Aston Villa vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Leeds Premier League match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
1
:
1
Feb 21, 10:00 AM ET Villa Park
Aston Villa
Feb 21, 10:00 AM ET Villa Park
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
LeedsLU
T. Abraham (88')
Soccer ball icon
A. Stach (31')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Aston Villa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Leeds
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
I. Gruev (Leeds) cautioned
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by T. Abraham
1-1
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces Douglas Luiz
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Garcia replaces M. Cash
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: S. Longstaff replaces A. Stach
79'
Yellow Card
J. Bogle (Leeds) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: T. Abraham replaces E. Buendia
73'
Yellow Card
E. Buendia (Aston Villa) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces B. Aaronson
69'
Yellow Card
K. Darlow (Leeds) cautioned
62'
Yellow Card
J. Bijol (Leeds) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces L. Bailey
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces A. Onana
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Bijol replaces G. Gudmundsson
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by A. Stach
1-0

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Aston Villa vs. Leeds: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Leeds
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa +295, Leeds +340, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+150/+105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 54.0%
  • Leeds: 22.7%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Aston Villa vs. Leeds? Prediction & correct score

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.0%.

The most likely correct score is Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Aston Villa vs. Leeds, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.