Elche vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Alaves La Liga match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
:
1
Elche
ElcheELC
Score Summary
AlavesALA
A. Rodriguez (72')
Soccer ball icon
T. Martinez (pen.) (51')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Alaves
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: H. Fort replaces G. Valera
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces A. Rebbach
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Donald (Elche) cautioned
  4. 88'
    Yellow Card
    G. Diangana (Elche) cautioned
  5. 88'
    Yellow Card
    A. Rebbach (Alaves) cautioned
  6. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: J. Donald replaces M. Aguado
  7. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: Buba Sangare replaces V. Chust
  8. 82'
    Yellow Card
    E. Sarabia (Elche) cautioned
  9. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces J. Guridi
  10. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces I. Diabate
  11. 78'
    Yellow Card
    A. Sivera (Alaves) cautioned
  12. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by A. Rodriguez, assisted by Josan
    1-1
  13. 69'
    Yellow Card
    I. Diabate (Alaves) cautioned
  14. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: Josan replaces Tete Morente
  15. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: G. Diangana replaces A. Febas
  16. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces T. Martinez
  17. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez (pen.)
    1-0
  18. 50'
    Yellow Card
    A. Febas (Elche) cautioned
  19. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces P. Ibanez
  20. 33'
    Yellow Card
    Jonny Otto (Alaves) cautioned
  21. 29'
    Yellow Card
    A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
  22. 12'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ibanez (Alaves) cautioned

Elche vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche +130, Alaves +240, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 43.9%
  • Alaves: 30.5%
  • Draw: 25.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-1 Alaves (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Elche vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Elche is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.9%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-1 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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