Villareal vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Villareal vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on April 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
2
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villareal
Estadio de la Ceramica
VillarealVIL
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
G. Moreno (pen.) (2')
Soccer ball icon
N. Pepe (29')
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B. Iglesias (pen.) (73')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Villareal
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Partey replaces A. Moleiro
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Perez replaces G. Mikautadze
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Gonzalez replaces B. Iglesias
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: D. Parejo replaces P. Gueye
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Gonzalez replaces N. Pepe
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: S. Cardona replaces A. Pedraza
  8. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces M. Alonso
  9. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Lopez replaces H. Sotelo
  10. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: A. Nunez replaces H. Alvarez
  11. 74'
    Yellow Card
    B. Iglesias (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  12. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias (pen.)
    1-2
  13. 70'
    Yellow Card
    P. Gueye (Villarreal) cautioned
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Jutgla replaces P. Duran
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    P. Duran (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  16. 42'
    Yellow Card
    N. Pepe (Villarreal) cautioned
  17. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by N. Pepe, assisted by A. Pedraza
    0-2
  18. 29'
    Yellow Card
    I. Radu (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  19. 18'
    Yellow Card
    A. Pedraza (Villarreal) cautioned
  20. 14'
    Yellow Card
    M. Alonso (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  21. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Moreno (pen.)
    0-1

Villareal vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Villareal vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Villareal -110, Celta Vigo +300, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-143/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Villareal: 48.4%
  • Celta Vigo: 27.4%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Villareal 1-1 Celta Vigo (11.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Villareal vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.4%.

The most likely correct score is Villareal 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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