Home run predictions for Sunday include Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Schwarber [9/27/2026]

• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 21.6% probability
• Munetaka Murakami (White Sox): 19.5%
• Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays): 19.0%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 18.8%
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 18.8%
• Christian Walker (Astros): 18.6%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 18.3%
• Juan Soto (Mets): 17.6%
• Isaac Paredes (Astros): 17.5%
• Kazuma Okamoto (Blue Jays): 17.3%

Our analysis shows Alvarez leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.6% chance to go yard, followed by Munetaka Murakami (19.5%) and Vladimir Guerrero (19.0%).

Cal Raleigh and Kyle Schwarber are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Sunday's home run picks [9/27/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Yankees) to hit a home run

• Probability: 16.2%
• Odds: +880
• Edge: 6.0%
• Pitching matchup: Shane Baz
• More game projections: Orioles vs. Yankees prediction (1:05 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Jazz Chisholm Jr. rates as a value play at +880 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 6.0% edge.

With Shane Baz on the mound for the Orioles, the data supports Jr. as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of 30 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For September 27, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Yordan Alvarez, Munetaka Murakami and Vladimir Guerrero projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jazz Chisholm Jr. who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 6.0% edge at +880 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Sunday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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