Pachuca vs. Tigres UANL Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pachuca vs. Tigres UANL Liga MX match on February 20, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Pachuca
2
1
Estadio Universitario
Tigres UANL
Estadio Universitario
Tigres UANLUANL
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
O. Herrera (39')
Soccer ball icon
Joaquim (50')
Red Card icon
S. Rondon (79')
Soccer ball icon
Kenedy (88')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Tigres UANL
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: R. Lopez replaces C. Sanchez
  2. 88'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy, assisted by S. D. Barreto
    2-1
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Brunetta replaces F. Gorriaran
  4. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by S. Rondon, assisted by V. Guzman
    1-1
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: V. Guzman replaces A. Dominguez
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: Kenedy replaces A. Bautista
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. A. Sanchez Guevara replaces R. Aguirre
  8. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: E. Valencia replaces S. Rodriguez
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces O. Idrissi
  10. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: C. Araujo replaces O. Herrera
  11. 50'
    Red Card
    Joaquim (Tigres UANL) sent off with a straight red card
  12. 45'
    Yellow Card
    D. Lainez (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  13. 39'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by O. Herrera, assisted by A. Correa
    0-1
  14. 18'
    Yellow Card
    V. Lorona (Tigres UANL) cautioned

Pachuca vs. Tigres UANL: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Tigres UANL
  • Date: Friday, February 20, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Universitario

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pachuca +500, Tigres UANL -190, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+114)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pachuca: 14.7%
  • Tigres UANL: 65.4%
  • Draw: 19.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pachuca 0-2 Tigres UANL (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Pachuca vs. Tigres UANL? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 65.4%.

The most likely correct score is Pachuca 0-2 Tigres UANL.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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