MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include Yankees vs. Blue Jays play [8/16/2026]

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs (+115)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Matchup: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Yankees vs. Blue Jays at +115 odds. A 54.6% probability produces an edge of 8.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Reds ML (+115)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Matchup: Marlins vs. Reds (1:40PM ET)

Reds ML carries a 4.8% edge and a probability of 51.3% at +115 odds, according to our model.

White Sox vs. Tigers Over 8.5 runs (+115)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Matchup: White Sox vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET)

White Sox vs. Tigers Over 8.5 runs at +115 odds shows a 4.8% edge, supported by a 51.3% probability in simulations.

Dodgers -1.5 (+133)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 47.6%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET)

A 4.7% edge and 47.6% probability makes Dodgers -1.5 vs. Brewers a value play in the Brewers vs. Dodgers matchup, per our model.

Phillies vs. Twins Over 9.5 runs (+115)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Matchup: Phillies vs. Twins (2:10PM ET)

Phillies vs. Twins Over 9.5 runs at +115 odds presents a 4.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 51.1%.

Diamondbacks vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Diamondbacks vs. Braves at -113 odds, supported by an edge of 4.4%.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Over 7.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 53.3%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Brewers vs. Dodgers Over 7.5 runs at +104 odds. A 53.3% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Pirates ML (+108)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 52.3%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET)

A 4.2% edge on a 52.3% probability makes Pirates to win at +108 odds a solid value play in today's Red Sox vs. Pirates matchup.

Padres vs. GuardiansOver 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 51.2%
• Matchup: Padres vs. Guardians (1:40PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds. A 51.2% probability produces a 4.2% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

Dodgers ML (-163)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 65.9%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Dodgers to defeat Brewers at -163 odds shows a 65.9% probability and a 3.9% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Sunday, 8/16/2026

As of 2:16AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/16/2026]

• Orioles vs. Rays (12:15PM ET, Sunday)
• Red Sox vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• D-Backs vs. Braves (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Yankees vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET, Sunday)
• Nationals vs. Mets (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• White Sox vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Padres vs. Guardians (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Marlins vs. Reds (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Phillies vs. Twins (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Cardinals vs. Cubs (3:15PM ET, Sunday)
• Rangers vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Rockies vs. Giants (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Royals vs. Angels (4:07PM ET, Sunday)
• Brewers vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Mariners vs. Astros (7:20PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 16, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Yankees vs. Blue Jays matchup and Reds ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.