Everton vs. Manchester United prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/6/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Everton and Manchester United, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 33.8% chance of Everton winning, a 42.1% chance for Manchester United, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57.7% chance of going over, with a 60.2% chance that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Manchester United +120, Everton +251
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-133/+130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Everton @ +251 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -133 via Polymarket

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Everton to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Everton 1-1 Manchester United (11.1% probability)
• Everton 1-2 Manchester United (8.9%)
• Everton 0-1 Manchester United (7.9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 39.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Premier League game between Everton and Manchester United at Hill Dickinson Stadium is scheduled to start in the USA at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Everton vs. Manchester United
• Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
• Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
• Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Everton has a 33.8% win probability on Sunday, Manchester United has a 42.1% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.