Elche vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on November 23, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Real Madrid
2
:
2
Elche
ElcheELC
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
A. Febas (53')
Soccer ball icon
A. Rodriguez (84')
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V. Chust (90')
Red Card icon
D. Huijsen (78')
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J. Bellingham (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Real Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    V. Chust (Elche) sent off for a second yellow card
  2. 88'
    Yellow Card
    A. Febas (Elche) cautioned
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces A. Carreras
  4. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by J. Bellingham, assisted by K. Mbappe
    2-2
  5. 84'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by A. Rodriguez, assisted by M. Neto
    1-2
  6. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: L. Petrot replaces G. Valera
  7. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: P. Bigas replaces M. Aguado
  8. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Rodriguez replaces Andre Silva
  9. 78'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by D. Huijsen, assisted by J. Bellingham
    1-1
  10. 68'
    Yellow Card
    E. Sarabia (Elche) cautioned
  11. 68'
    Yellow Card
    V. Chust (Elche) cautioned
  12. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Pedrosa replaces H. Fort
  13. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: M. Neto replaces G. Diangana
  14. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces A. Guler
  15. 57'
    Yellow Card
    D. Affengruber (Elche) cautioned
  16. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: Vinicius Junior replaces Rodrygo
  17. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Valverde replaces F. Garcia
  18. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces D. Ceballos
  19. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by A. Febas, assisted by G. Valera
    0-1

Elche vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche +600, Real Madrid -235, draw +400

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 17.4%
  • Real Madrid: 62.6%
  • Draw: 20.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-2 Real Madrid (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Elche vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 62.6%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-2 Real Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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