Girona vs. Mallorca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Girona vs. Mallorca La Liga match on May 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Mallorca
1
0
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
GironaGIR
Score Summary
MallorcaMCA
Samu Costa (43')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Girona
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Mallorca
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    T. Lemar (Girona) cautioned
  2. 82'
    Yellow Card
    J. Mojica (Mallorca) cautioned
  3. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: D. Lopez replaces S. Darder
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: J. Llabres replaces M. Morlanes
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: H. Rincon replaces D. Blind
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: T. Lemar replaces F. Beltran
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: A. Sanchez replaces J. Virgili
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: B. Gil replaces J. Roca
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces C. Echeverri
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: Z. Luvumbo replaces P. Torre
  11. 64'
    Yellow Card
    Vitor Reis (Girona) cautioned
  12. 58'
    Yellow Card
    P. Maffeo (Mallorca) cautioned
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: J. Virgili replaces J. Kalumba
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    V. Tsygankov (Girona) cautioned
  15. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mallorca by Samu Costa, assisted by J. Mojica
    1-0

Girona vs. Mallorca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Mallorca
  • Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +105, Mallorca +320, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Girona: 46.7%
  • Mallorca: 27.8%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Girona 1-1 Mallorca (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Girona vs. Mallorca? Prediction & correct score

Girona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.7%.

The most likely correct score is Girona 1-1 Mallorca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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