Osasuna vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Osasuna vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on November 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
3
1
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
Estadio El Sadar
OsasunaOSA
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
A. Catena (42')
Soccer ball icon
I. Arguibide (87')
Red Card icon
B. Mendez (53')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guedes (59')
Soccer ball icon
A. Barrenetxea (82')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Oroz (Osasuna) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
  3. 88'
    Yellow Card
    A. Fernandez (Osasuna) cautioned
  4. 87'
    Red Card
    I. Arguibide (Osasuna) sent off with a straight red card
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Elustondo replaces C. Soler
  6. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by A. Barrenetxea, assisted by J. Gorrotxategi
    3-1
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: J. Herrando replaces F. Boyomo
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: A. Budimir replaces M. Gomez
  9. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces V. Munoz
  10. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces B. Mendez
  11. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: S. Gomez replaces A. Munoz
  12. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: I. Arguibide replaces J. Moncayola
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces J. Cruz
  14. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: T. Kubo replaces G. Guedes
  15. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Barrenetxea replaces A. Zakharyan
  16. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes, assisted by M. Oyarzabal
    2-1
  17. 54'
    Yellow Card
    J. Martin (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  18. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by B. Mendez, assisted by C. Soler
    1-1
  19. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Catena, assisted by A. Oroz
    0-1
  20. 30'
    Yellow Card
    B. Mendez (Real Sociedad) cautioned

Osasuna vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Osasuna vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sadar

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Osasuna +170, Real Sociedad +195, draw +205
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+138/-170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Osasuna: 37.4%
  • Real Sociedad: 33.8%
  • Draw: 28.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Osasuna 1-1 Real Sociedad (13.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Osasuna vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Osasuna is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.4%.

The most likely correct score is Osasuna 1-1 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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