Real Oviedo vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Oviedo vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
1
0
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Real Oviedo
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Real OviedoOVI
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
J. Alvarez (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Oviedo
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Alvarez
    1-0
  2. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: L. Ahijado replaces N. Vidal
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: S. Cazorla replaces A. Reina
  4. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Llorente replaces T. Almada
  5. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: T. Fernandez replaces H. Hassan
  6. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: L. Ilic replaces I. Chaira
  7. 71'
    Yellow Card
    J. Lopez (Oviedo) cautioned
  8. 71'
    Yellow Card
    N. Molina (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: S. Colombatto replaces N. Fonseca
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces R. Mendoza
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Simeone replaces A. Sorloth
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces J. Cardoso
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Alvarez replaces A. Lookman
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    R. Le Normand (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  15. 42'
    Yellow Card
    N. Vidal (Oviedo) cautioned

Real Oviedo vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Oviedo vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Oviedo +410, Atletico Madrid -120, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Oviedo: 20.9%
  • Atletico Madrid: 54.3%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Oviedo 0-1 Atletico Madrid (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Real Oviedo vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.3%.

The most likely correct score is Real Oviedo 0-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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