Girona vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Girona vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on December 21, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
3
0
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
GironaGIR
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
Koke (13')
Soccer ball icon
C. Gallagher (38')
Soccer ball icon
A. Griezmann (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Girona
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Griezmann, assisted by G. Raspadori
    3-0
  2. 84'
    Yellow Card
    T. Lemar (Girona) cautioned
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Raspadori replaces A. Sorloth
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces M. Llorente
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Le Normand replaces C. Gallagher
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces J. Alvarez
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: T. Lemar replaces I. Martin
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: J. E. Solis Romero replaces V. Tsygankov
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: B. Gil replaces A. Martinez
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: H. Rincon replaces A. Frances
  11. 57'
    Yellow Card
    A. Martinez (Girona) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: Y. Asprilla replaces J. Roca
  13. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by C. Gallagher, assisted by J. Alvarez
    2-0
  14. 28'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces N. Gonzalez
  15. 24'
    Yellow Card
    D. Simeone (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  16. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by Koke
    1-0

Girona vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +410, Atletico Madrid -135, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/-102)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Girona: 23.5%
  • Atletico Madrid: 52.6%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Girona 1-1 Atletico Madrid (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Girona vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.6%.

The most likely correct score is Girona 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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