Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Oviedo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Oviedo La Liga match on March 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Oviedo
0
3
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
Real OviedoOVI
J. de Frutos (44')
Soccer ball icon
J. de Frutos (pen.) (50')
Soccer ball icon
A. Garcia (62')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Oviedo
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces A. Garcia
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu replaces P. Ciss
  3. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: T. Borbas replaces F. Vinas
  4. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: O. Trejo replaces I. Akhomach
  5. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Palazon replaces P. Diaz
  6. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces J. de Frutos
  7. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by A. Garcia
    0-3
  8. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: L. Ilic replaces H. Hassan
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: N. Fonseca replaces S. Colombatto
  10. 53'
    Yellow Card
    A. Reina (Oviedo) cautioned
  11. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by J. de Frutos (pen.)
    0-2
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: S. Cazorla replaces K. Sibo
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: T. Fernandez replaces I. Chaira
  14. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by J. de Frutos
    0-1
  15. 35'
    Yellow Card
    K. Sibo (Oviedo) cautioned

Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Oviedo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Oviedo
  • Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano -130, Real Oviedo +420, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+128/-148)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 51.0%
  • Real Oviedo: 23.0%
  • Draw: 26.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Real Oviedo (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Oviedo? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.0%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Real Oviedo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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