Chelsea vs. Manchester United prediction, odds, Premier League picks [10/31/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between Chelsea and Manchester United, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 54.4% chance of Chelsea winning, a 23.6% chance for Manchester United, and a 22.0% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61.1% chance of going over., with a 60.2% chance that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Manchester United +330, Chelsea -111
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-144/+138)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Chelsea @ -111 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -144 via Polymarket

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Chelsea 1-1 Manchester United (10% probability)
• Chelsea 2-1 Manchester United (9.8%)
• Chelsea 1-0 Manchester United (8.3%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.2% chance of both Chelsea and Manchester United finding the net and a 39.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League game between Chelsea and Manchester United at Stamford Bridge is scheduled to start in the USA at 8:30 AM ET.

• Who: Chelsea vs. Manchester United
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 8:30 AM ET/5:30 AM PT
• Venue: Stamford Bridge

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Chelsea has a 54.4% win probability on Saturday, Manchester United has a 23.6% win probability, and there is a 22.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.