MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Rockies vs. Giants play [8/14/2026]

Rockies vs. Giants Over 7.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 56.6%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Giants (10:15PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Rockies vs. Giants at -104 odds. A 56.6% probability produces an edge of 5.6%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Over 7.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Brewers vs. Dodgers over 7.5 runs carries a 5.6% edge and a probability of 57.5% at -108 odds, according to our model.

Diamondbacks vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 52.2%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Diamondbacks vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 5.3% edge, supported by a 52.2% probability in simulations.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays over 8 runs (+100)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (7:15PM ET)

A 5.0% edge and 55% probability make Yankees vs. Blue Jays over 8 runs a value play in the Yankees vs. Blue Jays matchup, per our model.

Padres vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 53%
• Matchup: Padres vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET)

Padres vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs at +108 odds presents a 4.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53%.

Dodgers -1.5 (+125)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 49.1%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Dodgers -1.5 at +125 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

Red Sox vs. Pirates Over 7.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Red Sox vs. Pirates Over 7.5 runs at -113 odds. A 57.7% probability produces a 4.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Over 8 runs (+100)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Matchup: Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)

A 4.6% edge on a 54.6% probability makes Over 8 runs at +100 odds a solid value play in today's Cardinals vs. Cubs matchup.

Mets ML (-108)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Nationals vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Mets to win at -108 odds. A 56.5% probability produces a 4.6% edge, making Mets the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Giants -1.5 (+178)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 40.1%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Giants (10:15PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Giants -1.5 at +178 odds shows a 40.1% probability and a 4.1% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Friday, 8/14/2026

As of 4:57AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/14/2026]

• Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
• Marlins vs. Reds (6:10PM ET, Friday)
• Red Sox vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• White Sox vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• Padres vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Nationals vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Orioles vs. Rays (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Yankees vs. Blue Jays (7:15PM ET, Friday)
• D-Backs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Friday)
• Mariners vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Royals vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Friday)
• Rangers vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Friday)
• Brewers vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Friday)
• Rockies vs. Giants (10:15PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 14, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Rockies vs. Giants matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Brewers vs. Dodgers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.