Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia La Liga match on May 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Valencia
1
0
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
U. Sadiq (72')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Valencia
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: J. Vazquez replaces Renzo Saravia
  2. 88'
    Yellow Card
    U. Sadiq (Valencia) cautioned
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: U. Nunez replaces J. Guerra
  4. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by U. Sadiq, assisted by L. Rioja
    1-0
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: U. Gomez replaces R. Navarro
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces A. Rego
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: L. Ramazani replaces D. Lopez
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: U. Sadiq replaces H. Duro
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: F. Ugrinic replaces Pepelu
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces O. Sancet
  11. 59'
    Yellow Card
    Pepelu (Valencia) cautioned
  12. 55'
    Yellow Card
    A. Rego (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  13. 50'
    Yellow Card
    E. Comert (Valencia) cautioned
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: D. Vivian replaces A. Laporte
  15. 36'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Williams replaces N. Williams
  16. 27'
    Penalty missed by H. Duro for Valencia
  17. 16'
    Yellow Card
    A. Laporte (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia
  • Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -149, Valencia +475, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 54.2%
  • Valencia: 20.6%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia (13.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.2%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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