West Ham vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the West Ham vs. Aston Villa Premier League match on December 14, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
3
2
London Stadium
West Ham
London Stadium
West HamWHU
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
M. Fernandes (1')
Soccer ball icon
J. Bowen (24')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mavropanos (o.g.) (9')
Soccer ball icon
M. Rogers (50')
Soccer ball icon
M. Rogers (79')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • West Ham
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Aston Villa
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Diouf (West Ham) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for West Ham: M. Kante replaces C. Summerville
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for West Ham: G. Rodriguez replaces Lucas Paqueta
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for West Ham: T. Soucek replaces F. Potts
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for West Ham: C. Wilson replaces S. Magassa
  6. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Rogers, assisted by V. Lindelof
    3-2
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Buendia replaces O. Watkins
  8. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces I. Maatsen
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces A. Onana
  10. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Rogers, assisted by Y. Tielemans
    2-2
  11. 42'
    Yellow Card
    M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
  12. 38'
    Yellow Card
    B. Kamara (Aston Villa) cautioned
  13. 24'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for West Ham by J. Bowen, assisted by F. Potts
    1-2
  14. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by K. Mavropanos (o.g.)
    1-1
  15. 1'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for West Ham by M. Fernandes
    0-1

West Ham vs. Aston Villa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: West Ham vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: London Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: West Ham +240, Aston Villa +120, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+114)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • West Ham: 29.4%
  • Aston Villa: 46.5%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: West Ham 1-1 Aston Villa (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win West Ham vs. Aston Villa? Prediction & correct score

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.5%.

The most likely correct score is West Ham 1-1 Aston Villa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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