Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
0
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
B. Iglesias (62')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atletico Madrid
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 77'
    Yellow Card
    F. Lopez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  2. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Alvarez replaces W. Swedberg
  3. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: O. Vargas replaces A. Baena
  4. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Cubo replaces R. Le Normand
  5. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Jutgla replaces B. Iglesias
  6. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces P. Duran
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: S. Carreira replaces A. Nunez
  8. 66'
    Yellow Card
    A. Baena (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  9. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias, assisted by W. Swedberg
    1-0
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces A. Griezmann
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces A. Lookman
  12. 20'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Le Normand replaces J. M. Gimenez
  13. 19'
    Yellow Card
    I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) cautioned

Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -115, Celta Vigo +340, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 49.9%
  • Celta Vigo: 26.2%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Celta Vigo (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.9%.

The most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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