-155)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 64.5%
- Game: Cubs vs. Nationals (4:05PM ET)
Our model finds value on Dansby Swanson to get a hit, with a 64.5% probability and an edge of 3.7% at -155 odds.
Miguel Amaya over 0.5 bases (-120)
- Edge: 9.6%
- Probability: 64.1%
- Game: Cubs vs. Nationals (4:05PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Miguel Amaya over 0.5 bases for CHI Cubs, showing an edge of 9.6% at -120 odds.
Miguel Amaya to get a hit (-127)
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 64.1%
- Game: Cubs vs. Nationals (4:05PM ET)
Miguel Amaya’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 8.2% at -127 odds, supported by a 64.1% probability according to our model.
Jacob deGrom over 1.5 earned runs (-125)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 62.3%
- Game: Rangers vs. Angels (10:07PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Jacob deGrom over 1.5 earned runs for Texas, with a 62.3% probability and a 6.7% edge at -125 odds.
Shane Drohan under 4.5 strikeouts (-120)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 62.2%
- Game: Brewers vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Shane Drohan under 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 62.2% probability at -120 odds and an edge of 7.6%.
Miguel Rojas to get a hit (-142)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 61.8%
- Game: Brewers vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
A 3.2% edge on the to get a hit line makes Miguel Rojas a value play in Brewers vs. Dodgers, supported by a 61.8% probability at -142 odds.
Moisés Ballesteros to get a hit (-121)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 61.5%
- Game: Rangers vs. Angels (10:07PM ET)
Simulations show value on Moisés Ballesteros to get a hit here, with a 61.5% probability and 6.7% edge at -121 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Thursday, August 13, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:11PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates vs. Marlins | Braxton Ashcraft o1.5 earned runs | -156 @ DraftKings | 8.0% | 68.9% |
| Brewers vs. Dodgers | Roki Sasaki u2.5 walks allowed | -177 @ DraftKings | 3.0% | 66.9% |
| Cubs vs. Nationals | Cade Cavalli u5.5 hits allowed | -134 @ DraftKings | 3.7% | 64.5% |
| Cubs vs. Nationals | Dansby Swanson to get a hit | -155 @ BetMGM | 3.7% | 64.5% |
| Cubs vs. Nationals | Miguel Amaya o0.5 bases | -120 @ Fanatics | 9.6% | 64.1% |
| Cubs vs. Nationals | Miguel Amaya to get a hit | -127 @ DraftKings | 8.2% | 64.1% |
| Rangers vs. Angels | Jacob deGrom o1.5 earned runs | -125 @ DraftKings | 6.7% | 62.3% |
| Brewers vs. Dodgers | Shane Drohan u4.5 strikeouts | -120 @ BetMGM | 7.6% | 62.2% |
| Brewers vs. Dodgers | Miguel Rojas to get a hit | -142 @ DraftKings | 3.2% | 61.8% |
| Rangers vs. Angels | Moisés Ballesteros to get a hit | -121 @ DraftKings | 6.7% | 61.5% |
Conclusion
For August 13, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Braxton Ashcraft, Roki Sasaki and Cade Cavalli. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
