Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca La Liga match on January 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Mallorca
1
2
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
MallorcaMCA
J. de Frutos (4')
Soccer ball icon
I. Palazon (pen.) (42')
Soccer ball icon
O. Valentin (80')
Red Card icon
V. Muriqi (30')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Mallorca
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Yellow Card
    P. Torre (Mallorca) cautioned
  2. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: J. Llabres replaces Samu Costa
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: A. Prats replaces P. Maffeo
  4. 80'
    Red Card
    O. Valentin (Rayo Vallecano) sent off with a straight red card
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Nteka replaces A. Garcia
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces C. Martin
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: S. Darder replaces A. Sanchez
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: P. Torre replaces O. Mascarell
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Gumbau replaces P. Diaz
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces J. de Frutos
  11. 61'
    Yellow Card
    P. Maffeo (Mallorca) cautioned
  12. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: M. Joseph replaces T. Lato
  13. 58'
    Yellow Card
    T. Lato (Mallorca) cautioned
  14. 46'
    Yellow Card
    J. de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  15. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by I. Palazon (pen.)
    1-2
  16. 40'
    Yellow Card
    M. Valjent (Mallorca) cautioned
  17. 38'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu replaces A. Ratiu
  18. 30'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mallorca by V. Muriqi, assisted by T. Lato
    1-1
  19. 15'
    Yellow Card
    J. Mojica (Mallorca) cautioned
  20. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by J. de Frutos, assisted by A. Garcia
    0-1

Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca
  • Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano -110, Mallorca +380, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+140/-200)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 46.6%
  • Mallorca: 25.7%
  • Draw: 27.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Mallorca (13.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.6%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Mallorca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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