Manchester City vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester City vs. Arsenal Premier League match on April 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
1
2
Apr 19, 11:30 AM ET Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Apr 19, 11:30 AM ET Etihad Stadium
Manchester CityMNC
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
R. Cherki (16')
Soccer ball icon
E. Haaland (65')
Soccer ball icon
K. Havertz (18')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Manchester City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Arsenal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: N. Ake replaces A. Semenyo
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces J. Doku
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Nico replaces Rodri
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: P. Foden replaces R. Cherki
84'
Yellow Card
P. Guardiola (Manchester City) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: V. Gyokeres replaces M. Zubimendi
83'
Yellow Card
Gabriel (Arsenal) cautioned
83'
Yellow Card
E. Haaland (Manchester City) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: L. Trossard replaces E. Eze
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: B. White replaces C. Mosquera
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland
1-2
60'
Yellow Card
M. Guehi (Manchester City) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces N. Madueke
36'
Yellow Card
C. Mosquera (Arsenal) cautioned
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Havertz
1-1
16'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Manchester City by R. Cherki, assisted by M. Nunes
0-1

Manchester City vs. Arsenal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Manchester City vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester City -115, Arsenal +350, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Manchester City: 42.2%
  • Arsenal: 32.0%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Manchester City 1-1 Arsenal (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Manchester City vs. Arsenal? Prediction & correct score

Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.2%.

The most likely correct score is Manchester City 1-1 Arsenal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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